If that were remotely the case or the true cause, it wouldn’t repeat the same results forever, which changing oil at 1k miles would. It is definitely related to the tribofilm and that different ZDDP levels & chemical interactions strip the previous protective layers (wear rate increases), the new ZDDP layer begins to form (wear rate plateaus), and the new ZDDP layer is protecting the surfaces (wear rates decrease as miles add, until the ZDDP is consumed from the oil and the wear rates begin to increase again).I think there is a problem with the methodology of the so-called tests that show wear increases during the first thousand miles.
What normally happens when you don't change your oil often enough? You get sludge build up. My hypothesis is that wear metals precipitate out of suspension and into that sludge and make it look like the rate of wear decreases as the oil ages. Then, when you change the oil, the fresh detergents "unstick" some of that sludge and particulates and that shows up as early increased wear metals found in used oil analysis.
This is why the longtime members look at multiple UOA samples of varying distances. You can’t tell much from too few samples, or all the samples from exactly the same distances & use patterns. You can only tell if the oil stayed in grade & had reserve TBN, and no fuel or antifreeze contamination.