A co worker of mine says their accurate within a few inches. I guess turns is where it gets a little sketchy.
What sort of damage downstream?
Damage downstream (or externality) can include:
Increased nutrient content in runoff water. The increase in nutrient loading (like phosphorous and nitrogen) comes from fertilizer (not all of it is correctly applied, and even if it is, some of it will leave), increased runoff from bare soils and shallow root systems of row crops versus other vegetation.
Increased volume of water leaving fields from multiple factors. Again, bare soils and shallow root systems. Extending ditching, tiling, and pattern tiling to take what were poor or marginal soils and turning them into conducive for row crops. This adds additional volumes of water to downstream channels. Downstream channels have to adapt to the increase in volume (there is a balance between sediment carrying capacity and volume). Increases in volume drive greater sediment transport requirements drive streambank erosion problems. All this soil also creates nutrient and sediment problems in downstream rivers. This is where many (not all) proponents of the current system will point out "but the water out of my tile looks clear and and clean, so I'm not the problem". What if that water used to be stored upland and didn't make it to the outlet the way it does now?
I can point to the statistical changes in precipitation in my area. The 100 year rainfall I use in design has gone up over 20% since I started my career - and that's only based on statistics through the late 2000's. Part of the cause of that comes from changes in climate. Name your source on where that comes from. But tell me that changing from crops that transpire much less water than corn to corn that raises the dew point up to 5 degrees isn't a source for some of that... (and I will agree - its a piece of it - not nearly all of it).
Point to the changes in streamflow statistics in the cropland portion of our state - baseflows are up. The flow rates for smaller storm events are all increasing - and increasing faster than the increases in precipitation we are observing. One does not have to be a genius to look at these statistics and remember the giant rolls of plastic field tile going in everywhere to start connecting the dots...
Many places where irrigation is occuring are dependent on groundwater, and the rate we are pulling the groundwater out far exceeds the rate the aquifers are replenished... That train is not going to last forever. And again, the losses from some of these processes result in more transpiration losses and the cycle goes on and on...
Or even the good applicators have some of the product they apply find their way into the same aquifers and need to use to drink from... but look at the trends in nutrients and others in these wells in a lot of the corn belt... the numbers aren't good.
I can go on, and on, and on.
Again, I'm not naive. Food has to be grown somewhere. But when 40% of our "food" is being turned into fuel (and some ends up as waste that is then used for "food" in the form of feed products for livestock), and looks at what the externalities of wall to wall row crops are, one starts to ask whether what our policies on ethanol are and whether they make sense. We chose corn because it grew here and the science and process of ethanol production was well known. But was that a wise choice?
One has to look at a different scale sometimes instead of the one field, or one farm operation. Start looking at a macroscale, and see the forest instead of the individual trees.