Brazil Plane Crash

Even me, lots of experince but I do not understand advanced aerodynamics as well as Astro.

I leave that advanced stuff for him.

That said, I did read “ aerodynamics for naval aviators” when I first got into flying.

I don’t pretend to know everything. I learn all the time.

How many years and total flight hours do you have if you don’t mind me asking ?

I think you once mentioned you flew the 727.
 
It’s very clear that you don’t understand the dynamics of a spin, flat or otherwise. It’s also very clear that you’ve never flown an airplane.

So, I’ve given you a great source from which you can learn. If you are actually interested in learning.

Choosing to argue here, and to continue to display your ignorance about the dynamics of high angle of attack flight, shows me that you’re really not interested in learning exactly what’s going on.

You are taking the adjective “flat” (and it’s a conventional spin that we are discussing, not necessarily a flat spin and most certainly not a “flat roll”) and ascribing particular significance to the nature of the airflow around the aircraft based on a faulty premise because of terminology to which you are attaching your opinion. A term - “Flat” - that fails to capture the actual, physical flows around the control surfaces.

Go, read the source I provided, then come back when you actually understand enough aerodynamics to be part of the conversation here.
Flat spin is like a frisbee right?
 
NASA’s 20-Foot Vertical Spin Tunnel (VST) is the only operational tunnel of its kind in the Western Hemisphere that conducts free-spin research using dynamically scaled, free-flying models... VST has been providing critical information to military and general aviation, spacecraft builders and other stakeholders for more than 70 years. That legacy continues today.



Twin Spin Testing Beechcraft Duchess...
 
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How many years and total flight hours do you have if you don’t mind me asking ?

I think you once mentioned you flew the 727.
Yes, I flew the B727 as a first Officer for another ( another one that went bankrupt ) airline. Night freight and passenger.

Just checked my log books…..very first flight ( I had never even flown as a passenger before this flight ) was on May 6, 1984 in a Cessna 150.

While it’s a long time ago, I seem to remember having to apply opposite rudder, and lower the nose before adding power to recover from those stalls unlike how RC pilots do it today 🙂

26,231 hours ….just went and added up latest logbook. 40 years flying since first flight.

I do the longest “turns” ( down and back same day ) so I log more time than most pilots because it’s super productive.

Off to Mexico tomorrow …..the Cancún express.

I can’t believe I just turned age 59 and have been flying that long. Where did all the time go, seriously.

I fly around 81 hard hours per month not including coming in to cover extra flights due to the pilot shortage.

I still enjoy it a lot.
 
I never said, or implied, Turbo Props can fly into severe icing with no problems. I said they can safely fly in icing conditions. Anyone with flying experience would understand the difference.

Are you a commercial pilot?

No aircraft, not even commercial airline jet aircraft, are certified to operate in severe icing conditions ( Airbus says severe is 5 MM of ice ) and need to exit, or avoid, the area. Most well airlines have their own policies regarding operating when severe ice is reported ( we have to avoid the area and can only take off and land in light freezing rain ).

If it’s true this plane flew into severe icing conditions ( apparently a SIGMET was issued warning about severe icing ) , sorry, you would not be caught off guard during DAYLIGHT if you ignored the SIGMET and flew into it due to performance reasons and visual indications ( daylight ). The side windows would start indicating the presence of ice because portions are unheated plus ATR ( due to its history, they don’t want to repeat ) had unique cockpit indications/warnings that clearly indicate to pilots they are in severe icing and apply the severe icing procedures.

In a place like Brazil, unless terrain is an issue, declare and emergency ASAP and descend ( they have TCAS ) even before cleared to get into warm air. ATR clearly states what the minimum clean speed must be during severe ice and it apparently automatically appears on the pilots airspeed indicator when severe ice is detected.

If there was severe ice , hard to believe other flights never reported it to ATC so they could have warned this flight.

Very curious about this crash but I doubt there was anything wrong with the plane ( no design flaw ) and possibly nothing wrong with anything else.

I don’t get it, the ATR has a stick shaker, and stick pusher apparently.

How did it end up stalling?

No clue on this one.

That’s what I am saying based on experience and flying in icing conditions.

https://www.theairlinepilots.com/forumarchive/atr/atr-cold-weather-operations.pdf

LOL, you think there has to be a sigmet for severe icing for it to exist? You put far too much faith in weather forecasting. What is severe icing for an ATR might only be moderate or light for a jet due to differences in wing shape. You think Air France 447, in this same general geographic area had a sigmet for severe icing? How well did they cope? I'm not obligated to divulge my credentials to you on an oil website, I don't understand the antagonism. I wasn't even quoting your post. Calm down bro.
 
LOL, you think there has to be a sigmet for severe icing for it to exist? You put far too much faith in weather forecasting. What is severe icing for an ATR might only be moderate or light for a jet due to differences in wing shape. You think Air France 447, in this same general geographic area had a sigmet for severe icing? How well did they cope? I'm not obligated to divulge my credentials to you on an oil website, I don't understand the antagonism. I wasn't even quoting your post. Calm down bro.
I will answer your question if you answer my question first.

How much flying experience do you have? Do you even have a pilots licence? Your anonymity is already being protected, what are you trying to hide?

I am also not obligated to debate people who are not making sense.

I don't understand why you won't answer that question.

Icing isn't what caused AF 447 to crash. They never even encountered SEVERE ICE, they encountered ICE and it froze the probes ( defective anti ice in probbes ) which caused the unreliable airspeed problem.

Pilot error was what caused it to crash. Accident investigators could not believe they crashed given they should have been able to figure it out and handle the situation Bro.

Any real pilot would know that anytime a jet encounters convective weather at high altitude risks ice if they fly into it ( can get hail also in dry regions ). Accident report said ..." cluster of powerful cumulonimbi along the panned flight path "

Real pilots would also know that anytime there are severe storms, SIGMETs are issued and even if they aren't, the weather will shown on the aircraft weather radar and that means AVOID them.

In all my years flying, SIGMETS are always issues when storms are around.

Tell me if your a pilot or not and I will answer the first part of your question.

Here is a picture of the thunderstorms along their flight path ( from the accident report ).

Report also says 3 SIGMETS were issued.

1723340154412.jpg
 
LOL, you think there has to be a sigmet for severe icing for it to exist? You put far too much faith in weather forecasting. What is severe icing for an ATR might only be moderate or light for a jet due to differences in wing shape. You think Air France 447, in this same general geographic area had a sigmet for severe icing? How well did they cope? I'm not obligated to divulge my credentials to you on an oil website, I don't understand the antagonism. I wasn't even quoting your post. Calm down bro.
You clearly don't understand who you are talking to. I'm pretty confident that after 26,000 hours of commercial flying @Just a civilian pilot knows what he's talking about.
 
Here are some comments/info from airliners.net on this:

Pilots who flew around São Paulo today are reporting some of the worst ice conditions they had ever seen.

https://twitter.com/flightradar24/statu ... 8227044434

Warning of unconfirmed info: apparently one pilot overheard communications between the lost aircraft and control tower. Apparently the crew requested to descend to FL 100 and the request was denied. Here are the sources:

https://twitter.com/YuriRosas_/status/1 ... 9816043720
https://twitter.com/maguiar11/status/18 ... 0017840342

One interesting comment over on the avherald page. Rumors/2nd hand info/call it what you will but…
“Rumour on pilots chat groups....anti ice sys inop on this aircraft for days.....”
 
Astro14 said: I’ve talked about Kara Hultgreen’s mishap at length in my F-14 thread. I was involved in the investigation.

How's that are you qualified as an investigator...never heard that before a Navy pilot. I maybe wrong but try to explain?
I’ve been involved in several mishap investigations.

The Navy investigates their mishaps, not the NTSB or other external agencies, unless specific expertise is requested.

Governance of those efforts is found here:

https://navalsafetycommand.navy.mil/Resources/Instructions-Policy-Guidance/

For every aircraft accident, there are three parallel investigations:

1. Safety - root cause, non-attribution, with protected testimony and evidence.
2. JAG - legal culpability and determination of “in the line of duty”.
3. FNAEB - Field Naval Aviator Evaluation Board - determines if this pilot should continue flying.

The three investigations have different purposes, and different protections (or not) for the witnesses and sworn testimony.

They can share physical evidence (basic photos, wreckage, documents describing events) but not testimony or interviews, because the safety investigation protects people from consequence for what they say, and the other two do not. The point of that protection is to encourage honest, open contributions from those involved by protecting them from career, disciplinary, or other consequences.

I’ve done all three types, several of each. Reviewed many when on the staff of a higher headquarters. On more than one occasion, buried in the details of raw evidence, I found something that changed the course of the other investigations. An eye for detail is important.

The three investigations can arrive at different conclusions. The safety investigation may say that the pilot was at fault, while the JAG investigation may say that they were not guilty of misconduct and they performed in the line of duty, and the FNAEB can recommend that they not fly again.

All three, different opinions can be simultaneously true. Someone could have screwed up, but it was not willful misconduct, for example. They also are based on differing evidence.

Our intrepid pilot could tell the safety investigation that they had fought with their wife on the phone the night before, and didn’t sleep well because their wife was threatening divorce over the fact that their girlfriend was pregnant, etc. No repercussions. Sleep was a factor. Distraction was a factor.

They may provide evidence to the JAG that they were back at the hotel by 10PM, the mission was briefed at 08:00, and that they had an adequate window for sleep. The command provided sufficient sleep opportunity and the pilot reported simply that they didn’t sleep well. The JAG determines that the pilot made an error but was performing their tasks in the line of duty, in accordance with SOP, and did not willfully screw up, so they are not guilty of misconduct.

The FNAEB may reach an entirely different conclusion and determine that this pilot is unfit for flying fighters, because they lack the ability to focus and compartmentalize.

In the case of Kara Hultgreen, the JAG investigation was “leaked” to the press. It found that the mid compression bypass valve was stuck closed, and made the engine more susceptible to compressor stall in the landing configuration. It found that she was not guilty of misconduct, that is, that she was not guilty of willfully ignoring procedure.

The press, and public, grabbed on to that investigation as exoneration.

It was not.

The safety investigation found a pattern of poor flying. She frequently was too close to the ship when landing, requiring a much steeper turn (not good), so she “skidded” the airplane by using left rudder (even worse) and induced the compressor stall. She then failed to recognize the compressor stall, failed to apply single engine failure procedures, failed to counter the thrust asymmetry with proper rudder, failed to fly the airplane at the proper angle of attack, and allowed airspeed to decay and then lost control.

All pilot error. Huge, compounding, fundamental errors that caused her death and loss of the airplane.

Matt initiated ejection when she lost control. RIO ejects 0.3 seconds before the pilot and that 0.3 seconds saved his life.

The public thinks she is a “hero” who was done in by a complex airplane.

The pilots think something different altogether.
 
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Here are some comments/info from airliners.net on this:

Pilots who flew around São Paulo today are reporting some of the worst ice conditions they had ever seen.

https://twitter.com/flightradar24/statu ... 8227044434

Warning of unconfirmed info: apparently one pilot overheard communications between the lost aircraft and control tower. Apparently the crew requested to descend to FL 100 and the request was denied. Here are the sources:

https://twitter.com/YuriRosas_/status/1 ... 9816043720
https://twitter.com/maguiar11/status/18 ... 0017840342

One interesting comment over on the avherald page. Rumors/2nd hand info/call it what you will but…
“Rumour on pilots chat groups....anti ice sys inop on this aircraft for days.....”
If you are flying in severe ice and tell ATC you need to descend into warmer air to get out of it and they refuse, declare and emergency and descend ( TCAS will provide pilots with traffic separation ).

Reminds me of flights that flew into thunderstorms and for hail damage because ATC would not approve the deviation. Declare and turn.

As a pilot, you are responsible for the safety of the passengers and aircraft.

I just did two weather deviations last month without ATC ( declared an emergency ) clearance because I am not flying into thunderstorms ( non radar oceanic ).
 
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If you are flying in severe ice and tell ATC you need to descend into warmer air to get out of it and they refuse, declare and emergency and descend ( TCAS will provide pilots with traffic separation ).

Reminds me of flights that flew into thunderstorms and for hail damage becuase ATC would not approve the deviation. Declare and turn.

As a pilot, you are responsible for the safety of the passengers and aircraft.

I just did two weather deviations last month without ATC ( declared an emergency ) clearance becuase I am not flying into thunderstorms ( non radar oceanic ).
This is pilot error.

People think that pilots can only do what air traffic controllers tell them to do.

That is true of poor pilots. It is not true of good ones.
 
This airplane was spinning.

That happens when a crew loses control.

Which suggests a failure in the ultimate safety measure- a capable, trained, and alert crew on the flight deck.
I said this at the beginning, and it remains true. Staying in icing in an airplane that cannot handle it, is a failure of the crew.

There have been numerous times when air traffic control told pilots they could not do something.

The pilots accepted that, and ended up crashing.

A real pilot would declare the emergency, exercise their full authority, to do what they knew was both safe, and correct, without “permission” from ATC.

Here is an example

https://simple.wikipedia.org/wiki/A...cident in Cove,passengers and 8 crew members.

They accepted holding. They did not make a decision. They did not demand what they needed from ATC.
 
I sent this at the beginning, and it remains true. Staying in icing in an airplane that cannot handle it, is a failure of the crew.
Same with helicopters - just turn and get out of there even if it has “so called” de icing … Try again later …
 
Similar pancake job by this Cirrus in Texas. No ice involved however. Just lousy piloting. Of all the places to park in that lot, the poor guy couldn't have picked a worse one.

 
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