Investors....come in please!

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Nothing like a little human interaction to instill confidence in a company.

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"Scott looked like he had seen a ghost while being run over by a truck," said one analyst who had a meeting with the trio.


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Originally Posted By: Pablo
I post, therefore I am.

I can no longer with any conviction make money in this market. That means, next big dive – I’m all in.


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Patience grasshopper... Another week, then pull the drawstring tight on your swim trunks and go for it. On 2nd. thought, maybe a wet suit would be safer...
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With the world looking at the Aussie-based Centro Properties (Australia: CNP) as the next major victim of the global credit crunch, some in the market are now trying to use the same brush to tar other Australians including Babcock & Brown Infrastructure Group (Australia: BBI, OTC: BCKBF) and, to a lesser extent, Macquarie Bank (Australia: MQG, OTC: MQBKY).

We went through the fear mongering with Macquarie months ago. And for those who went with fact over fiction, the results were a positive market performance for our local bank and infrastructure company.

Macquarie Bank and its affiliated funds were dumped on in the media several weeks ago and painted by some as a scam. But not many facts were put forward, just innuendo. We went through the bank from its regulated deposits and loans to its highly successful investment in key infrastructure projects around the world and quickly affirmed that we wanted to be buyers, especially during a sell-off. And sure enough, facts won over fiction and the company has continued on track since.

Now we have to try to put a similar negative spin on Babcock.

There’s a huge difference between Centro and Babcock. Centro has a collection of highly leveraged retail properties in the US and has credit issues funding its real estate assets. This is resulting in market troubles because creditors are all clutched up and don’t know whether to lend to it or not.

But Babcock has nothing to do with such issues. And rather than have the world make accusations, the company has come out with a full rundown on its own credit conditions.

First, it doesn’t have to roll hardly anything over for years, and for the debt that’s going to rollover in 2009 is a tiny fraction of the company’s overall debt. And Babcock already has a locked-in series of commitments by lenders for that tiny fraction.

More important, the company has massive coverage for its debt. Its short-term liabilities have coverage against near-term assets by more than 50 percent-plus, meaning that even if all near term creditors came a calling, it could cover all and 50 percent more.

Next, the asset coverage on longer-term debt is also very substantial with a debt-to-asset ratio of only 55 percent because it’s not a highly leveraged company.

And last, revenue flows keep bounding higher, providing heavy cash flows to not just service its debt but also to provide ample coverage for the fat dividend flow amounting to a current yield of just shy of 10 percent.

We’re still buyers of Babcock & Brown Infrastructure Group up to 2.
 
Originally Posted By: tpitcher
Pablo,

Altria (MO) has been doing well.
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Own it or interested?



I've owned it in the past. Don't follow it anymore. Nice little yield. I'll look at the chart.
 
Yea, check it out. I own a good chunk of it & have the spin-off of Kraft also.

MO is holding up quite nicely.
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Seems a framework of the WC scenario starts to be displayed - Weirmar Republic II. Could somebody imagine that ECB will inject $500 billion to the banking system just at one shot ? ECB printed the amount nearly equal to 1/3 of Chinese reserves (!) (poor guys, they needed years to gather this amount) and it looks like ECB is ready to print any amount just to compete with FED, efforts of which made M3 grew 18 % during last month. If I am not mistaken, this is called a "competitive devaluation" and it may happen that a liquidity crisis is just a pretext. If it's so, then bulls worldwide should be happy: at least optically everything will look great, like in Zimbabve.
 
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PFO... just cant win. The latest guidance letter I saw at their site stated no exposure to low-quality debt, etc. They are a "AA" type quality.

Yet they are down, down, down... 15% below where they were when I first started looking.

Buying opportunities abound, IMO in PFO. the yield is awesome, and it seems to be to be artificially beat down... bigtime. Im taking what I do own and settingit up for dividend reinvestment... the yield coupled with a beaten price means Im gettinga good deal for my dividend dollar, IMO. Im also buying more for the long-run, as it sure seems to me that it must be nearing a bottom, and this is a good range to do some dollar-cost averaging.

JMH
 
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Originally Posted By: JHZR2

Buying opportunities abound, IMO in PFO. the yield is awesome, and it seems to be to be artificially beat down... bigtime. and this is a good range to do some dollar-cost averaging.

JMH


But in 4 years they are down by about the same amount that the total interest would have been. And they are down 33% since 1992..quite a track record. I'd pass.
 
PFO is not a buy and forget equity. Buy on the minor dips and sell on the peaks with a small percentage of your portfolio. Collect monthly dividends. I trade it constantly. It's in quite the oversold valley right now. True enough, pity the person who bought in the peaks earlier this year or last year and now needs to liquidate.....but for me I can easily clear 10-15+% after commissions.
 
Originally Posted By: Pablo
PFO is not a buy and forget equity. Buy on the minor dips and sell on the peaks with a small percentage of your portfolio. Collect monthly dividends. I trade it constantly. It's in quite the oversold valley right now. True enough, pity the person who bought in the peaks earlier this year or last year and now needs to liquidate.....but for me I can easily clear 10-15+% after commissions.


Exactly.

I havent been watching it for very long... maybe a year... but the rises and falls, with yield seem to be decent. Just let it keep doing what it has, and I really can't complain.

This is an entity that has a historic rise and fall. In that trend, there smaller dips and spikes. It is pretty easy to play. Not trrying to guess the bottom (look at the full length chart), it seems to me that we are at the bottom of another major wave in its price activity. If it is near that point, and I can anticipate an overall upward trend over the next 3-4 years, setting toe div reinvestment, and buyign on dips for a longer term may not be all that dumb of an idea...

pfo
 
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