My understanding is the the reduction in ZDDP came as much from the motor industry as anything. The gubment supplied indirect pressure by requiring a higher performance standard over a longer period (8/80 warranty). I don't think it's so much an issue of outright failure as it is a degradation of performance as the honeycomb is slowly contaminated. The OE wanted the the lower ZDDP levels to make the longer interval a "fail safe" deal.
In reality, for newer engines, the current levels of ZDDP are more than enough. Nobody in mainstream manufacturing really cares that much about the older stuff, (obviously preferring that you bought their new stuff). It's clear that a good deal of the older stuff can get by with the low levels but it certainly reduces the margin for error (sometimes to a razor thin level) and it creates a bunch more caveats with regards to certain types of engine, break in of new engines, etc.
All the SM rated HDEOs I know of run in the 1,000-1200 ppm range and that's pretty much a SG-SL levels. If only they built a wider range of HDEO viscosities to choose from, though 10W30 covers most everything old.
In reality, for newer engines, the current levels of ZDDP are more than enough. Nobody in mainstream manufacturing really cares that much about the older stuff, (obviously preferring that you bought their new stuff). It's clear that a good deal of the older stuff can get by with the low levels but it certainly reduces the margin for error (sometimes to a razor thin level) and it creates a bunch more caveats with regards to certain types of engine, break in of new engines, etc.
All the SM rated HDEOs I know of run in the 1,000-1200 ppm range and that's pretty much a SG-SL levels. If only they built a wider range of HDEO viscosities to choose from, though 10W30 covers most everything old.