“Arctic Pipeline” bringing cold weather
- Thread starter Snagglefoot
- Start date
I only pay attention to the weather 48 hours out.
Too many variables for conditions to change.
Lemme know if it doesn’t freeze in Richmond tonight!
Let me know if those forecast models can predict exact temperatures days 6-14 out in time..
Key word… Exact …
Ain’t happening..
Like I said before…
The models can… can predict the longwave jetstream pattern reasonably well days 6-10 out ahead in time. And even days 6-14 out ahead in time too.
But even then I have seen big sudden changes in the forecast models within that later time frame. One just happened several weeks ago. Definitely caught my attention.
Like I said during Hurricane season… And I posted forecast maps days 6-7 out ahead in time… I put the odds of that overall pattern being right at 80 percent.. And sure enough it turned out to be correct. And because of that the Hurricane got kicked out to sea by an approaching trough from the west. But I also know that forecasting 6-8 days out can be a bit interesting at times. I put the chances at 80 percent. And I was right.
Now the overall longwave pattern is way way different than forecasting precise temperatures days and sensible weather conditions. Minor differences in certain aspects of the atmosphere can make HUGE difference in sensible weather conditions.
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Fake news, it's not that cold, hey, wait ...
I don’t think exact temps are important at all. However, when water molecules turn into ice, that’s pretty notable.
Ok Texas. You’re next.
Bring the cold on! I haven't turned my furnace on this winter...usually the last two weeks of December and the first two weeks of January are the coldest in Phoenix and I need to turn it on for a few minutes in the morning, but not this year. I can't imagine the stink when I finally need it.
It'll be interesting if I get through the winter without using it.
Fun fact - I hate the gas company. Bill was $50, the only two gas appliances I have are the water heater and furnace. Electric bill was $65. I think I inherited this from my old man, he hated the gas company as well and kept buying all those kerosene heaters that were the rage in the 80's.
It'll be interesting if I get through the winter without using it.
Fun fact - I hate the gas company. Bill was $50, the only two gas appliances I have are the water heater and furnace. Electric bill was $65. I think I inherited this from my old man, he hated the gas company as well and kept buying all those kerosene heaters that were the rage in the 80's.
Your gas service fee is probably half of that bill, and if so usage seems reasonable for water.
Currently -10F here, cold yes but still a normal occurrence for January. If you haven't seen a sun dog before, here is a pic I took this morning when out and about.
I hear The Day After Tomorrow is really bad!
Incidentally, South Park did a pretty amusing spoof on that ^
There is really nothing unusual as far as cold here in North Carolina or South Carolina in the next 7 days. Typical winter cold spell with A LOT of media HYPE thrown in. (what else is new)
So NWS has updated our forecast to 25 on Tuesday night and 26 on Wednesday night. Guess I will get out the burlap and wrap the palmetto tree. Likely doesn't need it, but in case it ends up worse.
When it snowed in the 90s I let my kids skip school and go skiing/snowboarding.
Looks like a Blue Norther forming in Texas. High winds and a dark northern sky might be showing up in Dallas today.
The very few times school closed for me we found a way to the mountain -- particularly in high school.
The irony is rich to this day: can't make it to school but can make it 30 miles north, 2300' higher (to the base area) to go ski
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