“Arctic Pipeline” bringing cold weather

Here in MN the coldest temp i see on the 10 day forecast is -1F. Pretty normal weather for January.
heavy coat and long johns' weather, about the same in central wis.,,its yet to get really cold like -25f or lower.
 
ea, there was a very brief forecast run that showed GA getting a foot of snow and my FB feed erupted with it. It was just one model, on one day and all the weather 'influencers' seized it and ran.

It's just gonna be cold. Just like last year. Be a good test for the new mini-split. I've been impressed with its performance down to the lowest we've had here this season, which is around 25f.
I lived in Georgia for a while as a kid in the 80s. One winter we had 7 inches and were out of school for a week. I moved to Colorado and was in for a shock. You go to school if it snows.
 
I would only deal with light snow if I was retired and no need to go anywhere until the snow melted.
 
I lived in Georgia for a while as a kid in the 80s. One winter we had 7 inches and were out of school for a week. I moved to Colorado and was in for a shock. You go to school if it snows.
Same here. We moved to GA from PA in 87, in 92/93 GA had that big scnow. Granted, it was a pretty decent snow that would have caused issues in PA, but at most you'd have been down a day. I remember being out of school for almost a week as well.
 
The latest catchy phrase for a cold front is the “ Arctic Pipeline” . A high developing over northern Canada is expected to bring freezing temps as far south as Florida. Apparently this is forecast for the second week in January. We’ll see. Keep your begonias warm!

Yeah that sounds like “ catchy” nonsense.


A “ blocking pattern”.. . Is the much more technical name involved with this pattern.

And the even more technical way of describing this is the NAO turning negative and the PNA turning positive pattern.

North Atlantic Oscillation- NAO

Pacific North American - PNA

Those two patterns actually have a forecasting model the GFS used to predict them both.
 
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One model shows Atlanta with an overnight low of 0F.


Yeah…. We will see…

Guys… Don’t get all excited about forecast models 6-14 days out….

The overall pattern can be predicted accurately to a decent extent… Like 80 to 85 percent of the time that models are pretty accurate in doing that.

But not to an exacting precise degree…

Like forecasting exact low temperatures accurately days 6-14 …. Key word exact or extremely precise. That is not worthy of a ton of confidence.

Will it be cold ?

Yeah I believe so.

But I’m not believing the models can predict exact low or high temperatures days 6-14 out in the future.
 
Man you guys got it made. Im up here in north alberta working, mostly outdoors. Today was a nice -22f/-30c. Its a dry cold though😜


Good luck with the driving. Roads are always better in severe cold vs just moderate cold. Its gonna be some treacherous driving down there I bet.
 
Man you guys got it made. Im up here in north alberta working, mostly outdoors. Today was a nice -22f/-30c. Its a dry cold though😜


Good luck with the driving. Roads are always better in severe cold vs just moderate cold. Its gonna be some treacherous driving down there I bet.
Same. Been in the -25* area all week. Was -35* last week, -60* with the breeze.
It usually gets to around -50* in February-March area.
 
Here’s the power output in Alberta this morning. Most of the power is from natural gas power plants. The Co-Gen and Combined Cycle plants are doing the heavy lifting. Wind is a no show. Most of the house heating is done with natural gas.

B890C901-2828-4299-8AA2-6F7A6EC1D936.webp
 
I hate the cold but I want a good snow storm as does the ZR2. Monday we should be getting some.

The northeast has seen the largest average winter temp increase over the last 40 years. 6 degree increase. Snow had not been as common here.
 
Yeah…. We will see…

Guys… Don’t get all excited about forecast models 6-14 days out….

The overall pattern can be predicted accurately to a decent extent… Like 80 to 85 percent of the time that models are pretty accurate in doing that.

But not to an exacting precise degree…

Like forecasting exact low temperatures accurately days 6-14 …. Key word exact or extremely precise. That is not worthy of a ton of confidence.

Will it be cold ?

Yeah I believe so.

But I’m not believing the models can predict exact low or high temperatures days 6-14 out in the future.
Lemme know if it doesn’t freeze in Richmond tonight! 😀
 
I lived in Georgia for a while as a kid in the 80s. One winter we had 7 inches and were out of school for a week. I moved to Colorado and was in for a shock. You go to school if it snows.
Around 2010 in the Lake Murray area of South Carolina (geographically northwest Columbia SC) we had 6 inches of snow. Schools were closed for a week as they had no way to get the snow that turned into ice out of the school parking lots. No snow equipment in our local towns except for state interstates.
 
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