Rapidly developing storm ... or not? Heading for the coast ... seems almost certain, maybe? Updates are rolling in!

[alarmguy]

Initially we knew we were in for a storm development and some gusty winds but at 10AM on Thursday it turned into this announcement on https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

and now 1 hour later odds went up another 10%

 

[buster]

ughh rain just in time for the weekend.

 

[JohnnyG]

Max sustained winds BARELY reaching CAT1, rapidly falling after that.
More worried about the new tropical wave.

 

[alarmguy]

ughh rain just in time for the weekend.

Interesting how quickly the "landscape" is changing.

 

[PimTac]

30 knots is just breezy.

 

[alarmguy]

Im not promoting this as doomsday, but its a weather situation that changed rapidly from a potential rainy windy day just 24 or even 12 hours ago to a 60% chance of tropical winds and area of a storm surge.

 

[alarmguy]

30 knots is just breezy.

Tropical storm is 39 to 74 MPH, low end is just breezy for sure, at the other end is close to a Cat 1 which this is moving to fast for that I would think. We wont know what those winds will be until Friday evening or night.

 

[demarpaint]

It looks like I won't be watering my lawn today.

 

[alarmguy]

It looks like I won't be watering my lawn today.

Unreal, I have had my sprinklers off since the start of the last week of August. In which since that week we had roughly 10+ (im losing count) inches of rain *LOL* 8 from the storm on the last day of August.

Ironically some of my neighbors are clueless about lawn care, they still have their sprinklers running 3 times a week and even after the storm at the end of August.
Just an FYI, our lawn is the talk of the community being so green. I want to tell some of them, they are drowning their lawns!

 

[Passport1]

I'm at the beach house right now getting it ready for heavy Wx. Looks like a direct hit here. My road floods pretty badly can't stay until tomorrow. My house in Wilmington will get it first. Part of the risk for living near the ocean.

 

[alarmguy]

I'm at the beach house right now getting it ready for heavy Wx. Looks like a direct hit here. My road floods pretty badly can't stay until tomorrow. My house in Wilmington will get it first. Part of the risk for living near the ocean.

Good luck maybe the tides will be in your favor, though you won’t know until the last minute.

Ahhhh … well I see a tropical storm warning has just been issued from Cape Fear all the way up to Delaware

 

[alarmguy]

Still to soon to know much guidance this is as of 11AM EDT Thursday from the NHC

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 21/1500Z 28.7N 75.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE

12H 22/0000Z 30.0N 75.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE

24H 22/1200Z 31.7N 75.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE

36H 23/0000Z 33.2N 75.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE

48H 23/1200Z 35.1N 76.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE

60H 24/0000Z 37.3N 76.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE

72H 24/1200Z 38.8N 76.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

96H 25/1200Z 40.4N 71.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL

120H 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED

 

[brianl703]

ughh rain just in time for the weekend.

It's badly needed here. Most of the rivers and streams are at 20-year lows due to the drought.

 

[Astro14]

Well, I would say it’s starting to arrive here in VB…lots of rain in the forecast.

We will get coastal flooding Saturday from the surge.

 

[drtyler]

Well, I would say it’s starting to arrive here in VB…lots of rain in the forecast.

We will get coastal flooding Saturday from the surge.

View attachment 179748

Nice garage, Astro. It's almost big enough.

 

[BMWTurboDzl]

It's badly needed here. Most of the rivers and streams are at 20-year lows due to the drought.

Oh man, that's not good. The runoff is going to cause a large surge of trash which would've normally been periodically removed during more frequent rains. Similar to a flash flooding out west. .

 

[thastinger]

Saturday afternoon high tide here is forecast to be 6 feet, that will cause lots of saltwater flooding of roads in the tidewater area

 

[Astro14]

Nice garage, Astro. It's almost big enough.

Yeah…almost big enough…

My shop is separate from my house, and is part of a commercial storage place that is permitted for business.

I’ve got a 42x20 foot space. With a loft. But there are stairs to the loft and my workbench, and storage, take up one slot, so, I can fit all my tools, supplies, etc. but then, only two cars.

So, I wouldn’t mind a bit more space…

 

[alarmguy]

Saturday afternoon high tide here is forecast to be 6 feet, that will cause lots of saltwater flooding of roads in the tidewater area

Yeah, I know so well growing up on Long Island, timing will be everything, big plus, no new or full moon.

 

[bbhero]

I’m not worried…

The flash flooding could be really bad in places. That is the biggest concern in my opinion.