Let’s see.
First mortgage calculator, using its default 7.98%, comes up with $2,625/month on a 30yr. Changes to $3,228 on a 15, not bad, not a bad small increase at all.
$600 per month at 9% return is $227k after 15 years. But that person has another 15 to go, so after 30 they have a house and $1.1M. The other person waited 15 years, then put that $3228 per month in. After 15 years they have $1.2M. Or are $100k up.
But the first person had liquidity from the get go, while the second had to wait 15 years before having money outside of their real estate. Which is better? the one who bought a house for half as much, paid off in 10 while investing the whole time, of course.
For 70% of the population and maybe closer to 85% of the population. The person that paid off the mortgage at 15 years is far, far ahead. Why would one want to make payments to a bank for ten to almost 15 years and still owe the same amount of money?
I expected a response like this and why I published the stats from the Federal Reserve. The American vast majority of public doesnt save money, they spend everything that comes in and borrow the rest. Human nature for the masses. You did see that 60% of the population doesnt even have a spare $400. and almost no savings at all for what, maybe another 10% on top of that?
Your thinking is 100% sound but it doesnt work that way. The masses do not have the maturity for your plan. With the $600 per month you think they are going to invest, they are going to spend on more expensive cars associated loans, boats, jet skis, entertainment, travel, motorcycles, everything and anything with any spare change and ALSO the means to make monthly payments to banks because their monthly debt ratio is good with the 30.
So with 30 years of mortgage payments and ending up paying one million dollars in payments for a $400,000 house and tens if not thousands more in interest on a lifestyle they can not afford by taking loans our and making more payments to banks for the toys they should not be buying. By paying off in 15 years, is a lifestyle AND an education. People actually learn about managing money which almost any common person no longer does. Everything they buy right down to their washing machine is about the payment, they dont even pay attention to the interest rate.
To repeat, Im not knocking your method that is you, not the majority by any means. Also for some, 15 years fly buy, if you pay off your home you have the whole rest of a lifetime to invest. If you do it the 30 year way and have the maturity to invest instead of taking a 15 year, it is a gamble in a sense because sometimes in life a curve ball is thrown, something not planned for but still saddled with the debt that could have been paid off.
Meaning, even people with means, myself included, used to burn through money, worked hard, lived REALLY good when I was young saying to myself I could die tomorrow. I owned things no one my age owned in the middle income area, but then sold some bought a home and also a business, with the business came a commercial building, it was then, finally I learned. Paid down that commercial building in half the time and glad I did because it was the one smart thing I did as I still enjoyed spending money, but after the building thing, I took it to getting the house paid down early. But I will admit, I didnt really mature with money (except for those just mentioned) until my 40s. I wish I did it sooner but not complaining I am still in good shape. That commercial building from many decades ago still pays me nicely every month like clock work without it I dont know where I would be and why I am a believer in owning real estate.
You mention the 30 savings plan, stuff happens in life, one of the most common is divorce, been there, done that. SO I speak from experience. Having that building paid off, allowed me to finish paying off the house for my x wife. She got the house, I got the building.
Why I love real property, even though it was amicable, large amounts of cash can make people crazy and attorneys chomping at the bit!
Just having a fun conversation here, coffee time, not re-reading this for typos *LOL*
@supton