In increments, not all at once. Now we will pay the price.People were due for a raise - it is about time really.
In increments, not all at once. Now we will pay the price.People were due for a raise - it is about time really.
What I am seeing here is very similar to the time prior to Y2K / dot com bubble crashing.
1) Due to a fear of risk (it was the Y2K bug back then, covid right now) that the central bank around the world is artificially keeping interest rate low, hoping to mitigate any potential collapse due to crisis.
2) Overpriced assets (back then it was dot com stock, right now it is crypto and tech stock) and everyone tries to get in before it is too late
3) Foreign market entering financial crisis (back then it was Japan entering a recession, right now it is Chinese entering recession and real estate bubble popping).
I think after the pandemic is over (financially speaking, whether you believe covid is real or not is irrelevant in the macroeconomics), the overall interest rate will increase and we will start seeing companies failing, and asset bubbles will start popping. Before that the insanity can sustain longer than you can stay solvent betting against it.
Cupertino, one of the "expensive" middle class area, is starting to have significant student enrollment decline and have to close schools, due to mainly being too expensive for young family to buy into the area and the people who bought decades ago becoming empty nesters. Our school outside of this area (slightly more affordable but still 1.5M) is also seeing this reduced enrollment, an indication that asset prices probably have peaked. I think the work from home revolution since the pandemic means the metropolitans across the world are getting bigger, the further away area are increasing in value whereas the overpriced central area near work hubs are reducing in value relatively speaking. I don't think the bubble is as big as 2008 for residential buyers, but I am worried for those companies who bought too much at a high price, like Zillow's residential holding, unless they are buying to hedge against inflation for big clients (those who used to buy Federal Debt / T Note but no longer trust it, yet still need to invest in the USD region). One thing I'd stay away from for sure is the SPAC and Blank Check companies who IPOed recently, and REIT.
I'm not too concerned about min wage or the supply chain issue in the long term. Karens gonna Karen but most of us know the real cost of living has increased and eventually will settle down to what market can bear. Our real min wage according to McD ads are way above the legal min wage anyways, and realistically the legal min wage can't even hire an undocumented worker these days.
The real poverty earner these days are the gig workers and self employed, they can work below min wage as they are "business owners".
In Canada we had the “ 6 and 5”. Companies were limited to a wage increase of 6 % that year and 5 % the next. The Fed interest hike to 21% slammed everything shut and that took care of the issue.IIRC Nixon instituted wage and price controls to take impetus of runaway inflation. It was effective which is one of the reasons he was so hated. That and he was a crook.
The problem is that Politics has a hell of a lot to do with it....Just look at the inflation rate over the past year... IMOFolks please stay on topic.
Political commentary will cause this to be closed if another post is removed
problem is when they get a raise everthing goes up...so how do you come out ahead??? you dontPeople were due for a raise - it is about time really.
the problem is the ship is taking on water right now and might sinkOur economy is like a huge ocean going ship; it turns slowly. But our economy is strong.
The supply chain has been decimated which of course causes shortages everywhere.
Certainly some will be hurt more than others, but I believe we are moving in a better direction.
I always have to remember that I live in an area that is much different than most of America.
YUP...........I hope that people remember this...The cost of many things I have noticed up 20 %. Our wages at my company was just increased 3 to 5 dollars a person. This did help keeping some people that were browsing other options. I think this year will be the biggest inflation jump we have ever seen
The problem is that Politics has a hell of a lot to do with it....Just look at the inflation rate over the past year... IMO
I think the point the mod was saying is that this is a great discussion. Let’s leave the P part to the imagination of others and not ruin this.
But P is part of the problem........
but do not hoard???? Like some do with Oil and Oil Filters??????????????????//Personally I feel any supply chain bottle neck is going to hurt the economy. While it is a complicated topic, one thing that never changes (just my observation) is the concept of supply and demand.
Spend wisely. Stock up on what you need BUT DONT HOARD. Sit tight and hold on. As long as we keep politicians in office that have our livelihood in their best interests we should be ok. Eventually.
I’m not a political zealot but the current administration doesn’t seem to be focused on anything but spending and raising taxes.
but do not hoard???? Like some do with Oil and Oil Filters??????????????????//
Sure, disrupters can start new trends and cycles and profits. But not everyone makes out. With each of those cycles, someone was left holding the bag on something else. How those in decline will make do when the costs of everything increase is a challenge. People stop buying stuff when it gets too expensive, or the costs of other things erode buying power.Elon Musk is a bright spot. There are others too.
The steam engine/railroad, telegraph/telephone, light bulb, phonograph/cameras/movies, airplane, rocket, nuclear, computer, internet were all industrial related booms that fueled amazing growth.
It's possible we will see another such cycle, I just don't know what it could possibly be. If we do, all bets are off.