it would be idiotic for the FED to raise rates more than a 1/4 point what with commods falling off a cliff and gold getting tarnished LOLI just looked at precious metals charts and they all look broken headed much lower...like March 2020 levels short term. I don't know how many people here trade technically using charts but the monthly precious metals charts all look terrible.
On a fundamentals note platinum will probably be the worst preformer since it's purpose in cat converters is ending in electric cars like silver has never recovered after photographic film was discontinued because of digital cameras
I mentioned last week commodities signalling inflation has hit it's peak. The question is will corporations continue price gouging or not
oils at 91 and according to my daily chart on its way to 75...since i made my last post gas only lowered a dime in my area while oil price is down almost 10 from last weekOils under 99 a barrel right now...let's see how long it takes ur local gasoline station to drop the price a dime lol
They like to raise prices the same day oil runs up a couple dollars...I've seen shell raise prices twice in one day
Gas makers and sellers need to hold on to the gouge factor as long as possible to fill their bank accounts. 92 octane here is still 5.92/gal ... just got some couple days ago.oils at 91 and according to my daily chart on its way to 75...since i made my last post gas only lowered a dime in my area while oil price is down almost 10 from last week
it would be idiotic for the FED to raise rates more than a 1/4 point what with commods falling off a cliff and gold getting tarnished LOL
if they do raise more its so they can kill the labor market and drop wages
My opinion:
FED needs to raise rates 1% even if it hurts the markets.
The chickens are now coming home to roost and lots of bad news on the horizon.
My investments are up quite a bit so far in July. Have we passed the bottom?
I'm expecting earnings to be down right across the board over the next few months so stocks may go lower (but then again maybe not).
Remember that the stock market will turn around before the economy does. It has in the past anyway.
I've been buying a bit here and there but haven't put any serious money on the table yet. As a buy and hold investor, nothing I own is into capital loss territory so I haven't even had any capital losses to harvest.
We're seeing a typical bear market rally. Commodities have come down from their peak but inflation is still HIGH. Supply chain issues aren't gone. Employment is starting to roll over. I don't see the light at the end of the tunnel.My investments are up quite a bit so far in July. Have we passed the bottom?
I have 20 more years until retirement...who cares...I would not look at one months performance as a turnaround. The thing is, by the the time we figure the market has indeed turned around several months have passed. On the other hand the markets can be cruel. During secular bear markets you can have cyclical bull markets of 6-18 months within that bear market.
If you are in for the long haul just dollar cost average every month. Make sure your asset allocation matches your risk tolerance and age.