Originally Posted By: dwendt44
There have been wild claims here everytime we raise the minimum wage. They largely are false.
In you case above, there could easily been other factors the happened to influence the economic factors mentioned.
Inflation and cost of living can and do have many factors involved.
What happens in other countries can influence your country's economic conditions.
As a major exporter of oil, wood, and other resources, demand and economic conditions in the U.S. for example, can influence prices and trends in your country.
To be clear, I'm not arguing against the increases in above themselves. I just think the latter increases occurred too fast and pushed it artificially high. I can cite as proof of that argument that during the initial increases, up to about the midway mark, there was some corresponding increases seen in jobs paying above minimum wage (not quite to the same extent, but that misses the mark anyway) while there was no detrimental impact observed.
The secondary increases came much faster and more markedly, and at that point the corresponding increases in sectors above minimum wage slowed to the point they pretty much stopped altogether during the last hike from $9 to $10/hr. And as the pace and magnitude of the increases in minimum wage rose, so too did inflation and cost of living increases at about the same rate, and roughly in proportion.
There may well have been other factors at play. But again, I'm not arguing against minimum wage nor minimum wage increases. I'm simply theorizing, based on observation (not scientific, merely anecdotal), that there does seem to be a point when there is going to be unintended blow back.
And even with other factors likely weighing in too, it does stand to reason that with minimum wage jobs making up a large sector of the economic engine, if you double it almost overnight you're going to see inflation surge and corresponding increases in cost of living.
As so many businesses rely largely, or in part, on minimum wage labor, if you double the wage, you're doubling the lion's share of labor cost for many businesses. As this is an across the board increase, business does not have to eat any of the cost and can pass the entire increase onto consumers in the form of price increases for their goods and services.
And even in businesses where there is no direct cost relationship at all, they can easily see that more purchasing power on the part of consumers means they can safely increase prices and profit with no worry that they'll lose sales as a result.
Here is one good example: 2 & 1/2 years ago I rented a car for $20/day for 3 weeks. This was inline with other rental company rates, who either matched or were a few dollars above.
Three weeks ago I checked the rates at various places and found the cheapest car I could rent had jumped to $40/day. A 200% increase in the last 2 & 1/2 years. While their other costs may have increased, likely their single biggest one was minimum wage. 2 & 1/2 years ago they were probably paying the $7/hr or so rate to their employees that minimum wage was then, or maybe a bit more. As minimum wage increased, their costs increased as well and they simply passed it onto the consumer.
Business will charge whatever the market can bear. When minimum wage doubles over a short span, the market can bear more and they will charge more. Result: inflation and cost of living increases.
I see it as good intentions gone awry with nobody winning out in the end. Had they stopped at $7.50/hr and scaled the increases back to match cost of living increases, I believe the sharp increases in cost of living could have been avoided. Instead, in pushing it too high, too fast, the sharp cost of living increases were inevitable, and worked to the detriment of all - including those making minimum wage.
-Spyder