Originally Posted By: whip
Originally Posted By: Autobahn88
GM is too unstable and will be for quite a number of years. The Ford situation again was different. I would stay away from this like the plague and invest your money into something more stable and not so dependant on the Govt and taxpayers to stay afloat.
It's all about risk Vs. reward. I wouldn't sink my life savings in it, but I think it does have some up side for a long term investment.
I sort of agree. Its not a "blue chip" stock, even though this is how automotive industries have classically been categorized. Nor is it entirely speculative - not after so much streamlining, government investment, and the stake the fed will retain in it.
I would call it medium risk and add some to a balanced and diversified portfolio, with about a 2-5 year expectation of stock retention. It may turn out to be worth holding for longer, but I wouldn't take a dip over the next couple years as a panic order to dump it either. That's just my guess as to about when to hope a mid-risk stock like this to begin to attain enough value to offset the risk and have a longer term idea of how it will perform over the long haul and whether to keep or sell then.
GM is arguably better positioned, from an investment point of view, to pay off in such an interval than was Ford when its stock was at $2 a share.
GM is technologically sound, established in multiple markets, has the largest market share in NA, is a government backed asset, is capitalizing on new lower labor costs in domestic production, and has streamlined its divisions to a more easily manageable number. Its also able to postpone any payout on current liabilities for at least that 2-5 year period which will also boost profitability over that interval, and correspondingly, share value.
I wouldn't bet the mortgage on it either, but it has it place if the investor is diversified and willing to inject some risk into his balance.
-Spyder