Well, it looks like you chose. Out of the four you mentioned on hand, I would have used whichever one needed to leave the stash!
Honestly, an occasional -20F on a 5w30 dino is not the end of the world. If it were, most cars on the road in MN would never get anywhere in the winter.
The synthetics seem like a nice choice given the predominant short trip nature of the use of the vehicle, but I wouldn't have lost sleep over the dino choices either.