But it's germane to the overarching discussion.
Oil doesn't age in miles.
What ages an oil are the various inputs: heat, oxidation, contamination (fuel, soot, acids...etc.) and its ability to resist these inputs is dictated by sump size (dilution) and formulation (additive package, base oil selection).
A vehicle traveling a specific distance says nothing as to the impact of those inputs on the lubricant. It's like buying new shoes every 4 months without taking a look at how they have worn; with absolutely no consideration given to how they were used.
IOLM's (IE, not mileage counters) are programmed to account for operating conditions so that you are changing the lubricant when it's likely to be reasonably contaminated, based on those inputs and not dumping perfectly serviceable product for no reason.
The caveat of course is that IOLM's are programmed based on whatever standard the OEM calls for. That could be Dexos, API SP...etc. So it has no way of being adjusted for oils capable of drains beyond what those minimum standards dictate. This is where UOA's enter the picture.
All of this.
OLMs are looking at several parameters and essentially doing a real-time multiple linear regression on them, finding the best fit curve, then extrapolating from that to some limit.
The issue I have with OLMs is not that they aren't sophisticated or capable. Rather, my issue is that they are tuned with an element of marketing involved. The engineer might want 5k OCIs but the marketing people want to market 10k OCIs. And the engineers begrudinging provide the data that shows, yes 10k OCIs will indeed present little to no risk during the warranty period. So the engineers lose to the marketing people.
I've seen similarly many times. I've been that engineer and lost that conversation. The calculation is simple-- there's no warranty cost savings benefit to the OEM by using shorter OCIs, but there is marketing utility in the longer OCIs. And especially since many cars are now sold with service contracts and free oil changes for some period, dealers want longer OCIs because short OCIs are all cost to them and NO benefit.
So the MBA in me has to concede-- the long OCI calibrations of the OLMs is the correct call from a business case perspective.
But as a consumer and engineer, I will tell you that what's best for for the product durability and my tenure as an owner is NOT what is best for the OEM and its business.
So if you are going to keep the vehicle only as long as its in warranty and stay within the OEM's assumption, you can follow the OLM with confidence. But if you are keeping vehicles a LONG time, the OLM is not sufficient to keep the engine clean and in peak mechanical condition.
It was never intended to be.
I recall a hallway conversation when I was working on the X15 for 2010 about extended oil drain intervals. The basic takeaway of that conversation was to the effect of: "Our major fleet customers are keeping the trucks three years and getting two years of warranty. They care about operating cost while they own it. If the engine is nearly used up in 500k miles, they don't care-- they will wholesale the truck after 3 years. Heck, many are leased now and trucking companies don't even own them. So yes we will push things with 35k or 50k OCIs and lower viscosity (5w30) oils tuned for MPG. Because 0.1mpg improvement is about $5000 per year per truck in cost savings to a large fleet."
To this day, I still wrestle with the tension between what my brain knows makes business and financial sense and what to my engineering soul just feels so wrong.