Tesla Robotaxi / Robovan Event

Sure, this is true of just about all businesses, especially as they grow from startup to large.
how do you have the energy to explain the world to people who don't understand the difference between 0 --> n vs n + 1, i feel fatigue just thinking about all the layers that have to be unpacked for some people
 
Keep 8n mind the whole "Tesla delivered itself from the factory " stunt last week required a Cybertruck follow vehicle and it parked itself in a fire lanevin front of the delivery house. It's going to have to do alot better than that.
 
What are we, two weeks in and still just one documented safety incident for Tesla. 66 for Waymo. I think it has legs.

https://www.austintexas.gov/page/autonomous-vehicles
Too many passes given to this camera only system. I've seen at least 10 screw ups in documented videos with RoboTaxi in the last week alone. What constitutes a safety incident? A collision? I saw a video where the car drove into oncoming traffic and eventually corrected itself. I can't understand why the Tesla employee didn't correct it. Fire that moron. Another where a RoboTaxi turned tight and hit a Camry in a parking lot with the tire. It tried to stop in a left hand turn lane on a 4 lane road to drop off a rider.

That's just a few. Far from a ringing endorsement. The people that talk up FSD the most have never used it. It's a disaster. It's just the smallest widely available disaster. I won't pay money for this garbage. The biggest way Tesla screwed themselves out of money was giving me 3 months of FSD at the beginning of the year so I didn't feel the need to buy it to test it. I definitely learned enough in 3 months. Holy crap did it scare the living crap out of me and leave me angry for even allowing it to drive for me. I have another free trial in my 2026 Y and it still can't pick the right lane to drive straight at a stoplight in my town. My 2024 doesn't have this problem though after a few interventions. I have to teach the new car all over again? It's slower to learn and they're both HW4 cars. I refuse to call it the new label of AI4. There's nothing intelligent about it. I have to babysit in different ways depending on the car I leave in? It's very inconsistent even between cars. Junk. Absolute trash.

You've got to suspend belief to think any form of FSD is ok and it's far from being in the spot of unsupervised in a cab. Put these FSD developers pushing this crap in prison for attempted vehicular manslaughter.
 
There was some pretty heavy rain in TX the past couple weeks. No issues so far. That's kind of surprising.

There's a video making the rounds of a guy who fell asleep in his Robotaxi
 
Too many passes given to this camera only system. I've seen at least 10 screw ups in documented videos with RoboTaxi in the last week alone. What constitutes a safety incident? A collision? I saw a video where the car drove into oncoming traffic and eventually corrected itself. I can't understand why the Tesla employee didn't correct it. Fire that moron. Another where a RoboTaxi turned tight and hit a Camry in a parking lot with the tire. It tried to stop in a left hand turn lane on a 4 lane road to drop off a rider.

That's just a few. Far from a ringing endorsement. The people that talk up FSD the most have never used it. It's a disaster. It's just the smallest widely available disaster. I won't pay money for this garbage. The biggest way Tesla screwed themselves out of money was giving me 3 months of FSD at the beginning of the year so I didn't feel the need to buy it to test it. I definitely learned enough in 3 months. Holy crap did it scare the living crap out of me and leave me angry for even allowing it to drive for me. I have another free trial in my 2026 Y and it still can't pick the right lane to drive straight at a stoplight in my town. My 2024 doesn't have this problem though after a few interventions. I have to teach the new car all over again? It's slower to learn and they're both HW4 cars. I refuse to call it the new label of AI4. There's nothing intelligent about it. I have to babysit in different ways depending on the car I leave in? It's very inconsistent even between cars. Junk. Absolute trash.


You've got to suspend belief to think any form of FSD is ok and it's far from being in the spot of unsupervised in a cab. Put these FSD developers pushing this crap in prison for attempted vehicular manslaughter.

Yeah, lane selection is its biggest issue IMO. The day before yesterday in Sacramento it went straight from a left only lane. Got me honked at. It didn’t even put its right signal on, it just went for it. It’s ruder than me! Makes me wonder who’s driving they train it on. But, still love it overall and find it useful. When my 3 month trial is up, I will probably subscribe, I think it’s worth the price.
 
Yeah, lane selection is its biggest issue IMO. The day before yesterday in Sacramento it went straight from a left only lane. Got me honked at. It didn’t even put its right signal on, it just went for it. It’s ruder than me! Makes me wonder who’s driving they train it on. But, still love it overall and find it useful. When my 3 month trial is up, I will probably subscribe, I think it’s worth the price.
I don’t think it’s so much who it’s trained on than it’s just trying to go off of road markings. If it’s not perfectly clear it sometimes gets it wrong. All the markings for turn lanes in my town are painted on the pavement and the car doesn’t register seeing them until it’s on top of the markings. By that time it’s already too late.
 
My crystal ball sez the world will look a whole lot different in 10 years.
Tesla has forced a stragegic inflection point in the world of transportation.

Leaders don't follow. Do leaders make mistakes? Heck yeah.
Like Sears, Beatrice, and Maxtor which was a large commercial tape drive company in Colorado. They hedged their bets that tape drives would be the preferred medium for another decade which turned out to not be the case.
 
According to the Google...
Successful Deadlines and Accomplishments:
  • Robotaxi Launch: Tesla successfully launched their Robotaxi platform in Austin on June 22, 2025, which may have been a significant milestone for the company in 2025.
  • Autonomous Home Delivery: Tesla achieved a successful autonomous vehicle delivery from the factory to a customer's house on June 27, 2025, one day earlier than Elon Musk's promised date of June 28th.
  • Model 3 Production Ramp-up: After facing challenges, Tesla successfully ramped up the production of the Model 3, meeting their Q2 2018 target of producing 5,000 Model 3 per week.
  • Model Y Production and Expansion: Tesla started Model Y production at the Fremont Factory in 2020, and expanded to Gigafactory Shanghai, Gigafactory Texas, and Gigafactory Berlin-Brandenburg. The Model Y became the world's best-selling vehicle in 2023, demonstrating Tesla's ability to scale production effectively.
  • Production Targets:Tesla regularly reports its production and delivery numbers, including:
    • Q1 2025: Produced 362,615 vehicles and delivered 336,681.
    • Q1 2024: Produced 433,371 vehicles and delivered 386,810.
Tesla has a mixed track record regarding deadlines, but it has undeniably achieved remarkable feats in ramping up production and delivering on certain key projects, particularly those related to autonomous driving and vehicle production milestones.

Regardless, you are right about the CEO's fiduciary duty to the shareholders, which one could argue Elon has badly botched more than once...

AG, my point is, we are not talking about some small task; this is a autonomous driving car. From a high level, the WAYMO uses area maps while Tesla does not. Of course, this is an oversimplification; there is far more to the solution. What these cars are doing and will do is the stuff of dreams. Heck, your car could drop you off at work then be a Uber and make you $$.

I find autonomous driving scary, impressive, crazy and, well I dunno. And I have been playing with EAP and monitored FSD for years.

I have a modest TSLA investment that is currently 3x to the good. Shoulda bought earlier, like instead of the Model 3 Mid Range; that would be some serious coin! 14,000% gain! Of course you know Tesla dwarfs all the other car companies from a market cap valuation standpoint. The market has rewarded Tesla shareholders handsomely. While TSLA is a rollercoaster, that's the numbers.
I don't consider the autonomous delivery a success. It was followed by a Cybertruck for the entire trip, and then parked itself in a no parking fire lane, which would get most vehicles towed away.
 
Tesla service area expansion, larger than Waymo now. So clever of them to make it look like a SpaceX rocket.

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