Astro you are just being logical again...
I advocate for tech as a component. In my case, if I lost every tech penny I still have housing and other more stable securities. I use Schwab Wealth Advisory and we exclude this from planning exercises.
We agree on risk tolerance and time horizon. IMO, contingency planning is the critical component, which is why I have a very diversified portfolio. There are portfolio components I hate, such as the CA Muni Bond Fund. But if everything else went to pot I could live very well off SSI and the tax free interest without ever touching the principal.
IMO, owning your primary home free and clear (and fixed up) is a being risk adverse.
I consider the math a tool in achieving goals. I think that's what you said in your last statement.
You and I agree on a lot, Jeff - and that doesn’t surprise me.
I’m not “anti-tech” by the way, in our portfolio, we own Google, Amazon, Apple, and NVDIA, as well as a tech/small cap mutual fund.
But our risk tolerance is high, or perhaps I should say that our full portfolio is balanced, because of three defined benefit pensions earned through military service and government service (the lovely and talented Mrs. Astro just retired after 17 years as a GS). That’s a substantial “fixed income” portion of our overall asset picture.
So, while we are in tech, we are not all in. It’s not the only bet that we have made. We have utilities, industrials, energy, health care and a few other sectors and even then, the preponderance of the portfolio is in the S&P in the form of low cost index funds.
Finally, we made the decision to refinance several years ago when rates were low, and then made the decision to stockpile some short term cash in savings accounts for a couple of reasons, rather than paying off that low rate mortgage, all while continuing to contribute to retirement accounts.
All that to say - we understand our risk tolerance, and we have some very low risk, very stable, assets, but we do not have a paid-off house.
Risk-averse?
Yes, we were. When I left active duty to go back to the airline, there was uncertainty there. Mrs. Astro took a GS job because it offered stability and security (low risk of layoff, defined benefit pension) even though she could have made much more as a defense consultant (she is a retired Captain, USN, and has been a Commanding Officer as well as Chief of Staff).
So, like you, if the tech stocks went to zero tomorrow, we would still be OK.
Which means we can take a chance with tech, and still sleep at night.
The more interesting point of planning for us - how do we plan for high inflation? For huge increases in the cost of food, or medical care? For the chance that we can’t get insurance? For a big assessment on our dwelling?
All those things on the cost side that have hit the retirees in this country in general, and in Florida, in particular.
We are watching all of this unfold, and planning. Employing some arithmetic, of course…
