Negative equity

I agree with everything you say, but I would characterize your approach, not as equity, or asset, but thoughtfully managing overall costs.

Cars are a cost, not an asset.

But that cost is a big part of the average budget, so, keeping that cost under control, through your approach, is simply part of good financial management.

And good financial management includes future planning and investing.

For me, slightly different approach, within the “good financial management” framework, was to drive used cars, do the maintenance on them myself, and use the cash saved to invest.

Here is an example: 1970 Ford Fairlane Station Wagon. 302 2bbl. C4 auto. No AC. Crank windows. AM radio only. Bought in 1990 for $250. Sold in 1995 for $100. That’s $30/year depreciation. Not much of a loss, and 5 years without payments.
The part about cars are a cost not an asset is why leasing may not be a bad idea if the price of the vehicle is reasonable or conservative relative to income and if you get a low rate. When you capitalize the cost, add in maintenance, it works out similarly. It’s why a lot of high net worth people lease depreciating assets. I typically don’t do it because I don’t like payments but financially (again if you are not leasing to drive a Ferrari that you couldn’t afford to buy) it’s not that different. Add in a business deduction if legitimate and it’s pretty much a wash vs buying and certainly not a material difference if you are relatively high income.
 
Dealers got greedy starting in 2021 and consumers were dumb enough to go through on purchases many thousands over MSRP with 84 month loans. People are now stuck in those vehicles and I hope stealerships suffer the consequences of their actions.
There is always a leveling when market demand is high and supply is low. There was quite a few dealers early in the COVID market that stayed to MSRP but eventually when you see other dealerships and even private parties running side hustles buying your MSRP inventory and treating it like whole sale pricing and make $10K-$30K profit flipping it, you cannot ignore that money being left on the table and not join in.
 
Deregulation, or the failure to regulate, often comes back to hurt the public. History has repeatedly shown that banks and large financial institutions cannot be trusted to self-regulate when the incentives reward short-term gains over long-term stability. The idea that a small group of decision-makers will consistently choose what is best for the firm, the economy, or the public over what benefits them personally is not realistic.

The same problem applies to trickle-down economics too. When corporations and the ultra-wealthy receive large tax breaks, not only is there little evidence that the money will be passed on to workers or consumers, there's a ton of evidence that this doesn't happen most of the time. More often, those gains are retained, invested, used for buybacks, or directed toward executive and shareholder benefit.

The fundamental issue is incentives. When individuals can make enormous amounts of money from risky or self-serving decisions while pushing the downside onto employees, taxpayers, or the broader economy, self-regulation is not enough. Regulation is necessary because the upside for bad behavior is often too large, and the consequences are too widely shared.
I don’t disagree with you; this is why I said these types of loans should require higher capital charges.

There is one thing I would tell folks though, having worked in finance and law for a long time - it’s that the bigger firms have for a long time tied the compensation of pretty much anyone who can implicate risk to how the tails of those risks work out. To take some old and older but well known examples: when Long Term Capital Management went under and had to be rescued in the late 90s the principals of the firm - highly experienced and knowing their business very well - lost everything. Similarly when Lehman failed, management and again anyone in trading, risk management, etc. had almost all their compensation and most of their net worth tied to the fortunes of the firm. Post GFC, firms have become even stricter about this. There is no one at a mid size or large commercial bank or investment bank who is going to cash out of their investment or banking clients and leave the firm with the losses, it just doesn’t work that way, particularly not in the last 15 years. Even a recent failure like Credit Suisse was much more about 10 plus years of bad risk management that ruined the franchise.

Where you still will find poor risk management is at the smaller community banks and what not. Many of the firms may be credit unions or local banks, perhaps state regulated, where such practices are not adequately discouraged by capital penalties (ie requiring the bank to hold more capital against higher risk, under collateralized loans).

But the reality is that when politicians talk about measures to make sure banks don’t refuse to do business with, or otherwise “discriminate” against certain groups or neighborhoods, they are often encouraging banks, via weak capital and
Liquidity requirements, to make high risk loans. To some degree the housing crisis of 08 really began years earlier when the government started taking steps to make it affordable for everyone to own a home. It would be inaccurate to blame that factor alone as there were also holes in the regulatory framework, but the push for everyone to own a home certainly got the ball rolling towards a disaster 10 or so years later.

Long was of saying there is more to it than tying risk taking to incentives. That’s been done already, for a long time in fact.
 
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My lovely bride and I took a 60 month loan on our first vehicle. We ended up not so wild about it and that was when we learned the term “underwater” on our loan. Same thing everyone else is talking about; we owed more than the truck was worth. That was 40 years ago. We never made that mistake again on any home or vehicle loan. I bought my last truck for cash in 2018. I’m the king of overkill when it concerns maintaining my truck. My wife bought her last two cars for cash…well, that not precisely true. After haggling and walking out of the door a few times the dealership ended up cutting us a check for the difference in the value of our trade in for the vehicle she wanted. Driving around in a vehicle that you own outright is a pleasing little pleasure.
Thats a solid lesson learned, ownership of your decision-making, and wise counsel right there.
 
Wall Street journal has published article stating the average negative equity on for traded cars in 2026 is $7200.

This jumped 40% since 2021.
Look at all of the people who are buying $50K+ vehicles. Many of them I KNOW can't afford them and will end up having them repo'd...
 
LOL. People like you (and I) are trying to crash the economy. If everyone stopped buying things on credit, a brand new recession or worse would start. I did buy a new car 10 years ago, still have it and I paid cash.
And prices would go down...they'd have to...
 
I buy new cars every time. I don't want someone else's unmaintained turd wagon. I also keep my cars well past what one would consider relatively new. My daughter and her husband both went down the "latest and greatest" road when they first got married. Both ended up taking a beating in doing so. Luckily, he graduated engineering school and she's a nurse practitioner so they got out of it, many don't. Of course, this was after her enclave that she owed way more on than it was worth blew a transmission. She paid cash for the fix and paid that loan off in a year.
Nobody takes a financial beating like those driving a brand new vehicle off the lot. The only way to make that a sensible decision is to keep that vehicle until the wheels fall off...over the last 23 years I've bought nothing but used, and they have all been reliable. My last car was sold with 458K miles, and it was still going...of course, having a good bit of mechanical knowledge, and doing your research before hand helps immensely in choosing the right used vehicle...
 
Dealers got greedy starting in 2021 and consumers were dumb enough to go through on purchases many thousands over MSRP with 84 month loans. People are now stuck in those vehicles and I hope stealerships suffer the consequences of their actions.
And consumers are still stuck with the pandemic prices...
 
I think the shock of it is that buyers are rolling negative equity from one bad decision into the exorbitant price of another. Its not really predatory lending, but financial mis-management. I'm no financial wiz, but I'm shocked at what people do and feel comfortable with.
But they gotta have that new Beemer or Mercedes...
 
I don’t include our vehicle values in our net worth assessment. To me that’s like including the food in your pantry as part of your assets. Vehicles are liabilities. But they should not be over leveraged. Carrying negative equity on vehicles is rarely a good idea and should be avoided. But if you must get GAP insurance.
Gap insurance? :ROFLMAO: Many of these financial geniuses don't have ANY insurance...
 
Now you're scaring me... OMG. Why would anyone do such a thing? And why would a lender do such a thing? Everybody loses.
Look at the people driving around in premium brand vehicles. A lot of them, if not most of them don't exactly look like business execs...
 
The part about cars are a cost not an asset is why leasing may not be a bad idea if the price of the vehicle is reasonable or conservative relative to income and if you get a low rate. When you capitalize the cost, add in maintenance, it works out similarly. It’s why a lot of high net worth people lease depreciating assets. I typically don’t do it because I don’t like payments but financially (again if you are not leasing to drive a Ferrari that you couldn’t afford to buy) it’s not that different. Add in a business deduction if legitimate and it’s pretty much a wash vs buying and certainly not a material difference if you are relatively high income.
Leasing is okay if you don't mind ALWAYS having a vehicle payment...
 
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Almost missed this one. Kumbaya for the beater boys.....

Theres some very affluent folks that can buy fancy vehicles with cash.

Others need 72 month financing…… which is not bad as long as it’s a reasonable vehicle for their family needs.
 
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I don’t disagree with you; this is why I said these types of loans should require higher capital charges.

There is one thing I would tell folks though, having worked in finance and law for a long time - it’s that the bigger firms have for a long time tied the compensation of pretty much anyone who can implicate risk to how the tails of those risks work out. To take some old and older but well known examples: when Long Term Capital Management went under and had to be rescued in the late 90s the principals of the firm - highly experienced and knowing their business very well - lost everything. Similarly when Lehman failed, management and again anyone in trading, risk management, etc. had almost all their compensation and most of their net worth tied to the fortunes of the firm. Post GFC, firms have become even stricter about this. There is no one at a mid size or large commercial bank or investment bank who is going to cash out of their investment or banking clients and leave the firm with the losses, it just doesn’t work that way, particularly not in the last 15 years. Even a recent failure like Credit Suisse was much more about 10 plus years of bad risk management that ruined the franchise.

Where you still will find poor risk management is at the smaller community banks and what not. Many of the firms may be credit unions or local banks, perhaps state regulated, where such practices are not adequately discouraged by capital penalties (ie requiring the bank to hold more capital against higher risk, under collateralized loans).

But the reality is that when politicians talk about measures to make sure banks don’t refuse to do business with, or otherwise “discriminate” against certain groups or neighborhoods, they are often encouraging banks, via weak capital and
Liquidity requirements, to make high risk loans. To some degree the housing crisis of 08 really began years earlier when the government started taking steps to make it affordable for everyone to own a home. It would be inaccurate to blame that factor alone as there were also holes in the regulatory framework, but the push for everyone to own a home certainly got the ball rolling towards a disaster 10 or so years later.

Long was of saying there is more to it than tying risk taking to incentives. That’s been done already, for a long time in fact.
“When Genius Failed” by Roger Lowenstein - about the collapse of Long Term Capital Management - a great read, and great insight into Wall Street.
 
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Good thread but much incorrect information.

The majority of new auto loans are not originated by the banks, there originated by the OEM's captive lenders - like GM financial. They only exist to originate overpriced car loans. So those complaining about bank regulation need to complain about some other form of regulation. But the Ford / GM / UAW golden children would never stand for any such regulation.

Some are originated by banks and credit unions but I suspect those are much better quality loans because bankers are not stupid.

Its not considered predatory to roll negative equity. There simply re-financing debt that already exists. If the borrower is dumb enough to do it, and the lender is dumb enough to lend, then so be it.

Negative equity has been a thing forever. Simply the amount is higher now - likely due to the overpriced cars people have been buying.
 
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