1% or so. That is the reasonable expectation you should have when switching to a more efficient oil. If you get much more than that then the first thing to do is question your data sampling. For example, on a fill of only two or three gallons, a very small difference in the amount that gets into the tank, because the car might be sitting at a slightly different angle when filled, is enough to create an error easily as much as 20-25%.
Unfortunately, even if you track your mileage over tens of thousands of miles, other variables will always get in the way of being able to accurately measure a 1% or smaller difference. You will just have to assume it is there and be satisfied with that.