Originally Posted By: Tempest
I certainly loath this bailout, but at this point, I don't see a whole lot of options.
Without credit, business will suffer and the housing market will totally collapse devaluing homes even more than they already are, wiping out people's nest egg. Without venture/expansion capital, business will at best stagnate and probably take a serious dive. This equates to massive unemployment and we have the 1930's all over again.
I do think that a bailout is the cheapest long run option, assuming they do it right.
What that right is, is the big question.
Gov. got us into this mess, they will have to get us out. But the best thing they can do is make the most friendly business environment possible to get employment up and get the economy moving again...i.e. lower taxes on business.
Of course this in non-PC as evil businesses must be punished for making money. So like killing cats during the black plague, we will persecute the very entities that are able to pull us out of this.
I seriously doubt a bail out will do anything in help. People will sell the bad loan and stop giving out loan again. The only way to "bail out" is hyper inflation, when the fundamental doesn't justify the housing price, devalue dollar so it justify, and let the people who hold dollar lose it all. Fair for the rich and honest people who pay with their salary, bad for those who save money in the bank.
Business will not suffer without credit, the problem is there are too much credit and interest rate is too low, so the bank is trying to make more with financial engineering. There will always be enough credit with the right interest rate, but the government and the wall street don't want high interest rate to reduce home value and have a write off.
Nest egg? They are gone either because dollar devalued or taxed to the size of a rasin from the bail out, you pick the poison.
Employment won't change until things are settled, business don't invest when the risk is high.
Like I said, you bail them out, they get smart and still stop lending out money.