Investors....come in please!

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Originally Posted By: Warstud
I still think some kind of correction is around the corner.

I've been trimming a little off the top, now have about 42% cash. I think I'm ready.
 
Originally Posted By: Brybo86
Old mopar so You have 42% cash. What is the rest in?

BP, VZ, AGNC, ARR, TWO, FTR, FSC, PSEC. Recently sold AGNC, BMY, FTR, PSEC, WFE-PRA.

This is just since the first of the year. This is way more trading then I intended this year, but the yoyo market insists on giving me money. What can I say?
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Originally Posted By: Oldmoparguy1
Originally Posted By: Warstud
I still think some kind of correction is around the corner.

I've been trimming a little off the top, now have about 42% cash. I think I'm ready.


Haven't you guys been saying this for the past 2-3 years?
 
Originally Posted By: Brybo86
Hey all looking for advice
Im 30yrs old have 5% match to 403b TIAA at work,

currently invested in TIAA
30% TRPGX
30% TRSPX
20% TSRPX
20% TRVPX
here i'm thinking of changing to more % TRPGX and getting rid of TSRPX

outside of TIAA i have a vanguard ROTH account currently at this

50% VTI
25% VOO
25% VBR

and I am thinking I want to do this....

40% VTI
20% VUG
20% VO
20% VIOG

thoughts? TIA


Go to bogleheads.org for real advice. This is a motor oil site
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in a nutshell - you want to replicate the total stock market, in the cheapest way (fees) possible. Decide your AA (asset allocation), for how much risk you can and need to take, and, most importantly, stick to your plan.
"The enemy of a good plan, is the dream of a perfect plan"
 
I trying to build a list of mutual funds that have beaten the market in up swings and have also lost significantly less in the downturns.

SO far I have
PRBLX
TAGRX
VHCAX
VDIGX
VPMAX

the last 3 are closed to new investors... facepalm
 
In my Vanguard Flagship account VTI is a major holding at a very low cost.
VTSAX is the mutual fund that mirrors VTI ETF.

My 401K with Fidelity has lower fees than Vanguard.
 
Originally Posted By: surfstar
Originally Posted By: Oldmoparguy1
Originally Posted By: Warstud
I still think some kind of correction is around the corner.

I've been trimming a little off the top, now have about 42% cash. I think I'm ready.


Haven't you guys been saying this for the past 2-3 years?


They always say it when the market is up. I remember back in '96 they were saying this and the market kept going up for another 4 years before it finally crashed. But it never crashed back to 96 levels and I think the people who got out never got back in at the right time so you're better off leaving it in unless you have an immediate need for the money.
 
Originally Posted By: Wolf359
Originally Posted By: surfstar
Originally Posted By: Oldmoparguy1
Originally Posted By: Warstud
I still think some kind of correction is around the corner.

I've been trimming a little off the top, now have about 42% cash. I think I'm ready.


Haven't you guys been saying this for the past 2-3 years?


They always say it when the market is up. I remember back in '96 they were saying this and the market kept going up for another 4 years before it finally crashed. But it never crashed back to 96 levels and I think the people who got out never got back in at the right time so you're better off leaving it in unless you have an immediate need for the money.


You guys are confusing Crash with Correction. I Buy when the market is oversold so I have minimal downside risk. And Sell when the market is overbought.
 
Originally Posted By: Brybo86
I trying to build a list of mutual funds that have beaten the market in up swings and have also lost significantly less in the downturns.


That sounds like a losing strategy. Back-testing and/or looking at prior performance is no way to guarantee future results. In fact they have studies that show people flow into funds that have performed well in the past, to only under-perform in the future.

Good luck, though.
 
Originally Posted By: Warstud
Originally Posted By: Wolf359

They always say it when the market is up. I remember back in '96 they were saying this and the market kept going up for another 4 years before it finally crashed. But it never crashed back to 96 levels and I think the people who got out never got back in at the right time so you're better off leaving it in unless you have an immediate need for the money.


You guys are confusing Crash with Correction. I Buy when the market is oversold so I have minimal downside risk. And Sell when the market is overbought.


So have you outperformed the S&P 500 with that fail-safe strategy?

"Buy low, sell high" - sounds so simple, how hard could it be?
 
Originally Posted By: surfstar
Originally Posted By: Warstud
Originally Posted By: Wolf359

They always say it when the market is up. I remember back in '96 they were saying this and the market kept going up for another 4 years before it finally crashed. But it never crashed back to 96 levels and I think the people who got out never got back in at the right time so you're better off leaving it in unless you have an immediate need for the money.


You guys are confusing Crash with Correction. I Buy when the market is oversold so I have minimal downside risk. And Sell when the market is overbought.


So have you outperformed the S&P 500 with that fail-safe strategy?

"Buy low, sell high" - sounds so simple, how hard could it be?


It's all about patience. Have I outperformed the S&P 500? Yes...because I mostly trade SSO. It a 2X the performance of the SP 500.
 
The market seems largely impervious to anything at this point so I'd assume a meaningful correction would occur when the critical mass of clarity on policies, bad news, and other factors including the Fed's number of rate hikes come together. That may be longer than conventional wisdom would tell you but I ain't predicting....
 
Originally Posted By: gfh77665
Where do you all think the market will top out at before a meaningful correction [10% or more] occurs?


Nobody knows....The Markets are at new highs so there's no overhead resistance. I think whats driving the markets higher is the lack of institutional selling and short covering.
 
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