Speculative is the word. I thnk 5% is fine for almost any portfolio.
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- Thread starter Warstud
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That seems a lot to me personally, but depends on size, age, etc
Or how insane you are
Hypothetically say you have $5Meg or so.Or how insane you are
You ain't gonna die if $250K goes bye-bye. Stings like a yellow jacket and move on.
$750K? $37,500 gone? You gonna starve!
I warned you about charts
Hypothetically say you have $5Meg or so.
You ain't gonna die if $250K goes bye-bye. Stings like a yellow jacket and move on.
$750K? $37,500 gone? You gonna starve!
Mentally I condition my brain if the ‘casino cash’ trade goes up in smoke I do NOT lose any sleep on a dumb dumb move.
More Corn Flakes for breakfast, lunch and dinner…..
What ....... What ..... What
Agree on what exactly?
Intel versus AMD as an AI play - What are your thoughts.
My preliminary analysis is:
Intel is a better value with a low "price to price to book value ratio" of only 1.76 which is low for a technology stock.
But Intel has some huge annual negative free cash flow of -14.2 Billion a year.
Intel pays a 1.6% dividend a year which is nice, while AMD has no dividend.
AMD's valuation is much more expensive, with a price to book value ratio of 6.00.
AMD is seen as a real competitor to Nvidia in GPU's for AI use.
Intel is releasing GPU chips to try to compete with AMD and Nvidia.
Could Intel be a hidden gem, with a market value that could quadruple in the next 5 years?
My preliminary analysis is:
Intel is a better value with a low "price to price to book value ratio" of only 1.76 which is low for a technology stock.
But Intel has some huge annual negative free cash flow of -14.2 Billion a year.
Intel pays a 1.6% dividend a year which is nice, while AMD has no dividend.
AMD's valuation is much more expensive, with a price to book value ratio of 6.00.
AMD is seen as a real competitor to Nvidia in GPU's for AI use.
Intel is releasing GPU chips to try to compete with AMD and Nvidia.
Could Intel be a hidden gem, with a market value that could quadruple in the next 5 years?
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Off 5% on a down volume day?
Based purely on the charts I posted - and like I said, I am not a chartist.
Its maybe a bit early, but all the trends tend to be approaching an inflection - but your still in the middle of a bunch of them so it could keep going down for a while.
If you wanted out the charts said to sell a month ago. If your already inclined to own it, then I would they seem to say thats OK to hold at this point but it might keep going down for a while. They don't scream buy, and they can change tomorrow, and they only work some percentage of the time anyway.
Clear as mud?
That’s why I asked and why I think charts for materials are an illusion
No, there statistics about herd mentality. There not a promise, just odds, and they confirm moves or predict pending moves. If you don't believe in them - your in good company. I personally think they help confirm what you think you already know.
Look again, I marked some spots. This is a 6 month chart. At a month ago this stock peaked. You need to look at these in total.
First set of lines are the Bollinger bands. See how they tightened - that indicates its getting closer to an inflection.
The second is RSI - overbought or oversold. It hit 70 a month ago 70+ = overbought.
The third is on balance volume. That curve should approximately follow the price curve to confirm the price trend. A month ago it confirmed the start of the downtrend was a correct market trend, not an anomaly.
Last is your MACD lines. After being positive for a while, there bouncing around zero and starting to go negative. They all point to a change, and since the rally had topped, the change was down.
Now look at all the same but 30 days later - or today. The BB is starting to tighten but not by much, your RSI is in the middle, neither overbought or oversold, the on balance volume is still following trend so its still a rational market, and the MACD lines are still negative but less negative. So like I said, its not really telling a lot at this point, but things are starting to look better. However looking back a the chart it can sit at mediocrity for a while. Like I said, it doesn't scream buy, and it doesn't scream sell either - right now.
These indicators handicap the odds the herd is getting closer to turning, and confirm a turn is real once it happens. If the herd is just doing its thing - there is nothing to tell.
Oh I know how they are supposed to work and they do decently for stocks. Not gold and materials
As the saying goes, hindsight is 20/20, lol
intel has a better chart
In all seriousness - someone needs to help me with this GPU thing. So all these big internet companies are going to build there big data centers, then scrape the internet for everyone's data, and then assuming the courts let them monetize it without paying the owner, what then? Will they need new data centers? Where is this forever demand GPU need coming from?
Or is this just .com 2.0. They still haven't connected to all the fiber that worldcom pulled in the late 90;s, because them and Cisco and Lucent were going to be the hardware providers of the internet revolution.
My online broker tells me you can buy NVDA right now for $851.00 Thats 12% less than what it was at 10:00 yesterday morning.
Thats over $200B in market cap, the entire market cap of Walt Disney, or Pepsico, or way more than Caterpillar - in a day.
Thats over $200B in market cap, the entire market cap of Walt Disney, or Pepsico, or way more than Caterpillar - in a day.
