There are so many moving parts its hard to sort it out. We have had a huge increase in interest rates along with a huge increase in fuel prices - but were not anywhere near a recession - if you believe the numbers. We have wartime deficits in peacetime - but the long bond is still low. The market is up 20% this year - but if you take out the magnificent 7 its not really up much. The real estate market is anemic on volume, but prices continue creeping up.
I am just confused.
I think I will look through the part of my portfolio I manage, and sell half it on Monday. Buy some more 5% T-bills and wait for something to happen?
Basically calm before the storm.
Very bizarre how everything is playing out, don’t forget there’s very low unemployment and economy data that can NOT be trusted. Election next year so for now things will remain ‘normal’ .
As if said a few times on here…… “Check your weather radar for storm clouds on the horizon.”