*Investors Blog*

You keep waiting for this recession with cash...I'm ready to cut you off 😆 🤣
Your second post here...
Get a new song Dave 🎵 😁

Post in thread '*Investors Blog*' https://bobistheoilguy.com/forums/threads/investors-blog.351194/post-6024770

YES. I strongly feel I’m 100% correct about allowing a ‘natural’ recession to happen.
It would be very healthy and necessary to let things play out how they should have.
STOP the intervention and kicking the can down the road by helping people / companies on never ending financial life support.

What happens when Liquidity slows down and they are NOT pumping trillions and trillions of cold hard cash into the economy…. ?

I made some money riding the waves up and down so I benefited from all this crazy market manipulation and animal spirits.

Having cash on the sidelines allows me to make some money with momentum trades.
Some trades I have zero interest in but if it can make some money…… great.

Example:
Leveraged Oil & Natural Gas ETFs when the war broke out in Europe (Feb 2022).
 
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I dont agree or disagree with you as you have done VERY well for yourself in the market.
I do wonder though, if and it's a big IF maybe we bottomed already.

At least with big growth companies. WMT, META disappointed in Amazon but who knows.
Anyway, I read an interesting opinion piece today that China is getting crushed by these tariffs and talks are happening and China has made some moves. China knows they are in much bigger trouble then us.
Its interesting for me, having grown up in NY, this paper used to be considered a junk paper, now (no politics) it seems to be the truth paper of all things in the USA going back for years now.

Anyway (NO politics, strictly tariff related) I can't help but think China will in a short period of time settle this with the USA.
I wonder and just wonder if the institutions have already and continue to accumulate equities before the retail investor comes back.
I mean, funds HAVE to stay invested and legally can only pull out for short periods of time. With this said I think no one controls and manipulates the markets anymore. They are just too big on a world wide scale. I think it was much more prevalent many decades ago.

So, are the big guys buying back in, waiting for the tariff issue to clear up?
Once that happens will they sell back into the rally for what might be a sling shot effect of elation over the end of tariffs followed by the reality of weak earrings for a period of time, possibly recession as we come out of the effects of the tariff.

I know, I think too much... *LOL* Also I am only talking for the long term investors, short term market is another ball game.

Interesting perspective,
"America is by far China’s largest customer, absorbing about one-sixth of China’s exports. If the tariffs stay in place for any length of time, economists estimate that 80% of China’s goods will be priced out of the American market, representing a loss of almost $400 billion.

As many as 10 million Chinese workers might lose their jobs over the next few weeks, says Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a number that could easily double in the months that follow as the ripple effects of the slowdown tear through the economy."
https://nypost.com/2025/05/03/opinion/despite-their-denials-china-is-losing-the-tariffs-war/

Hopefully the tariffs get worked out.

No denying the USA has lots of problems and issues (both here and overseas) that can NOT be ignored.

Tariffs are one issue……. the crazy amount of debt bubbles are another.

Global banks are intertwined much more than the average person even realizes.
 
Financial advisors don't shield their customers from market downturns any better than the pros. For some folks, absolutely the best choice for some folks - if a good one is found.

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AM super safe day trades:

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Financial advisors don't shield their customers from market downturns any better than the pros. For some folks, absolutely the best choice for some folks - if a good one is found.

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AM super safe day trades:

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I don't have a financial advisor.
 
I don't have a financial advisor.
"wealth advisor"

"A wealth advisor is a financial professional who helps individuals and families manage their financial resources, create investment strategies, and plan for future financial goals such as retirement and estate planning. They provide personalized advice based on a client's unique financial situation and objectives."
 
I don't have a financial advisor.
O yes they can , I have one . I pay him 2% . I am down 2.16% right now after all this uncertainty. The money I have with him is broken into 24 different investments . I have 15 individual stocks as of Friday with him , so you can't say that it's a wimpy portfolio .
 
I'm glad I'm not most of you guys speculating on this, or that or who farts next that sends your retirement savings in which direction. I happily pay a top notch wealth advisor to look after this crap for me. Worth every penny.

Key Financial Inc

https://g.co/kgs/QSJ93Yo

I worry little about day to day fluctuations.
But yo! Have fun 😊

Isn’t there some minimum balance requirement to have a wealth advisor ?
 
"wealth advisor"

"A wealth advisor is a financial professional who helps individuals and families manage their financial resources, create investment strategies, and plan for future financial goals such as retirement and estate planning. They provide personalized advice based on a client's unique financial situation and objectives."
Imagine you can pick a description/definition from just about anywhere.
In my terms, a financial advisor is the guy that comes stock with your Fidelity or Vanguard 401k ... whatever. For folks with half a brain that want to maximize their future financial stability. Personalize their investment strategy as they work toward retirement.

A wealth advisor is for folks that already have the money but want to maximize it's earning potential and tax risk mitigation, legacy distribution, etc...
2 different animals and they are definitely not the same.
 
O yes they can , I have one . I pay him 2% . I am down 2.16% right now after all this uncertainty. The money I have with him is broken into 24 different investments . I have 15 individual stocks as of Friday with him , so you can't say that it's a wimpy portfolio .
I don't understand your response whatsoever.
 
Imagine you can pick a description/definition from just about anywhere.
In my terms, a financial advisor is the guy that comes stock with your Fidelity or Vanguard 401k ... whatever. For folks with half a brain that want to maximize their future financial stability. Personalize their investment strategy as they work toward retirement.

A wealth advisor is for folks that already have the money but want to maximize it's earning potential and tax risk mitigation, legacy distribution, etc...
2 different animals and they are definitely not the same.
Not sure why you post in this thread, but you certainly are free to do so.
 
You’re a more advanced trader than 95% of investors of here.

How did you get into options ?

I’m never done options, I think it might turn me into a gambler.
Gambling not involved at all when selling covered calls. I am not really a stock picker. My wealth came with time and savings and funds at first. I started into options to add income to my tax deferred accounts

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