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Of course if the “leak” geometry remains the same - but the dP slowly increases as the filter media loads - a higher percentage of flow will divert towards the “leak” …The flow field entering a constriction and exiting a constriction changes. For flow entering the constriction, the fluid accelerates. For flow exiting the constriction, the flow decelerates. This induces a pressure drop in addition to the pressure drop of flowing through the orifice itself. This additional pressure drop reduces the flow that will go through the constriction at any given total pressure drop available. That is my point. The calculation used above assumed a plain rectangular passageway for the rectangular slot, but used an orifice calculation for the round hole, which included the effects of the constriction and expansion. That is apples and oranges. You need to use the same methodology for both of them.
Given the same flow area and flow, which was the assumption of the above calculation, the rectangular slot with a very large aspect ratio will have a higher pressure drop than a round hole at the same flow rate. The velocity through both of them will be the same.