Last Saturday the area had a significant amount of rain. No impact that I personally saw, but last night learned that Roswell NM has significant flooding in many buildings. Maybe a refinery or support to a refinery was flooded.Majors have a person that sits at a desk all day to calculate the price for the stations. Was there snowfall in the mountains, price goes up if your near a ski resort. Is it a holiday, or other special day that might increase demand? Price goes up.
And yes, the refinery closure as well as wars all have an impact.