Where A340's go to die

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BTW those aircraft you mention were all, all, built with heaping helpings of government direct investment. And, in most cases, virtually all, they were not a commercial success. Just like Airbus.

As to Russian nuclear threats to be deterred by British and French nukes....if Putin attacks Frankfort with conventional forces are those two going to trade London and Paris for Frankfort? Don't know. But I can guess. Or will they come crying to us? Don't know. But I can guess.

Meanwhile, back at the gasthaus, the German Air Force has seven, seven, operational, serviceable fighter aircraft as of last month. Tic. Tic. Tic.
 
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Here's a little one month old news item that illustrates nicely what the government subsidized or owned (more or less) makers *compete*. Notice the A330 data point.

Uganda Airlines II, starting to take shape, but I am not liking many of the decisions made so far. CEO Ephraim Bagenda has just 6 years of aircraft maintenance experience at Rwandair? really? when commercialisation will make or break the new airline? they have a CEO with no commercial, finance, sales, marketing, RM, etc. experience? it is just not the right qualification for a CEO for a new national carrier. Now, Uganda Airlines has the unique distinction of being the the only buyer of the A330-800 in the whole world? why?, though it did get a 58.4% discount (to $US 108M) on the $US 259.9M list priced aircraft, they could have leased a new B787-8/9 or A350-900? Meanwhile Bombardier is showing its desperation to sell its struggling CRJ’s by selling 4 x CRJ900’s to Uganda Airlines for $US 110.8M ($US 27.7M each), which is a discount of 40.4% from the list price of $US 46.5M each, very good for Uganda Airlines, but could have leased them also or E175’s/190’s, but now the fleet resembles that of Rwandair (except no B737’s yet). So what did AA pay for the 15 + 15 CRJ900 order a few weeks back? surely more than 55% off ($US 20.9M for each)? which is not far from the estimated cost of $18.8M, leaving a small margin for the new Regional Aircraft Division now that CSeries is part of Airbus for free. Looks like great deals are plenty today from all 4 commercial jet aircraft OEM’s.
 
Originally Posted By: Snagglefoot
Planes can be markers of time.


And good investments because of it. Look at warbirds. The P-51 in particular. In the 60's they were all but a dime a dozen, and hard to sell. I remember when I was in high school, Flying Magazine did a, "flight test" of a Cavalier Aircraft restored P-51. They were an aircraft company based out of Sarasota, Florida at the time, that used to buy scrapped out, surplus P-51's, tear them down to the bare airframe, and rebuild them from the ground up. (Scroll down to page 54 for the article in the February 1969 issue for the story).

https://books.google.com/books?id=F0ai83...cud&f=false

They are long out of business. But the one they tested in 1969, I believe was "Base Priced" at $76,000.00. Today they price out at close to $1 million or more. Every year more get wrecked in accidents. They don't make them anymore, and every year there are fewer and fewer of them flying.
 
I read years ago that the Canadian federal government had sold off its remaining Mustangs in the mid to late '50s, for $15K each. At well over $1M now, they would have been a good investment for someone.
 
BillT460

They are long out of business. But the one they tested in 1969, I believe was "Base Priced" at $76,000.00. Today they price out at close to $1 million or more. Every year more get wrecked in accidents. They don't make them anymore, and every year there are fewer and fewer of them flying.

That's hilarious, I remember the same issue and story. Dang, we're old. LOL. Every now and then I wonder if anybody specific actually owns the tech data package for the Mustang and could manufacture it (not likely economic but, hey, some of these things are up to $3M each). Of course the collectors would go ape caca. Come to think of it Back Flush or similar probably owns the TOP to keep that from happening.

Cheers

Larry
 
Originally Posted By: DeepFriar
BTW those aircraft you mention were all, all, built with heaping helpings of government direct investment. And, in most cases, virtually all, they were not a commercial success. Just like Airbus.

As to Russian nuclear threats to be deterred by British and French nukes....if Putin attacks Frankfort with conventional forces are those two going to trade London and Paris for Frankfort? Don't know. But I can guess. Or will they come crying to us? Don't know. But I can guess.

Meanwhile, back at the gasthaus, the German Air Force has seven, seven, operational, serviceable fighter aircraft as of last month. Tic. Tic. Tic.


The UK and France would be about as likely to come to the aid of Germany as would the Israelis.
Modern Germany is an American creation. It would not exist save for the efforts and the dollars the US put into it.
That Germany has failed to provide for its own defense is the fault of Germany alone.
Germany can well afford to spend more on its own defense.
 
Originally Posted By: DeepFriar
Here's a little one month old news item that illustrates nicely what the government subsidized or owned (more or less) makers *compete*. Notice the A330 data point.

Uganda Airlines II, starting to take shape, but I am not liking many of the decisions made so far. CEO Ephraim Bagenda has just 6 years of aircraft maintenance experience at Rwandair? really? when commercialisation will make or break the new airline? they have a CEO with no commercial, finance, sales, marketing, RM, etc. experience? it is just not the right qualification for a CEO for a new national carrier. Now, Uganda Airlines has the unique distinction of being the the only buyer of the A330-800 in the whole world? why?, though it did get a 58.4% discount (to $US 108M) on the $US 259.9M list priced aircraft, they could have leased a new B787-8/9 or A350-900? Meanwhile Bombardier is showing its desperation to sell its struggling CRJ’s by selling 4 x CRJ900’s to Uganda Airlines for $US 110.8M ($US 27.7M each), which is a discount of 40.4% from the list price of $US 46.5M each, very good for Uganda Airlines, but could have leased them also or E175’s/190’s, but now the fleet resembles that of Rwandair (except no B737’s yet). So what did AA pay for the 15 + 15 CRJ900 order a few weeks back? surely more than 55% off ($US 20.9M for each)? which is not far from the estimated cost of $18.8M, leaving a small margin for the new Regional Aircraft Division now that CSeries is part of Airbus for free. Looks like great deals are plenty today from all 4 commercial jet aircraft OEM’s.


The discounts you're citing are typical for both Boeing and Airbus. The list price is but a wet dream and half off that is normal.
How about Boeing's having sold UAL 737s dirt cheap to keep Bombardier out of the game?
Cutthroat competition didn't begin with the modern Airbus and Boeing although between Bombardier and Embraer, I know who got the better deal.
As a Boeing shareholder, I really wish Boeing had.
 
Originally Posted By: Number_35
I read years ago that the Canadian federal government had sold off its remaining Mustangs in the mid to late '50s, for $15K each. At well over $1M now, they would have been a good investment for someone.

Average house price in Toronto Ontario Canada in mid 50's about $15K CDN. Now about $1 million CDN.
 
I rode on a -300 to Germany once. The next time I made sure I flew on the 747. The A340 was comfy but slow and I prefer Boeing anyways.
 
Originally Posted By: fdcg27
DeepFriar said:
Here's a little one month old news item that illustrates nicely what the government subsidized or owned (more or less) makers *compete*. Notice the A330 data point.

Uganda Airlines

The discounts you're citing are typical for both Boeing and Airbus. The list price is but a wet dream and half off that is normal.
How about Boeing's having sold UAL 737s dirt cheap to keep Bombardier out of the game?
Cutthroat competition didn't begin with the modern Airbus and Boeing although between Bombardier and Embraer, I know who got the better deal.
As a Boeing shareholder, I really wish Boeing had.



We don't disagree on the cutthroat competition. But the significance of the Uganda Airline example is twofold: first is the nearly 60% discount on a single aircraft sale. That ain't normal. Second is that only Uganda (as a result of the low price no doubt) has bought the 330-800. Excitement for the A330 must be waning (that's a guess).

Bombardier's competitive problem with Boeing is based on the fact that there are quite literally thousands of 737's and it's still in high rate production making honest low price possible. Bombardier, on the other hand, can't come far enough down the price curve to meet the Boeing price without going under their own cost line, i.e., dumping. Boeing's early and continuing success causes a very high barrier to market entry. Two things happen. As a state supported player Bombardier's fully loaded cost will tend to be higher because of the financial structure alone, never mind the low rate of production. And, because the state stands behind it, the banks LOVE to loan money to them. So the manufacturer will tend to carry a higher debt load even BEFORE seeking more direct investment from the state as they get deeper into trouble. Hello Boeing lawyers. It's a bad spiral, all caused by trying to get into an established market. It's a very tough game.

When they were going to lose the legal dumping problem again recently this past time they literally gave away that design and production to Airbus to become a supplier instead of a prime. Effectively it was to hide under the skirts of Airbus's accounting system....which we know a little bit about. Meanwhile Boeing reacts by entering a joint venture with Embraer (they basically bought the airliner branch) to get even lower cost production capability. I know you know all this. I'm just trying to explain, badly I'm sure, to other readers who aren't in the business. I'm not in the plane business either but watch it from the avionics standpoint.

Finally, if Quebec had not supported Bombardier fully and from Day 1 it would have gone out of business long ago. Quebec won't let it die. It's a pride thing and a jobs thing to them. And, according to some, it goes deeper than that. Having an aerospace prime is another credibility check mark that says, in Quebec's mind, that Quebec can legitimately be it's own country, a position they take on a regular basis to shake down the Canadian federal government.

Bottom line: the "it can not die" nature of the public purse they receive absolutely defines them as an unfair competitor.
 
I know the 1st iteration of the A340 used CFM56 engines - wasn't the choice of Rolls-Royce on the later A340-500 meant to improve takeoff performance and allow the plane to haul more at the expense of fuel consumption?
 
IDK, the C-Series seems like a very promising design that slots in neatly below the current volume leading single aisle Airbus and Boeing offerings. Embraer's aircraft with older design seem less competitive.
If Boeing used Embraer to produce smaller 737 models then it might have something. Nothing in Embraer's current lineup seems all that compelling.
It is a great game, though and it is a shame to see both Bombardier and Embraer engulfed in the Airbus/Boeing duopoly.
The Russians are basically out of business these days as are the Japanese, which leaves China as the next home of a competing large commercial airframe manufacturer. They'll build their own turbines as well. China has quickly and quietly evolved from a source of cheap product into a technical powerhouse.
It will happen within the next decade.
 
Originally Posted By: fdcg27
IDK, the C-Series seems like a very promising design that slots in neatly below the current volume leading single aisle Airbus and Boeing offerings. Embraer's aircraft with older design seem less competitive.
If Boeing used Embraer to produce smaller 737 models then it might have something. Nothing in Embraer's current lineup seems all that compelling.
It is a great game, though and it is a shame to see both Bombardier and Embraer engulfed in the Airbus/Boeing duopoly.
The Russians are basically out of business these days as are the Japanese, which leaves China as the next home of a competing large commercial airframe manufacturer. They'll build their own turbines as well. China has quickly and quietly evolved from a source of cheap product into a technical powerhouse.
It will happen within the next decade.


There was no criticism of the C-series, nothing notably wrong with it. They were just caught red handed dumping in the Delta and AA sales if memory serves. The jig was up and they bailed out to Airbus so as to even stay in business. As for the Chinese, it has not been an easy road for them even with being handed 919 (mad dog) production lock, stock and barrel top. That and all the design work they can steal. We've be been told for forty years that by helping the Chinese modernize they will become like Iowa Rotarians over time and be "just like us". Stupid. Beyond stupid. Criminal.

Now, forty years later, how many millions of manufacturing and tech jobs got shipped there not just from the U.S. but from every industrialized country? And, the now tame and friendly Chinese are a bigger menace than they ever were and very actively working to bring us down. Say you don't believe that and I'll bury you under valid Intel data that says otherwise. There should be politicians and cosmopolitan school academics hanging from the light poles. (J/K). Seriously, it just hasn't worked and now the Japanese and Taiwanese along with its other neighbors are getting pushed around while China is claiming an entire ocean is theirs. Yeah, they're just like us alright. God must indeed be on our side. No country with leadership this stupid could have survived this long otherwise. Rant ends.

To round out this thread from my end, we aren't perfect but please don't get into the "blame America first" crowd more without all the data. Tiresome cynicism about big bad America is just faux intellectualism. We get enough of that from blindered and misled college students these days. Get all the data. Read and understand both points of view and then arrive at an informed, common sense position. That's where we're going wrong. We are being lazy, all of us, when we retreat into our silos, cover our ears and go la, la,la,la, I can't hear you. One of the best places to read both sides of current issues is realclearpolitics.com. It provides an equal amount of opposing views every day. Real clear networks also includes other areas like defense, energy, world affairs, etc. etc. also providing opposing views. Cheers.
 
I like the C-series, I can't bring myself to call it an Airbus. I've flown in a few and they're fantastic little jets. Leaps and bounds over the old CRJs I used to fly and built less than 100 miles from my house. As for Boeing, I'm sure they're NEVER gave an airline a huge discount on jets before. They don't have a jet that can compete in the 80-100 seat market so why not cry wolf??
 
Agree on Boeing aggressiveness. As the thread tries to show though, they can do that without dumping because of their production rates, process maturities, long term supplier contracts, etc. etc. Boeing's viciously cutting costs. Rockwell- Collins is only the first of many suppliers that will be merged out of existence as Boeing starts bringing more value-added stuff inhouse. Honeywell may not escape either. That's why it's so hard for anybody to compete starting out. This ain't no John Wayne movie and nobody is going to get a free "fair" try easily. I sure agree with you on the CRJ's, man they were miserable. The C-Series family may start as a 100 seater but their plans show them going up to 133 seats so it starts pushing the 150 trigger. And, if left alone, it might grow up to be a 737 or future 7x7 something competitor. If you're King Boeing, and you can do it legally without dumping, it's best to kill the pretender Prince in the crib.
 
The Chinese have developed their own formidable technical capabilities. To refer to their industrial progress as mere thievery is a little simplistic. Every bit of tech builds upon what is already known. Does that make all technical advancement thievery? Many companies have engaged in industrial espionage and reverse engineering. This didn't begin with China nor will it ever really end.
To actually build a company capable of taking on Boeing and Airbus will take substantial state support, which both Boeing and Airbus have enjoyed over many years. China is capable of doing the same, so they are the most likely source of a serious third player in the LCA market.
My first choice for an emerging LCA builder would have been either Brazil or Canada, but that is now precluded.
That pretty much leaves China.
 
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