I read the owner’s manual and use what is specified. Generally if I am buying the oil I will use the highest HTHS within the viscosity indicated in the manual. If it is a car that is serviced outside the dealer network I will ask them what they use to make sure it meets what is specified/recommended. So for example my son's Golf has a prominent sticker on the radiator support - "use only VW 508.00 oil" so that's what I do. My Ram requires oil meeting Chrysler's MS6395 (pretty clear in the manual) standard so I check the oil used and make sure it says it meets that standard. My 1994 BMW with the M60 V8 came with a detailed oil viscosity chart in the manual. Factory fill was 15w40 in the mid-1990s and now that viscosity is difficult to find in a gasoline engine oil so I use a 15w50 (which is clearly within the oil viscosity chart in the book (as is 20w50; the lower viscosity oils are only OK, according to the chart, with very low air temperatures). That engine now has about 200k and runs quietly and smooth, uses no oil. Using this approach, with a variety of oils (per the manuals) from “thick” to “thin” depending on what the manual calls for, and keeping it full (some cars do use a little oil and that's normal) and changing it at a conservative interval, I have never had a lubrication related failure in a car or truck. It’s everything else that goes. People like to complicate things.
OK, well, people like to overcomplicate things, for sure, but sometimes life is complex.
Sometimes, something as simple as choosing an oil can be complicated. That’s how I ended up on this forum.
So, first let’s start with your BMWs chart. Very reminiscent of the Mercedes chart from my 1980s vintage Mercedes, or my lubrication chart from 1932 for my antique car.
But the air temperature is simply a proxy for the anticipated oil temperature during those environmental conditions. A better chart would have the anticipated oil temperature range, and recommended viscosity based on oil temperature.
I had an oil temperature gauge in my 1985 Volvo turbo wagon. (Still miss that car, by the way). Was really interesting. You could tell that the thermostat was fully open at 85C even in the winter time the oil typically reached around 80 C given a long enough gentle drive. But when I was driving up to the ski area, in the winter, and my foot was in it, and heat was being generated in the Turbo charger, occasionally I would see 90-95 C so while outside air temperature was a good guess, in this case, even though it was 20 F outside, the oil temperature was hotter than it was driving around town in the spring in the fall.
Towing a trailer in the summertime in the heat, the worst case scenario of course, I saw as high as 105-110. Now this was the pan temperature and the temperature of the oil as it came back from the cooler. And I am willing to bet that the actual temperature of that oil leaving the Turbo charger itself was considerably higher.
But Volvo recommendation for the car was simply “5W-30”. That’s it, no accounting for the temperature, no idea why Volvo did that because I never did talk to an engineer, but clearly given the variation in the oil temperature I should’ve been running a 40 weight in the summer. And perhaps a 40 weight in the winter when I plan to get on it and the 5W-30 was perfect for around town driving in the spring and fall.
Like most people, I started by following the owners manual, I didn’t know a lot about oil,
But the owners manual let me down. The turbo blew up on the way to the hospital for the birth of my youngest. It was winter time. And that 5W-30 should’ve been more than adequate. Maybe I was driving too fast. Maybe this turbo had suffered from having too thin an oil previously. But with less than 100,000 miles on it, it let go. The car lost power and created a smoke screen that a World War II destroyer would’ve been proud of.
Clearly, that 5W-30 let me down and in discussing it with the turbo shop that rebuilt it, he’s the one that said absolutely given the temperatures that I saw on the dashboard, I should be running a 40.
So, allow me to add that since I’ve learned a little bit about turbo chargers, and oil, that my turbo Volvo’s have gone over 300,000 miles on the original turbo. I didn’t precisely follow the owners manual specifications, in fact, I did better.
I’ll save that for another post. But the difference is following the owners manual, or choosing better. I lost the one turbo in fewer than 100,000 miles, but by optimizing my oil selection for the use case, I’ve got turbos with over 300,000 miles.