Which is more likely? Your explanation, or the fact Tesla badly missed Q3 sales expectations, widespread fears of global recession and reduced demand, and collapsing stock price?
While it is accurate that Tesla has seen a large increase in sales, it's not meeting target numbers and that's a bad sign for a young company. Can they weather it, burn thru a lot of cash, buy back their own shares? Time will tell. I bet, no.
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/oct/19/tesla-quarterly-revenue-elon-musk
Tesla misses quarterly revenue expectations amid fears of slowing demand
"Company posts $3.3bn in net income and $21.45bn in revenue as vehicle production outstrips delivery.
While some analysts remain bullish about Tesla’s growth, they
caution that the company needs to be careful about how much it increases the prices of vehicles given the wider economic slowdown. The company said that while each of its factories saw record production, that “supply chain bottlenecks” including battery supply chain constraints “remain immediate challenges”."