Of course this depends on price of oils being used / compared and lab pricing.
I can share in my specific case, (and without naming any names):
Yes, changing every 15k w/ combined UOA costs less than changing every 3k.
Bump to 5k and it's not even a comparison anymore. The 5k is much much cheaper than a 15k+UOA.
Now, let’s do that over the life of vehicle ownership and in context of owners that prefer to keep vehicles for said life of equipment.
Let’s ballpark 300k miles of ownership. AND clarify that this vehicle is driven mostly highway miles of a decent commute (10+ miles one way)
So, up to full temp per trip? Yes. Smaller % of stop n go? Yes. No meaningful fuel dilution across used oil analysis? Yes.
A handful of $40 used oil analysis. Let’s say done 9 times; in batches of 3 consecutive, one batch done around 50k miles (as engine is well past broken in) and by 100k you’ll have good data on 3 of those 15k mile UOA. Obviously, if conditions got extreme short tripped and severe fuel dilution (5% or more etc) and severe oxidation even with proper lube? You stop and shorten the interval. Any concerns Valvoline Restore and Protect is there for those 5k mile intervals to clean up any residual deposits if they occurred due to worsening conditions driven (assuming a simple daily driver without need for more demanding specifications; Valvoline Restore and Protect is on many folks short list these days)
However, if that first batch of 3 checks out we simply do that again approaching 200k and again late in life approaching 300k to spot potential problems not related to the oil. Head gasket leaks? Still tracking fuel %? Any uptick in possible contamination entry or soot/insolubles? Etc
Thats $360 in used oil analysis. We obviously monitored for condition changes that would dictate a deviation to shorten the interval along the way.
15k mile OCIs span over 300k; so 20 oil changes, and you still come out ahead of changing it every 5k; which would require 60 oil changes. Thats 3x your time.
EDIT: Forgot to show the math for sake of the argument, call the 5k intervals $35 in oil + filter cost and 15k intervals $100 oil + extended life filter. $2,100 for the 5k intervals over 300k vs $2,000 for the 15k intervals. $2,360 when you add in the 9 used oil analysis at $40 a piece.
$260 more spent in this equation in overall cost paid but you save yourself 40 extra oil changes worth of downtime! We’re likely talking 10+ years here. $26 a year difference at most; assuming more used oil analysis than most would use? I don’t mind paying $26 for my time saved.
Again, the right oil for a vehicle that allows for 15k extended drain intervals? 15k is the correct decision when you get data to back it up.
This does underscore the fact you can’t blindly do this; which can in fact get some engines into trouble. Just for example some Toyotas recently have blindly gone to 10k miles on bulk dealer oil; per the owners manual, and running out of oil between intervals later due to crazy consumption and when outside of warranty. So, it happens that it’s not as simple as a mileage recommendation.
You need good UOA data, coupled with good oil selection and conditions driven taken into consideration to begin to extend it out.