June 2025 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report- from Realtor dot com

GON

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Latest update from Realtor dot com on U.S. housing trends.

As a pre- article commentary, Yes inventories are rising, but still 20 percent below pre-pandemic levels. My observations show the current housing inventories on a MACRO basis are Sellers wanting premium for their non premium homes.

Quality homes priced right still go under contract in under 24 hours after being listed. That states a lot about the housing market that is not in the article. In my neighborhood, their is a large transfer of people late every spring. Every home went under contract except one, a house on a corner. People don't have to settle for a full priced (by square foot) corner lot that offers zero backyard privacy and reduces true outdoor private living space.

I am now only studying home markets west of the Mississippi. Most expensive market west of the Mississippi based on value-- without a doubt Western North Dakota. Only thing I can come up with is jobs pay decent, nobody wants to live in Western North Dakota long term, so no new construction, so homes that would sell for $300k USD in Nebraska sell for $800k USD in Western North Dakota.

Idaho is still a crazy high market. Areas like Western and South Western Colorado still well overpriced based on what income employees make.

Finally, even with rising inventory- prices per square foot are still having year over year increases. The increases are tiny but shows people are getting more money today for their home than they were getting a year ago--- we are at record high prices today.

From the article:

June 2025 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report​

  • The inventory of homes for sale rose 28.9% year over year, marking the 20th consecutive month of inventory growth and the second consecutive month with over 1 million active listings. June 2025 inventory hit a new post-pandemic high, but remains 12.9% below pre-pandemic levels.
  • The total number of unsold homes, including those under contract, was up 20% compared to last year.
  • Pending home sales—homes under contract—decreased 1.6% year-over-year.
  • Newly listed homes declined for a second straight month, but were up 6.2% year over year.
  • Homes spent a median of 53 days on the market, five more than a year ago, but about the same level as pre-pandemic norms for June.
  • The national median list price for homes was $440,950, up a modest 0.2% since last year, and remaining in line with 2022–24 levels. Median price per square foot increased by 0.7% year over year.
  • Price cuts were reported on 20.7% of listings—the highest share for any June since at least 2016 and the sixth consecutive month with growing price reductions.
https://www.realtor.com/research/june-2025-data/?
 
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This may be the most significant part of your post.
Is the correction in housing prices finally coming?
I don't see a reduction in housing prices for quality, well updated and well maintained homes on a good lot.

Homes that have not been updated, not well maintained, not well designed, or on a less than desirable lot may no longer be cataloged at the same price per square foot as their quality built and well maintained home counterparts. That is the real issue I see, results from Zillow are not as helpful for pricing predictions as they were three years ago.

With the continuing lack of quality pre owned homes being brought to market, I think on a macro basis new construction, even as poor quality as the materials are, and as tight as the lots are, is where housing value propositions are today.
 
Homes that have not been updated, not well maintained, not well designed, or on a less than desirable lot may no longer be cataloged at the same price per square foot as their quality built and well maintained home counterparts. That is the real issue I see, results from Zillow are not as helpful for pricing predictions as they were three years ago.

Zillow and others can't know the "percent good" (ie depreciation) on the home. They make an assumption. And hence they can be far off in their estimates. A home may look to be 70% "good" from an exterior view......but internally might only be 55-60 "percent good" on the interior....having never been updated.
 
This may be the most significant part of your post.
Is the correction in housing prices finally coming?

As I have said earlier. A $400,000 house isn't becoming a $300,000 house any where someone wants to live (The entire Southwest as an example-all though there are plenty of other places/examples as well). Yea-a minor correcting is coming-but there will be no bargains.
 
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