*Investors Blog*

...been sayin for 2 weeks energy futures are a dumpster fire now its out of control LOL.... if oil cant rebound above 90 by the end of the week its dead and will start falling quickly to 75 a barrel

ES is bit more stubborn but it will drop violently probably 70 or 80 points for a few days straight

if the FED raises rates anymore it will be a crime since energy costs the biggest inflation component

the two .75 rate raises isnt whats causing energy declines thats purely technicals...its been signalling a drop for over a month
oil recovered above 90 so it gave itself a reprieve altho it got back over 90 the next week monday instead of the end of week i mentioned but ill still take credit :)

the dead cat bounce is nearing its end
 
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after lumber bounces to 600 it will fall to 250 which is the march 2020 covid lockdown price...the entire equity market will follow futures lead and drop to precovid levels within the next year... lumber prices at home depot are NOT due to the econ 101 text book definition of inflation

unfortunately i dont trade lumber futures cause its so illiquid but it obeys technical chart signals...maybe when i get braver ill trade it LOL
if one knows candles thats a foreboding daily candle today...lumber so easy to analyse :) i just wish i had the stones to trade something so illiquid LOL
 

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if one knows candles thats a foreboding daily candle today...lumber so easy to analyse :) i just wish i had the stones to trade something so illiquid LOL
To bad there's no ETF that mimics the actual price of lumber.
 
I don't know if this is a bear market rally, or if money is moving into the stock market because people are bailing out of crypto and housing. Certainly a housing market crash is going to depress stocks
 
I don't know if this is a bear market rally, or if money is moving into the stock market because people are bailing out of crypto and housing. Certainly a housing market crash is going to depress stocks

Lots of bad news in the housing markets that will eventually hurt stock market.

The question is when ?
 
I don't know if this is a bear market rally, or if money is moving into the stock market because people are bailing out of crypto and housing. Certainly a housing market crash is going to depress stocks
People aren't bailing out of Crypto. In fact ETHE is up over 100% since the Mid - June bottom and Bitcoin is up 34%
 
Lots of bad news in the housing markets that will eventually hurt stock market.

The question is when ?
Dave, is your glass ever half-full?? It's much easier if you bury your head in the sand like the rest of us! Confession: I watch The Waltons reruns and enjoy Barry Manilow. :)
 
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