Investing Strategies. What is your move?

I can completely agree with you there on mortgages from the heart, even though my head says to borrow and invest.
I've also been considering roof mounted solar. The only things keeping me from it is the uncertainty of a 22 year old tile roof, and the possibility I may move before it's amortized.
I rolled my new roof into the "solar project", meaning I got the 30% tax credit on the new roof as well. You need to talk to a solar company. Perhaps start with Costco Sunrun.

You need to look at all the numbers to see if it makes sense for you. It made sense for me; I love my solar panels!
 
Investing in the markets using borrowed money is hardly ever a good idea. Sure, some have done it and succeeded. Those are the people that talk about it. The majority stay quiet because they lost most or all of their money.

One example I bring up from time to time is the secular bear market of 1966 to 1982. How would one invest in this kind of market? Would you take out a loan and put money into it?

When will the next secular bear market happen?


Edit: Note the date this article was written. Things were much different then. Apply today’s conditions and you might see some correlation with that 66-82 period.



https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/06/1966-1982-stock-market-really-bad/
What's the definition of borrowed money? There's a pretty wide range from paying a minimum mortgage payment and investing the rest that one could alternatively use to pay off debt versus taking out a loan. I'd argue both could be defined as borrowed money.

I'd point back to the importance of dollar cost averaging too. Lots of people go wrong trying to time the market, whether the money is borrowed or not. FWIW, if one looked at what following DCA over the time period in the article and the returns on each investment over the following X years one would have a much different story.
 
My move now is full on conservative. A few gold coins in my future, 401 is full on low risk guaranteed.

With the Fed For Profit Bank raising interest rates, and a lack of understanding of a "free market", the push for electric vehicles.... I am not confident in taking risk.

I do not think that the Fed will allow the housing market to collapse(which would have happened already,if they were no forbearance)
 
My move now is full on conservative. A few gold coins in my future, 401 is full on low risk guaranteed.

With the Fed For Profit Bank raising interest rates, and a lack of understanding of a "free market", the push for electric vehicles.... I am not confident in taking risk.

I do not think that the Fed will allow the housing market to collapse(which would have happened already,if they were no forbearance)


One thing I worry about here is the housing market, not the price drop but the government stepping in to help out homeowners in some way.

People are already squawking about 5% mortgage rates. That is normal territory. The public has been spoiled with low rates for some time. In fact most investors have not experienced a real bear market.
 
Maybe a 50 year mortgage…. ?

Bankers:
”If you worry you’ll be dead in 50 years….. Don’t worry your family will just inherit the property.“

:unsure:
 
No one's buying I bonds now that the dividend is over 7%? Pretty good for a near riskless investment.
When interest rates go up the value of a bond goes down. My current bestie ETF's are: BCI (a bet on inflation) and TBF ( a bet on rising interest rates). TBF basically shorts long term treasury bonds.
 
When interest rates go up the value of a bond goes down. My current bestie ETF's are: BCI (a bet on inflation) and TBF ( a bet on rising interest rates). TBF basically shorts long term treasury bonds.
The interest rate on I bonds is tied to the inflation rate. The dividend rate is expected to rise to over 9%. There are limits ($10,000 per year per individual) and an additional $5000 if you want the bond instead of a tax refund. There are also rules about redemtion. You're not goning to get rich with these but the current and near term expected dividend on a near riskless investment are too good to pass up imo.

Read about I bonds here: https://www.treasurydirect.gov/
 
When interest rates go up the value of a bond goes down. My current bestie ETF's are: BCI (a bet on inflation) and TBF ( a bet on rising interest rates). TBF basically shorts long term treasury bonds.


We didn’t have ETFs in the last big bear plus there are so many variants out there.


At the end of the 70’s malaise the big winners were those who bought certificates of deposits. I’m not sure that will repeat itself this go around but as they say, there is money to be made somewhere.
 
We didn’t have ETFs in the last big bear plus there are so many variants out there.


At the end of the 70’s malaise the big winners were those who bought certificates of deposits. I’m not sure that will repeat itself this go around but as they say, there is money to be made somewhere.
CD's are relatively short term. The big winners are those who bought long term treasury bonds when interest rates peaked (even better, those that bought "strippers" (treasury bonds sans coupons). Those strategies would be big time losers when interest rates are rising.
 
Sold all stocks 1 month ago except utilities and Apple. Bought a four year ladder of CDs at 2.65 to 2.75% interest. That is my opinion of the current state of stocks and for the last month it has been a positive experience
 
Sold all stocks 1 month ago except utilities and Apple. Bought a four year ladder of CDs at 2.65 to 2.75% interest. That is my opinion of the current state of stocks and for the last month it has been a positive experience
That will sort of preserve your capital. However, it is hardly a profitable investment when your money is devaluated at 8%.
 
Back
Top Bottom