I suspect they will go higher but there will always be companies that make money even in bad downturns. Also with a full workforce the money keeps piling into 401k plans each and every week and the funds are required to invest it.
Dont mistake my post, I thought we are finished a long time ago, but cant invest that way, we will continue to kick the can down the road. Im not sure when we hit the wall and can no longer kick the can but I dont know, when you think about it, the market hasn't gone anywhere the last two years as it is....
You might be right.
I am not trying to be a pest, but pretty strong predictions are made, doesn't happen, then silence then more predictions. Yes it's pretty interesting reading, but without the "why" we are left hanging and such predictions start to look a bit silly.
Do I think the USA is in the hopper? A real dumpster fire? Yes, of course. Look at the clowns in charge. But as you say "can't invest that way". The thing is the rate jacking has helped in some ways to slow inflation, but I remain - low rates were not the root cause of the recent inflation. They can be an adder to inflation. But not the root cause. Easy lending money doesn't help. But IF the economy alone is stable, the market sets the rates, interest rates alone are neither inflationary or deflationary. Rates were low for quite awhile, inflation was in check.
Printing money is inflationary. Making dollars from vapor is. Government spending money they don’t have is. All inflationary.
The problem is now - some people figured they better get off the C dole, businesses who were absolutely abused by the shut down , they are trying to crank. Some need money to crank. But that money is now more expensive, so they must jack prices. Energy instability hurts. Leaders taking credit for jobs? Largest joke on the planet.
My main move worked out OK. Investing in BDC's while jacking rates was very very good to me. BXSL, TRIN, FSK, MAIN, etc nice fat returns. My muni bonds have been abusive, but keep paying me tax free.
