The internet is like anything else; it's only as good as the stuff put into it. (Yes - there is irony in my statement; I recongnize that.)
If extended OCIs are such a bad idea, why do many top-tier lube companies advocate them? It would be in their best interest (from a fiscal/sales point of view) to have the lowest OCI tolerable, would it not? And yet companies like Amsoil and Castrol (among many others) tout extended OCIs.
Of note (and yes, this is targeted to large OTR rigs) I'd call out the example of 70k mile OCIs (yes, that's seventy-thousand miles!) for the Castrol Hypuron semi-syn in 10w30 (NOT the 15w40, which is "only" rated for 50k miles).
http://www.castrol.com/castrol/sectiongenericarticle.do?categoryId=9039290&contentId=7071985
They only mention the need for used oil analysis along the way; no requirement of a high-end bypass filter. Of course, the "better" the filtration, the longer the oil is going to last. But as you can see, Castrol has two semi-syns that are 50k and 70k mile capable. Do you think that Castrol would risk their reputation in the big-rig market with just a willy-nilly notion? Or, do you suppose they actually studied their products in real life applications? I'm going with the later ...
Amsoil is also a well-proven long OCI product. Most all of their products are 3x the OEM OCI, with no bypass and no used oil analysis. Only past that 3x factor do you need to use used oil analysis. Do you suppose they would stake their reputation on sludge? I find that impratical for them. They rely on their excellent reputation. They could not afford a sludge scandal (nor could any lube maker, for that matter).
When CJ-4 lubes first came out, there was a large backlash regarding the "lower" additive packages; the fear was that wear was going to be acelerated. But what many over-looked was the excellent boost in dispersents and detergents to combat the use of EGR. In reality, wear is well under control; soot/insolubles are well in control. It was a "win-win" all around. All the major lube makers did (collectively) millions of miles of studies. If sludge were an issue (an any given OCI duration) they would limit their product to some value lower than that OCI, would they not?
I would certainly agree that one has to know the complete picture of the operational campaign. Evnirnomental, serverity, filters, lubes, etc, etc, etc. You cannot throw a blanket over such a specific topic like extended OCIs and say "Yes - it's OK for all" or "No - it's never OK" because each situation is unique.
ANY lube, regardless of base stock, can be over-utilized or under-utilized. To run any lube to a point where the oxidation and insolubles are out of control is foolish. But just extending the OCI does not assure that is to happen. And, if the oxidation/insolubles are tracked diligently, you can avoid this and watch for the onset, long before a danger point is touched.
Some people are not comfortable with exended OCIs; fine by me. They must manage their maintenance program the way they see fit. Often, it is a huge waste to OCI by the odometer. In fact, it could be just as dangerours to use that OEM OCI; it could be (conceivably) too long. After all - how do they know what you do with your equipment? Now the reality is that they are very conservative in their OEM OCI limits; the equipment makers don't want a warranty issue or a law-suit (as some are aware of the infamous Toyota sludge issues, or the Saturn ring-cokers, among others). My point? Even "standard" OEM OCIs can occasionally produce conditions that would sludge/coke up your ride. In this case the OEM OCI was apparently "extended" too far, right? And, I'm not sure how obvious the sludge would have been at first. It's not like it just happens immediately in one OCI.
Soot/insolubles/oxidation can most certainly be tracked and trended in a used oil analysis. Will is assure 100% knowledge of everything? No. But it you want that kind of knowledge, you'll have to do a "preventative maintenance" engine tear-down and rebuild annually to "know with absolution" how the lube is combating sludge and wear. That sound feasible for the common man? Is it reasonable to think that each of us here is going to take a weeks vacation, pull the engine out of our car/truck, do a total teardown to the block and bearings, just to track sludge? Now, you can "hedge your bet" by popping off a valve cover, but it's not going to tell you how the rings are doing.
Should one extend the OCI hap-hazzardly? NO!
Can one extend the OCI with a pre-planned approach, tracking all applicable parametrs with all available tools, gleaning information and making rational decisions viewed against reasonable condemnation limits? YES!
Like everything else, it's up to the individual to define and implement his/her approach.