Most of us fall into the really dedicated pot as you would imagine. And many of us wish that our children/grandchildren will also have an opportunity for flight in the future. Yes, I know rich guys in aviation and there is always corporate aviation to poke a sharp, envious stick at. But much of the commerce in this country is supported by people and things flying directly where they are to go without the hub and spoke and getting there and back in a timely manner unmolested by Homeland Security, misnomer that it is. Fuel prices are not as onerous as they once were, as we have seen over the past year+, and is probably still below inflation adjusted levels if we looked hard enough at it. Fuel taxes are high but bearable and, if we don't go to the wrong airports, user fees are not an issue. No, as the old saying goes, "I drive a 20 year old car so I can fly a 30 year old airplane". That's dedication. As you pointed out earlier everything from annuals to parts to avionics to liability insurance is burdening GA so this "privatization/modernization", if it increases our costs, is just another nail in the coffin. I don't know who said it but, "if there is to be a war, let it begin here". We have no choice but to push back. The usually reliable Congressional Budget Office has, in the past week or so, revised the cost of privatization to a more realistic $100B rough order of magnitude from a daydreaming $20B. At that rate I'm not sure if even the carriers will continue to support it. But as I said earlier, I am deadly sure they will try to shift those costs to everybody they can. And, if they're in control, they will.
Strangely, our airspace system is the envy of the world. When I tell foreigners how much aviation happens every day in this country they can scarcely believe it. We do have a cancer though and it is the Northeast. The base root problem there, this is only my opinion, is that there are not enough runways and never will be in that corner of the country. This often backs up the whole system as you know. We hope that we can continue to stuff five pounds worth of aviation into a two pound bag by adding technology. There's the rub. GATM, FANS, PBN, et al were foreseen as ways to enhance the flow as you point out. FANS's primary result though has been achieved and that was enhancing the Atlantic track system. Without FANS that would not be working at all. The problems on our end are multi-fold but include ensuring safety of flight, technology is a moving target, costs to stakeholders, personnel issues (government and airlines) etc. etc. I have one special ping for you airline guys and that is the crocodile tears you cry over the implementation of the hardware. You have pushed back and pushed back on that expense and then cry, both sides of mouth fully engaged, that it hasn't been implemented effectively or fast enough. I feel your pain about contract CPDLC but that is another moving target especially with cyber virus and intrusion worries that should be more top of mind than they are IMO.
GA has gone along on most of this. RVSM and now ADSB have been/are being implemented in order, primarily, to enhance airline operations and, it is said, reduce ATC costs. This has not been cheap by any means. And now GA, after that...more. The advent of WAAS SBAS GPS (darn alphabets) has provided the structure necessary for Performance Based Nav with RNP approaches with accurate RTF (radius to fix) circling approaches included. But each airport has to be be qualified, each aircraft has to be qualified, each crew has to be AR qualified to ensure safety of flight. How is that going to change if we privatize the system? And not to forget, now that we can execute with such precision in specifically approach airspace that timing issues become critical so that aircraft don't arrive at the same fixes, bunched up in our new found efficiency (no more "big sky" theory safety). And given all that now comes news this week that airports have been equipped to determine if GPS is being jammed locally. GPS. Jammed. What are they going to do now that they know it? If it works. Use harsh language? I know I have whined in the past about what a bad guy with a five watt jammer can do but think about that. This whole construct hangs on GPS reliance........ If that doesn't scare you I don't know what will. I personally will take the DME, VOR, and ILS (not really but you see my concern).
And finally, if I spin this thing off to another private or quasi-governmental (say like TVA) have I not built another too big to fail organization that I have no choice but to feed when it falters? What have I gained in that? You are too nice a guy, and too smart, to say that the FAA has been inept in implementing modernization. And I can agree with that but the challenges in this have been immense with many moving parts including technology, traffic growth, politics, budgets, you name it. Someone is going to have to go a long way to convince me though that a Lockheed Martin, BAE, Raytheon, Boeing, IBM, GE or whomever would do a better job for a reasonable cost. They sure as heck don't do it in weapons development. They say familiarity breeds contempt. Well, I am very familiar with all these players and, if not contempt, then wary watchfulness is called for.
Maybe the TVA model would work best but I haven't really considered that until now. Thoughts anyone?