You’ll never see $70 oil again.

This is about oil price. Let's back off on the politics. Sound good GON?
Sounds good, but oil prices are massively influenced by politics. No denying that.

Here is some good news, for most folks outside of the die hard anti-fossil fuel Greenland is hot crowd.....Oil is within spitting distance of $70 right now.

I think it will slowly either stabilize or get even better. Here is my take on it all......The Gulf countries are going to find a way to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. They don´t want to get strangled again. OPEC is effectively destroyed, thanks to Venezuela pulling out of it and high production from the US and others. Gulf countries will be pumping away HARD once they can move it. They have been starved of revenue, so they have ground to make up and they don´t care about the price of oil....only the revenue they BADLY need. They´ve been pumping like wild and filling up their storage. So all that is going to be released ASAP, along with max production, which will increase as they repair infrastructure.

So here´s my prediction, which is worth about 2 cents. I think oil is going to plunge. I´m saying $50, but I would not be surprised if it goes lower. I don´t know when....that´s the big question. But it will happen.

Btw, the US will come up with a way to deal with the cheap drones. You can bet that is a very very high priority for the Pentagon. And those cool little drone boats in our drone fleet....they will deal with the mine-planting speed boats. Iran won´t be able to continue the threat for long.
 
Sounds good, but oil prices are massively influenced by politics. No denying that.

Here is some good news, for most folks outside of the die hard anti-fossil fuel Greenland is hot crowd.....Oil is within spitting distance of $70 right now.

I think it will slowly either stabilize or get even better. Here is my take on it all......The Gulf countries are going to find a way to bypass the Strait of Hormuz. They don´t want to get strangled again. OPEC is effectively destroyed, thanks to Venezuela pulling out of it and high production from the US and others. Gulf countries will be pumping away HARD once they can move it. They have been starved of revenue, so they have ground to make up and they don´t care about the price of oil....only the revenue they BADLY need. They´ve been pumping like wild and filling up their storage. So all that is going to be released ASAP, along with max production, which will increase as they repair infrastructure.

So here´s my prediction, which is worth about 2 cents. I think oil is going to plunge. I´m saying $50, but I would not be surprised if it goes lower. I don´t know when....that´s the big question. But it will happen.

Btw, the US will come up with a way to deal with the cheap drones. You can bet that is a very very high priority for the Pentagon. And those cool little drone boats in our drone fleet....they will deal with the mine-planting speed boats. Iran won´t be able to continue the threat for long.
Predictions without a timeline are worthless. Its like the premise of this thread.

Those that live long enough might see oil at $200 or $30. Just can't say when.

In the current regime there was never a shortage of oil, just a shortage of ways to transport and refine it.
 
I’ll go out on a limb and counter the idea that “ things will get back to normal”. The US oil industry will not go back and drill for $70 oil. Harold Hamm set the tone when Continental stopped drilling for $60 oil in North Dakota earlier this year.

I will say I was wrong if it goes back, but let’s see.
Almost back to $70 now...
 
Not quite sure on your comment, but California has been very good to me. When I look at the wonderful life I've had and still have, the policies of California's government, past and present, have had very little effect on me. No one got in my way. I genuinely believe that California has more opportunity than most states.

Scott
As it has been to me as well. There are two types of people-those who have lived in California-and enjoyed it's benefits, good wages, massive property appreciation, and the fantastic weather. And those that are jealous. And because of the later these threads are always locked at some point.
 
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As it has been to me as well. There are two types of people-those who have lived in California-and enjoyed it's benefits, good wages, massive property appreciation, and the fantastic weather. And those that are jealous. And because of the later these threads are alkways locked at some point.
I think more than two types.

I’m a native Californian

I am not jealous at all. I’m glad I left yet I am a bit sad my adopted state has been ruined as well. Oh well the giveaway continues
 
As it has been to me as well. There are two types of people-those who have lived in California-and enjoyed it's benefits, good wages, massive property appreciation, and the fantastic weather. And those that are jealous. And because of the later these threads are alkways locked at some point.
If its so awesome why the net negative domestic migration then, including the very wealthy?

I love to visit California, its a beautiful place. The COL vs income for most professions don't make sense to me. It did if you wrote code years ago, but those people have been replaced by H1B holders. I don't see any professions in California anymore that pay enough more compared to other states. Home prices are crazy as are property taxes unless you have lived in the same house for a long time and are capped.
 
Predictions without a timeline are worthless. Its like the premise of this thread.

Those that live long enough might see oil at $200 or $30. Just can't say when.

In the current regime there was never a shortage of oil, just a shortage of ways to transport and refine it.
I didn't mean in 10 years. More like within a year.

There, it's back to it's 2 cent worth. 😆
 
I didn't mean in 10 years. More like within a year.

There, it's back to it's 2 cent worth. 😆
Predicting the future is hard.

$50 is possible in one of two ways. Global recession (doubtful) or a surplus in crude due to oil refinery capacity constraints due to refinery damage in the middle east.

Otherwise I am guessing we hang around $70 +/- for the next year. If it gets in the low $60 I am pretty sure you will see the varios countries that have been letting out there strategic reserves start buying again - ie USA, China, Japan, Australia etc. ie buyers of last resort will keep it propped up. IMHO.

My guess is not worth anywhere near $0.02 however.
 
As it has been to me as well. There are two types of people-those who have lived in California-and enjoyed it's benefits, good wages, massive property appreciation, and the fantastic weather. And those that are jealous. And because of the later these threads are alkways locked at some point.
First, I agree with you.

But let's not forget the stock market. On a whim 20 to 25 years ago Sue and I opened a separate 401K with just $4.000 in it. We invested "recklessly" in high risk tech stocks. It was our "mad money" to gamble with. That original $4,000 has turned into $80,000 plus last time I looked, which I seldom even do anymore.

My point is even those with very few financial resources, but having at least a whiff of financial self control, could have done very well for themselves. Imagine a low wage earner doing the same thing, even with just $1,000, and having the discipline to leave the money invested.

My point is, there are many opportunities in inflationary economies.

Scott
 
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