Who killed the Electric car?

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Originally Posted By: Panzerman
Theres alot of things in your story I have trouble with, but Ill touch on the high spots. How could the cars been the price of a new Ferrari, when they were making similar versions in Ford Rangers and I saw fleets of what looked like company trucks. You dont buy company trucks at Ferrari prices. On the guy that does conversions in the movie to any car, that is not the first time I heard of him and that was all the same qoutes as I heard before, nickel batteries will go 100,000 miles or the life of the car for around $20,000, far cry from 2.5 million(Ferrari). If it wasnt a threat, Chevron Texeco would not be buying battery technology. Iam not a goverment conspiracy nut looking for black helicopters, but I do believe GM weilded alot of clout in the 90s and the oil companies always have and always will. Only thing I will agree on you with is that its a complex problem and Iam sure alot of money has already been made. GE and Siemens cant compete with the money of Shell and Chevron.


Not arguing, but just to clarify some comments:

A new Ferrari costs about $250k+ depending on the model.

The Ranger wasn't cheap, but certainly less than the EV1 and it was a retrofit in a vehicle that has the space to add things to it. The batteries are still very, very expensive and moreso on a lifecycle basis.

Lifespan has to be quoted based on two things: duty cycle (i.e. how it is used - driving types) and calendar life. As I said before, the depth of discharge is directly related to cycle life. You need to compare the size and weight of the batteries for the application.

The part that is different from the oil industry/car mfg conspiracy issues of the past, is that the technology is the exact same needs that the consumer electronics/PC/cell phone industry uses and needs. There have been billions to improve batteries for those devices alone, because batteries today are just barely adequate for most portable devices and getting more and more power hungry. If something is solved, it will show up in portable devices first, then adapted to cars, due to readiness of people willing to pay for longer runtimes,without more bulk in portable devices today.

Vanadium oxide batteries are a great idea for large scale power storage. It is expensive, but can be positive value for industrial apps. For cars, it is too expensive, large, and heavy. It is being used to as electrodes in Li-ion batteries in some developments lately.

GE and Siemens have plenty of money to figure it out on their own.

The movie has so many issues that I think it actually does a great disservice to developing electric cars. I guess like the Ranger, why doesn't someone just make an electric car in their backyard or at a University with existing materials? They all exist. The problem is not easy.

Batteries biggest challenge to go beyond short distance city cars, is to increase energy density as much as possible to enable long distance driving and long times between recharges, without being extremely heavy. All this while lasting a long time and being economically viable.

Interesting discussion!
 
Originally Posted By: oilyriser
You can charge your electric cars at home, at night, using a cogen system that also makes hot water and heats your home in winter.


Advantage... Canada.
grin2.gif
 
Originally Posted By: XS650
Originally Posted By: oilyriser
You can charge your electric cars at home, at night, using a cogen system that also makes hot water and heats your home in winter.


Advantage... Canada.
grin2.gif



This could spur some migration north. Think of the efficiency...


the%20comic%20book%20guy%20pondering.gif
 
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Originally Posted By: oilyriser
You can charge your electric cars at home, at night, using a cogen system that also makes hot water and heats your home in winter.


.................. if, you had a battery.

Hey, someday,... someday, you might be able to buy a Tesla! (For 125K.) It keeps getting pushed out for some reason.

Meanwhile, someone who comes up with a truly viable battery (in all respects, cost, durability, range, etc. IT ALL MATTERS, FOLKS) anybody who can come up with this technology is set to become the richest person (or company) on the planet. There is no conspiracy. That's where entertainment comes in, to add juice to a story that is as boring as, "There is no battery". There is no battery that can truly compete with existing technology.

Hey, I wish there was, but there isn't.
 
There is no question that the battery technology back in EV1 days was not good enough, not even close. I suspect that was the main reason why GM pulled out. However, the movie IS useful in that it shows just how little interest there was at GM for non-traditional car designs.

The problem of price exists even today. Let's talk about some specifics. I'll use the lates tek, GM Volt:

http://www.gm-volt.com/2007/08/29/latest...clarifications/

Prius uses a much smaller pack only as a temporary energy buffer, so its cost is not a big issue. Volt is one of the 1st vehicles using a substantial pack for a substanital electric range. They cite 16 kWh pack. One of the suppliers is A123 which also happens to sell cells for new B&D power tools.

Using some assumptions and guesses:

VPX 2 cell power pack for B&D = $20, 1.1 Ah 7V
So single cell would be $10, 1.1 Ah 3.5V
Say for larger volume and removing retail markup we have $5 per cell.

So, single A123 cell at $5 provides 1.1 Ah * 3.5V = 3.85 Wh
So for the Volt's pack:
16,000 Wh / 3.85 Wh = 4156 cells * $5 = $20,780

Of course this figure is not 100% correct, but does provide a rough idea of what a proper car power pack would cost. So even with today modern technology the car pack still costs a lot. Now GM want to keep Volt's total price tag below $30K so they are considering leasing packs as well as selling them.

The point is while electric cars are not impossible to build and in some ways are far simpler than gasoline cars, certain components such as power packs are still very expensive. Hence the original reference to Ferrari.
 
Shannow,
There is no practical way long term to provide all the electrical energy for many cars via the grid. No questions about it. We would need a massive number of plants to supply and then the grid would likely not be able to support the demand.

Most of the electricity for recharging car packs will have to come from the local source at the house (solar panels, wind turbines, etc.) Once again we have higher costs plus the industry capacity for these is far too small.

For the short term there should ne plenty of surplus power during night.
 
They would make the plants if they could sell the power. More power plants are still more efficent than all the other ideas, I heard such as Ethenol and hydrogen. The cheapest and best, of course, is just drill for more oil in places they wont and start using our own oil.
 
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