Severe Weather NY. To Georgia Tonight
- Thread starter Zee09
- Start date
Zee09
$200 Site Donor 2023
I live on Route 273 and have for 60 years ..same places..
My shop has a bridge in front of my property and I walked that road for years coming home visiting my parents.
It would pour one one side of the bridge and not the other..
I'm sure you seen it many times.
My shop has a bridge in front of my property and I walked that road for years coming home visiting my parents.
It would pour one one side of the bridge and not the other..
I'm sure you seen it many times.
Zee09
$200 Site Donor 2023
Sorry to hear that.i put everything up here this am.
I have stainless gutter guards..I'm a slow learner..
We got hammered here in western WV twice so far today. It hailed twice today and once last week. I live at the top of a pretty big hill and my street flooded lol.
Zee09
$200 Site Donor 2023
Power is out and trees down already...
JHZR2
Staff member
Trees on the tracks near Woodbridge, VA. Was stuck in dc for hours.
AutoMechanic
Site Donor 2024
The storm and tornadoes bypassed me here in southwest Virginia luckily. We had some light winds but that was it. My mom started back at work today and they made everyone be out of the school and off the property by 1:30 instead of 3:30 due to the predicted weather.
Zee09
$200 Site Donor 2023
Great ...I have more downed trees to ignore ..tired of these storms ... I don't want anyone to deal with this stuff
Every t storm cell round this area, SW Fl, seems to be repelled by my and my neighbors crunchy brown grass patches.
2 miles away they've gotten 3+ inches in the last 3 days, here, nothing.
Saw 97f today, and 64% humidity.
Supposedly a 126f heat index 'Feels like'
I've taken to leaving tools outside, as putting them away, just in case it rains is obviously causing it not to rain.
2 miles away they've gotten 3+ inches in the last 3 days, here, nothing.
Saw 97f today, and 64% humidity.
Supposedly a 126f heat index 'Feels like'
I've taken to leaving tools outside, as putting them away, just in case it rains is obviously causing it not to rain.
Ahh don’t be a pansy Zee09…
My area we hit the “ split” … severe weather north and west of my area and to the south… Nothing here.
We never had a watch here either… I read the severe weather prediction center forecast discussion earlier this afternoon and I noticed that it mentioned upper level energy moving northeast and a separate upper level jet moving east of that other one and also south of my area.
I figured there was a chance that my area in southeast Va would be in between those two and we would get nothing. They did include my area in the enhanced orange area to cover their bases just in case something formed differently. Which was the right thing to do in this case.
Zee09
$200 Site Donor 2023
That was the point I was making to zzyzzx.
You don't have to be that far away to get a totally different outcome as far as the weather..
You know I’m just messing/ joking with ya…
Today definitely had potential to be quite rough.
30 years ago southeast Va had a very strong tornado outbreak… One of them hit Petersburg and killed 4 people in a Walmart. That was a EF-4 tornado. Strongest one to hit Virginia according to recent records.
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We had an extreme downpour at 6:40 PM EDT last night, and the news said 6:36 PM, so pretty close. 2 tornado warnings that were cancelled. A buddy texted me 4 trees fell in his yard 2 towns over (he rents thank goodness) crushing neighbor's fence.
We were never in the polygon, but were 2 years ago.
I never used to care, but now get concerned every time one of these events take place. We did have a 65 y.o. tree fall in 2019, that was the year of the trifecta (son broke leg at age 6, hvac broke, and tree fell [luckily no cars nor pedestrians omg].
We were never in the polygon, but were 2 years ago.
I never used to care, but now get concerned every time one of these events take place. We did have a 65 y.o. tree fall in 2019, that was the year of the trifecta (son broke leg at age 6, hvac broke, and tree fell [luckily no cars nor pedestrians omg].
40 miles south of Atlanta, we have had some quick, nasty storms come through the last two days. I pulled in the driveway at 5:00 pm last night to see a pair of motion-sensored flood lights on and off. I tried to hit the garage door opener, but it was too late. Power was out.
Stayed off until 8:30 this morning, was supposed to be out until 6:00 pm tonight. Initially it was supposed to be back at 9:00 pm last night. That changed about 8:45 pm. I got a generator out, extension cords and got the refrigerators back on, cell phone charging and a FAN.
It was 79°F and 78% RH. I have no idea how we managed to sleep, but we did. We usually sleep with the temp at 68-69, a sheet and nice quilt. Last night I was no shirt, laying on a towel and a 24" noisy fan blowing up toward the ceiling pulling air in through the screened patio door in the bedroom. Woke up and it was 71°F and 99% RH.
I REALLY WANT SOLAR. I have told people from the start of me deciding that I really want it, that my primary reason is 100% uptime.
I guess what's next is a real generator connection/panel for the house so I can simply drag the big generator out, crank it, plug it in and throw a switch. That's a lot better than a spaghetti bowl of extension cords just to have refrigerators, a lamp, fan and cell phone charging.
Stayed off until 8:30 this morning, was supposed to be out until 6:00 pm tonight. Initially it was supposed to be back at 9:00 pm last night. That changed about 8:45 pm. I got a generator out, extension cords and got the refrigerators back on, cell phone charging and a FAN.
It was 79°F and 78% RH. I have no idea how we managed to sleep, but we did. We usually sleep with the temp at 68-69, a sheet and nice quilt. Last night I was no shirt, laying on a towel and a 24" noisy fan blowing up toward the ceiling pulling air in through the screened patio door in the bedroom. Woke up and it was 71°F and 99% RH.
I REALLY WANT SOLAR. I have told people from the start of me deciding that I really want it, that my primary reason is 100% uptime.
I guess what's next is a real generator connection/panel for the house so I can simply drag the big generator out, crank it, plug it in and throw a switch. That's a lot better than a spaghetti bowl of extension cords just to have refrigerators, a lamp, fan and cell phone charging.
Zee09
$200 Site Donor 2023
Yes certainly. AirgunSavant told me all about you...Jimmy don't sweat the abuse...
Zee09
$200 Site Donor 2023
Went to Oxford PA just now..
No power.. Many homes in MD with no juice either.
It is a beautiful day here now though.
No power.. Many homes in MD with no juice either.
It is a beautiful day here now though.
We get tornado warnings/watches all the time now. It's become a regular occurrence around here.
The northeast has seen the largest increase in wintertime average temperatures over the last 40 years. I believe it's a 4.7F increase in average winter temperature.
We've had no measurable snowfall the last two winters which is crazy. Of course just when I get my ZR2 LOL.
The northeast has seen the largest increase in wintertime average temperatures over the last 40 years. I believe it's a 4.7F increase in average winter temperature.
We've had no measurable snowfall the last two winters which is crazy. Of course just when I get my ZR2 LOL.
We don't have a lot of hail around here. Not sure where you got that from.
There are a metric boatload of commercial and industrial facilities within 4 miles of my house that have solar panels and have for years.
There are a metric boatload of commercial and industrial facilities within 4 miles of my house that have solar panels and have for years.
Many daily records I see for my forecast area in Wakefield NWS clearly indicate it was both hotter and colder well back in time… In the winter of 1899 there was a 4 day stretch of record cold high temps on my region. Same was true in 1940. Then the hottest temps ever recorded go well back to the 1930s and 1910s… 107 the all time hottest high temperature recorded was from the 1930s. I will double check that…
The winters in the last 13 years I have noted varying weather conditions… December 2013 and 2014 both the warmest on record… By a solid margin… However the moths after those Decembers it was either really, really cold or a little below average. Plus both winters we had numerous good snow storms… February 2015 was the 4th coldest in record in Richmond… It was brutally cold that month. We had high temperatures in the last week of that month where it did not get much above 20 degrees Fahrenheit… That is remarkably cold for the last week of February.
We actually got to below 0 degrees Fahrenheit in January 2016 and 2017. Those two winters were marked with very cold weather and very warm weather too.
The December of 2010 turned out to be the coldest on record…. Beating the December of 1989.
The overall winter pattern for this region is set by the NAO pattern, PNA pattern and the AO pattern to a degree too. Plus the activity or lack of activity in the southern jet stream is a huge factor too. Another factor is the activity in the upper level of the atmosphere in the northern jet stream. Those systems start surface cyclogenesis in the Gulf of Mexico or off the southeast US coast. One last factor is the polar vortex… People in the media acted like this was a new “phenomenon” 5 or so years ago. It’s not…. I have read about that for the past 24 years on Weather Prediction Center forecast.
Many factors go into what happens in the observational weather we see and notice. A negative or turning negative North Atlantic Oscillation paired with a positive Pacific North American pattern is an early signal to a potential storm and trough in the eastern US. GFS forecasts for those patterns are fairly accurate to 7 days out. Beyond 10 days there are no where near as accurate. In the winter time I look at those and the GFS model runs to see what is possibly going to happen days 6-10.
As far as tornadoes go… I think the advent and usage of Doppler radar and the ability to see winds inside a thunderstorm has allowed for more possible warnings to be issued. The wind velocity radar can be extremely easy to spot a tornado if it’s relatively close to a radar site. I saw a EF-3 that hit Suffolk in my area in 2008 and it was extremely obvious it was a strong tornado. The dual pol radar is ok… I think it’s helpful to diagnose a strong tornado like a EF-2 or stronger tornado. It sees the debris thrown high up into the atmosphere. Which only stronger tornadoes really do that.
The strongest tornado to hit the northeast happened in Worcester Massachusetts.. And that was in the early 1950s from the top of my memory. And the strongest hurricane was the Long Island express hurricane of 1938. Which was a strong category 3 hurricane that was moving north at 60 mph… That was an amazingly fast pace for a hurricane to be moving.
What creates tornadoes is a strong upper level system with cold air aloft over spreading a buoyant warm surface layer that is destabilized by sunshine, wind shear with changes in direction and height, a developing low level jet too, a developing surface low pressure and a warm front as well.
Those conditions can happen any time of the year… In my area 30 years ago we had the largest tornado outbreak in recorded history. And it was in August… Not a typical time for that to happen. But it did…
Yesterday all of the parameters were met for a strong event to take place… This summer it has been surprisingly cool in my area for the most part. The month of June we had almost every day with below average high temperatures seen. That introduces an active upper level jet stream along with upper level vortices moving along that too. Which are typically the missing pieces to severe weather this time of year. So, to no surprise to me we had the possibility of having a bad weather event possibly happen.
In the stupid hot summer of 2010 we had no such events take place… And with the derecho of 2013 we had what is not totally uncommon in the summer weather pattern. A very strong line of thunderstorms moving east at 50-60 mph where the jet stream pushes the storms east at a high rate of speed on the northern periphery of a strong high pressure ridge to the south.
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