Interesting thought; here's my conclusion.
Would the oxidation grow? Yes - but probably only to a point, and then it would stagnate. Oxidation is a VERY broad term when applied to metals and lubricants.
To me, the real question is this, (as it better defines the question of whether it's necessary to remove the oxidation layer).
Q: Will the oxidation layer become thick enough in certain places that it would create a restriction so tight that the resultant reduction of lubricant flow would detrimentally affect the lifespan of the equipment?
Dave's Answer:
NO! See below ...
http://www.autoblog.com/2008/02/01/wisconsin-mans-91-silverado-set-to-hit-1-million-miles/
http://www.knfilters.com/million/
Here are two vehicles that both ran 1 million miles on dino oils and regular oil filters, OCI'ing every 3-4k miles. If there were evidence of oxidation continuing to grow, by gosh, these two vehicles would certainly be the poster children of oxidation build up, would they not? If oxidation continued to build up and restrict oil flow, would these two trucks have been able to go one million miles on just dino oil?
I think it's fair to assume that one of three things happen regarding oxidation build-up.
1) oxidation eventually stagnates of it's own accord at some level low enough so that it will not restrict the flow of lubricant enough to cause damage
or
2) dino oils remove residual oxidation at the same rate as ester based products (such as the super-stripping we see with esters)
or
3) dino oil removes residual oxidation at some level sufficient enough to allow seriously long operation of equipment, even though oxidation continues to occur
Now, if #2 were true, then would we not see high metals in dino UOAs, just like we see when "ester based oil cleaning" is taking place? But we don't see any evidence to this concept. UOAs with ester based lubricants always have high wear metal spikes for the first few cycles, but then they settle to a lower level. That's fairly evident by the many UOAs. After all, let us remember the great claim of ester based cleaning; "it's cleaning", right? If dino oils did this as well, you'd see the evidence of spiked metals in those UOAs too, but you don't. So, #2 cannot be a true statement.
#3 is possible, but again, would you not see some level of increased wear metals in continued UOAs, but not near as high as "ester based cleaning"? While possible, I don't see #3 as probable, which is a big difference.
So if the dino oil isn't "cleaning" (or more appropriately stated as chemically stripping) the oxidation off, then it's fair to presume the option #1 is happening. The oxidation stagnates at some safe level that is NOT detrimental to the continued operation of the equipment!
I believe the most likely explination is #1; oxidation stagnates. What might be actually happening is a combination of #1 and #3; the oxidation happens at a steady rate until the surfact is saturated, and then the rate of oxidation greatly slows to a point were the dino oil can keep pace. Regardless, it's clear to me that option #2 is NOT likely. Either way, the oxidation basically comes to some stagnant level; either it flat stops and dino oil does nothing, or it greatly slows, and dino oil can keep up.
So if the oxidation basically ceases at some safe level, where is the harm in it's existence? Why "chemically strip away" something that does no harm, with an "ester based oil cleaning"?
If ester based cleaning (stripping) were
necessary to cease continual oxidation growth, would those two trucks have ever gone so far without the "cleansing" of esters? In fact, would ANY vehicle even go past 50k miles? Let's ponder the numbers for a moment. Conceptually, you can put in some RP or RL or such, and even at 30k miles of vehicle age, somebody is going to profess that "ester based oil cleaning" is taking place. Really? So, I could presume that if I
didn't use that ester cleaning process, and extrapolating out the numbers of what was "cleaned" away (via UOA results), and then graphing it on a projected life cycle chart, would I not be able to assume that the oxidation would choke my bearings dry in short order? Seriously, there are times that the "chemical cleaning/stripping" wear metal magnitudes are 10x as high on the first application of ester products. If you had 5 ppm of Cu with dino, you can often see 50ppm after the ester application. If Cu oxidation is THAT grotesque, a bearing would be growing at a HUGE rate. And we know that dino fluids don't strip the oxidation, so what would be the converse? That esters are stripping away Cu at such a rate they the actually eat away the bearing? Geez, these two extremes just can't be happening, folks. It's not logical.
I think it's quite evident that oxidation layers exist, and that they are harmless in most circumstances. They only "grow" to some level, and then stop (or greatly reduce their rate of reproduction).
Esters strip away harmless oxidation. That's fine. But I don't agree that this "cleaning" is necessary to the lifespan of the equipment, and the UOAs and million mile trucks support my point of view.
Oils go on their merry way of building up the necessary hydrodynamic fluid boundry layer to seperate the moving and fixed parts, because the oxidation makes no significant difference in flow restriction. And if it's not great enough to restrict flow
even after one million miles,
then why bother removing it?