JAG, I missed your post a moment ago. Very interesting. I'll have to go back and read the whole linked thread. What I get from it is that in their tests, there was no difference in wear between synthetic and conventional oil, and no difference between different grades, but elevated wear on cold oil by a factor of up to 20-25.
The only question I have is how quickly that wear rate comes down.
If it comes down fairly quickly and you drive for an hour, then start-up wear might be only 5% or 10% of total. But if you do many short trips or if the start-up wear continues to be high for a long time (cold day, say) then you could easily have 95% of wear be start-up wear.
In that case, why don't we see orders-of-magnitude differences in wear between UOAs for short-trip driving in cold weather and UOAs for vacation driving in moderate weather? Most UOAs in general seem to imply overall wear rates per mile within a factor of two or three for a given engine type and usually less than that.
Some possibilities: 1) it is in fact true that UOAs don't effectively show start-up wear? How or why would that be? 2) The test findings don't apply perfectly to real-world driving for some reason. Again, how or why not?
Those are really the only explanations I can think of.
The only question I have is how quickly that wear rate comes down.
If it comes down fairly quickly and you drive for an hour, then start-up wear might be only 5% or 10% of total. But if you do many short trips or if the start-up wear continues to be high for a long time (cold day, say) then you could easily have 95% of wear be start-up wear.
In that case, why don't we see orders-of-magnitude differences in wear between UOAs for short-trip driving in cold weather and UOAs for vacation driving in moderate weather? Most UOAs in general seem to imply overall wear rates per mile within a factor of two or three for a given engine type and usually less than that.
Some possibilities: 1) it is in fact true that UOAs don't effectively show start-up wear? How or why would that be? 2) The test findings don't apply perfectly to real-world driving for some reason. Again, how or why not?
Those are really the only explanations I can think of.