*Investors Blog*

[cptbarkey]

Good chance that Iran will not exist on monday.

I highly doubt this assertion. They have been around for quite a lot longer than the US of A.

 

[Vil_Riker]

Good chance that Iran will not exist on monday. Might want to sell USO or equivalent

I think the idiots who started this mess thought so, too.

 

[Al]

I think the idiots who started this mess thought so, too.

I think you are referring to the idiots who killed millions over the years including 240 U.S. Marines that started it 47 years ago? But at least I am up $1500 on a $2500 investment on USO I made exactly 3 weeks ago.. I'll take it

 

[Zee09]

ARCC is tanking but always gives 30 to 50 cents even on the worst days... flipped for $2k today.

 

[fantastic]

80/20 Van Index Fund
Rest in Cash

Just set it & keep adding

 

[Vil_Riker]

Bought my first ever META.

 

[cptbarkey]

Houthi's back at it again, RIP Red sea.

 

[Owen Lucas]

Houthi's back at it again, RIP Red sea.

Sounds like a buying opportunity! I have some extra cash just in time.

 

[JeffKeryk]

Correction territory...

 

[Pablo]

Ima buyer. Patience.

 

[Zee09]

Ima buyer. Patience.

Same here

 

[mbres2000]

Wow, this thread predicting an imminent recession was started back in early 2022. Going to mostly cash back then seemed like a smart move, because the markets did poorly, bonds also. However, the markets came roaring back while many were sitting on cash.

Bottom line: Determining your risk tolerance and sticking with realistic allocations consistently outperforms attempts to time the market. I did quite poorly in 2022 and early 2023, but remained balanced, lived through it, and enjoyed a 5-year average annual return percentage (2001-2005) that exceeded my goals.

 

[Dave Hess]

$2T of stimulus cash needed to help everyone with transitory inflation.

 

[Al]

$2T of stimulus cash needed to help everyone with transitory inflation.

Yea stimulus always is fights inflation...not...lol

 

[Doc8404]

Ima buyer. Patience.

What are we buying? And when are we selling?

 

[Pablo]

What are we buying? And when are we selling?

The world. When it goes up!

 

[Zee09]

What are we buying? And when are we selling?

Maybe dividend stocks incase you get stuck you are getting paid...like ARCC at over 10%

 

[Owen Lucas]

Well it looks we'll probably be buying the dip for the next two to three months. Except for a few news related artificial spikes, I think market reality will keep dragging everything down due to the cost of fuel and related impacts.

In the best case scenario:

"Full “back to normal” pre-crisis production/export levels: Optimistic 4–8 weeks for most crude oil; 1–3+ months regionally when including refining, logistics, and damaged assets; years for full LNG recovery."

For those on propane:

"US Mont Belvieu propane jumped >9.6–12% in early March (to multi-month highs); overall LPG up ~30% in spots early in the crisis. Rural refill costs are higher, especially in heating-heavy Midwest/South/Northeast."

 

[Zee09]

Well it looks we'll probably be buying the dip for the next two to three months. Except for a few news related artificial spikes, I think market reality will keep dragging everything down due to the cost of fuel and related impacts.

In the best case scenario:

"Full “back to normal” pre-crisis production/export levels: Optimistic 4–8 weeks for most crude oil; 1–3+ months regionally when including refining, logistics, and damaged assets; years for full LNG recovery."

For those on propane:

"US Mont Belvieu propane jumped >9.6–12% in early March (to multi-month highs); overall LPG up ~30% in spots early in the crisis. Rural refill costs are higher, especially in heating-heavy Midwest/South/Northeast."

I'm not enjoying the new trajectory

 

[Al]

Optimistic 4–8 weeks for most crude oil; 1–3+ months regionally when including refining, logistics, and damaged assets; years for full LNG recovery."

Depending..that can flip in a day or two. Just watch USO.