*Investors Blog*

Small cap companies, in my opinion, are priced for recession with multiples closer to 12 times earnings. So an economic outcome better than these depressed expectations provides upside to these smaller companies.

In other words there are many stocks left behind that still trade at recession levels.
You're probably right. If you're good at stock picking, small caps would be a good place.

I have visions of all those clever, hard working MBAs analyzing large cap stocks every which way. No bargains to be found there. But they may not be interested in small caps because they're too small to be worth the effort.
 
This current house was a (very slightly) distressed rental. Some turn-offs for lady buyers. Beat in areas, sheet paint, property looked like hades, etc. Now people even some ex RE folks come over and see no signs of "rental". Good price, sweat and purchased equity, Whammo, ahead by at least $200K in around 2 years. Hard to beat.

You gotta live somewhere. Location, location, location!
We bought a house with excellent street appeal, good bones and a somewhat shabby interior in a good area. Eight years later, a bit of hard work and a lot of money and we've more than doubled our money (about a $4 increase for every $1 spent on renovations).

We almost never make any money on a house so this is quite a surprise.

Sometimes you're smart and sometimes you're lucky. I think we were lucky.
 

The 2024 S&P 500 price targets​

Below is a roundup of 12 of these 2024 forecasts for the S&P 500, including highlights from the strategists’ commentary.

  • JPMorgan: 4,200,
  • Morgan Stanley: 4,500,
  • UBS: 4,600,
  • Wells Fargo: 4,625,
  • Goldman Sachs: 4,700,
  • Societe Generale: 4,750,
  • Barclays: 4,800,
  • Bank of America: 5,000,
  • RBC: 5,000,
  • Deutsche Bank: 5,100,
  • BMO: 5,100,
  • Capital Economics: 5,500

I would toss out the upper and lower outliers, JMO.
 

The 2024 S&P 500 price targets​

Below is a roundup of 12 of these 2024 forecasts for the S&P 500, including highlights from the strategists’ commentary.

  • JPMorgan: 4,200,
  • Morgan Stanley: 4,500,
  • UBS: 4,600,
  • Wells Fargo: 4,625,
  • Goldman Sachs: 4,700,
  • Societe Generale: 4,750,
  • Barclays: 4,800,
  • Bank of America: 5,000,
  • RBC: 5,000,
  • Deutsche Bank: 5,100,
  • BMO: 5,100,
  • Capital Economics: 5,500

I would toss out the upper and lower outliers, JMO.
So the S&P has gone up almost every time the Fed has stopped raising the rates. And they stopped raising rates in July 2023.

I have some money in an S&P index fund. I am thinking when the index fund goes up another 10% I will sell and pay off the mortgage.

A favorite stock of mine is UPST.
 
Never heard of him, so googled. Seems he got 2023 absolutely wrong - stocks, bonds, fed pivots, etc. all wrong.

Beware false prohets - no one knows the future.
I figured that was coming.

No one, even Warren Buffet who the masses call "The Oracle" will ever be 100% right in predictions 100% of the time. That does not change the fact Dr. Jeremy Siegle has one of the most astute financial minds ever.
 
I figured that was coming.

No one, even Warren Buffet who the masses call "The Oracle" will ever be 100% right in predictions 100% of the time. That does not change the fact Dr. Jeremy Siegle has one of the most astute financial minds ever.
I said NO one can predict the future. Buffet is the first one to tell you he doesn't even try.

Why don't you share with us some of his enlightenment? What is he so astute about that others are not communicating?
 
Doesn't look like much compared to where were at now but Bubble 1 appears to have dropped -40% from it's peak and bubble 2 dropped about -50 from it's peak .
It did, and because I was young at the time they both proved to be great times to DCA, which I did. I made lots of money during the post bubble years. Point is, the "bubbles" the media loves to panic about needs to be put in perspective.
 
Prof. Siegle is an economist. He does not sell brokerage services. His timeing may be slightly off but if he says the market is going to make a specific move he is usually right. That, and his credentials are stellar.
We don't need investment specific advice - he isn't our fiduciary. As an economist he should have some macro insight that is interesting if not useful.

What market moves has he predicted that were correct and more importantly what is he predicting now?
 
I laugh when I see articles and ads trying to lure people into loaning banks and 'investing' outfits their money at return rates lower than inflation rate. Who in their right mind would loan money for 7% annual return when inflation is at minimum 18%?
Luckily, in Canada there is such a thing as TFSA where there is no taxes to pay on money you make and you can invest into stock or crypto. So, I made $1.56 on each dollar in past calendar year, yes, 156% interest and tax free too. And expect to make another about 150% within next year. All legal and tax free. I don't call it investing, I call it making money. I'll be retirement age in a few years, pensions in Canada's are miserable and I want to keep enjoying life as long as my health allows me doing so.
To me, return rates less than 10% above inflation rate is just not worth my time.
 
Never claimed anything like that. PLEASE feel free to ignore my posts. Thank You.
LOL. Really. I never said you did. You shilled for him, but won't post one thing he apparently has said. You were dismissive of my summary of his 2023 predictions which I took the time to find based on your suggestion. Why post to begin with?

In true genx fashion - whatever. Best of luck to you.
 
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