Is today's expected rate hike ...factored in ?
Yes, I would be more concerned for the market if they surprise and dont hike rates. Market might take it as a warning sign that things arent as good as expected.
I think the expectation is .25 and a hopeful statement that they feel this is sufficient for the rest of the year or foreseeable future.
I think as long as the above takes place the unemployment rate will be the next most important indicator to watch.
REALLY need more people to be thrown out of work and get the rate up there a little more. I suspect that is going to happen and starting to take place but who knows.
I live in a bubble I think here on the Carolina Coast, freaking homes going up as fast as they can build them and not fast enough. My new community that we just moved to last month, is selling as fast as they release the home and lot for sale.
Those homes now, contract to close is getting close to 12 months out. Cant even buy the home we just bought with the options that were included at the price we paid. Up about 10% in months and they are removing some of the upgrades that were previously included.
It's fact, people fleeing the Northeast and have been for years now but seems to have accelerated.