*Investors Blog*

To match the March 2020 sell off, it would have to bottom at about 33,500.

No reason to catch a falling knife as the US and likely the entire world will be dipping into a recession for the next 3 years or so.
I hope you are wrong, but the odds just got better...
@Warstud warned us about recession in post #1 or this thread.
Will his prediction come to pass, 3+ years later?
 
Wall Street, we have a problem...

I wish it were not so, but wishing, like luck, is a lousy strategy.
A lotta people are gonna get hurt. Working people will pay for the tariff tax increase while the rich will get an income tax break.
 
Wall Street, we have a problem...

I wish it were not so, but wishing, like luck, is a lousy strategy.
A lotta people are gonna get hurt. Working people will pay for the tariff tax increase while the rich will get an income tax break.
Hurt? Really?

Again, standard guidance since forever is don’t invest funds that have time horizon sooner than five years or more.

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2.5% stinks. But so what?!?

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Not hurting…

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Definitely not.

Do I want the markets to keep tanking? No. Does it happen naturally? Sure. Is it probably manipulated due to hatred? I’d bet so.
 
Exactly. Rates tend rise in inflationary times.
There is a school of thought that the Fed would cut rates to kick the market into gear again after this meltdown. I don't think there's much love between the Fed Chair and the President, and that could be a reason there was no cut, yet, but I think it's coming soon. I have a feeling things will workout but there's gonna be more pain along the way. Panic is rising which could mean we're near a bottom. Time will tell. I think there are some good long term deals brewing out there.
 
Just some observations.

Yesterday the Nasdaq sold off 6%, with the mag 7 selling off early. The S&P sold off a little less - I think 5%

Today opposite - Nasdaq held, and sold off less.

I would guess that yesterday was the pro's and individual stock owners panic selling. Today was pensioners and individuals selling there ETF's or retirement managers selling target date funds and the like. Volume was a fair bit higher today it looks like, at least on the few stocks I looked at.
 
Just some observations.

Yesterday the Nasdaq sold off 6%, with the mag 7 selling off early. The S&P sold off a little less - I think 5%

Today opposite - Nasdaq held, and sold off less.

I would guess that yesterday was the pro's and individual stock owners panic selling. Today was pensioners and individuals selling there ETF's or retirement managers selling target date funds and the like. Volume was a fair bit higher today it looks like, at least on the few stocks I looked at.
I just stood by today, even though I saw some incredible bargains on preferred shares. We are talking companies that simply will not stop paying, and if they do we have much much deeper problems. If they are down again Monday I will buy. Not quite C-19 bargains but better than the last few years. I'm hurting on some of the small buys yesterday, but not worried. Just holding.

We need more hair on fire people!

Yeah I lost some today. The minute I buy inverse funds the market takes off. That said, again I was off under 1%.

Dave Hess is THE MAN!
 
There is a school of thought that the Fed would cut rates to kick the market into gear again after this meltdown. I don't think there's much love between the Fed Chair and the President, and that could be a reason there was no cut, yet, but I think it's coming soon. I have a feeling things will workout but there's gonna be more pain along the way. Panic is rising which could mean we're near a bottom. Time will tell. I think there are some good long term deals brewing out there.
I would not say it's not about the 2 people's relationship you mentioned.
The Fed was likely on track for 2 rate cuts this year due to the rate of inflation continuing to subside.
After this week, the Fed will closely watch economic data and the impact of tariffs on inflation; expect a more cautious approach.

In inflationary times, the Fed typically raises interest rates, not cuts them, to cool down the economy and curb rising prices.
I would be interested in the school of thought you are referring to. I've not heard of that.

We are in uncharted times.
 
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