*Investors Blog*

A interesting scene ongoing right now. Stocks going lower and lower. Bonds are getting hammered and precious metals are going lower as well.

I don’t think I’ve seen this before.

The house of cards in the early stages of a major implosion.
 
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after lumber bounces to 600 it will fall to 250 which is the march 2020 covid lockdown price...the entire equity market will follow futures lead and drop to precovid levels within the next year... lumber prices at home depot are NOT due to the econ 101 text book definition of inflation

unfortunately i dont trade lumber futures cause its so illiquid but it obeys technical chart signals...maybe when i get braver ill trade it LOL

Beautiful...lumber on its way to 250
 
...been sayin for 2 weeks energy futures are a dumpster fire now its out of control LOL.... if oil cant rebound above 90 by the end of the week its dead and will start falling quickly to 75 a barrel

ES is bit more stubborn but it will drop violently probably 70 or 80 points for a few days straight

if the FED raises rates anymore it will be a crime since energy costs the biggest inflation component

the two .75 rate raises isnt whats causing energy declines thats purely technicals...its been signalling a drop for over a month
Beautiful
 
Everything's gona fall to April 2020 price levels not cause this is the end of the world like some want lol...but just a technical chart retrace

I like that Powell in a small way making billionaires lose money,bezos zuckerberg and very soon even musk all being brought down to their knees that even zuck is squealing lol

I would have much preferred the billionaires taxed more instead of their money going to money heaven from stock losses
 
Sold a bunch today. Next week has me very nervous and all the signs point to a rough few months ahead. The Shmita reset is closing in....
 
Yep.

Keep BOTH EYES on the Shmita !!!!
Seems like all the dominos are lining up.

Don’t forget about the Jubilee.
 
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Yep.

Keep BOTH EYES on the Shmita !!!!
Seems like all the dominos are lining up.

Don’t forget about the Jubilee.
Are you referring to an agricultural influence on the stock market?

I know this chart seems a little "woo woo" but it back tests very well. I believe it is influenced by solar cycles of all things. What do you think?
Periods when to make money.webp
 
Owen,

Very interesting chart.

Keep your eyes on your weather radar for the storm clouds on the horizon. Do Not get complacent and ignore all the warning signs that are now flashing red.

I’m 80% cash on the sidelines.
 
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Owen,

Very interesting chart.

Keep your eyes on your weather radar for the storm clouds on the horizon. Do Not get complacent and ignore all the warning signs that are now flashing red.

I’m 80% cash on the sidelines.
Definitely. I have been buying on the way down, but recently cut my contributions in half just to have more ready to buy when the time comes.
 
A big recession ... the ultimate "price control". Which one is better?
Recession would be a certainty with price controls. They NEVER work as intended.

Problems with price controls as a way to control inflation​

  1. Price controls do nothing to tackle the underlying reason for inflation. For example, if inflation is caused by excess demand, the demand will still be there, but the price controls will only make goods more attractive. If inflation is caused by a shortage of goods and cost-push factors, the shortage is not resolved by keeping price limits lower.
  2. Lack of incentive. Price controls can reduce the incentive for firms to increase supply. For example, if prices are rising due to supply bottlenecks. The rise in prices will create an incentive for firms to increase supply. However, if the government pursue price controls, then this incentive to increase supply is reduced. Therefore, far from solving the problem, price controls can make the shortage last for longer.
  3. Shortage. The price controls of the 1970s led to queues and shortages of meat and gasoline.
  4. Wasteful activity. Price controls can lead to wasteful economic activity as people wait in line to get the limited goods. This increases the cost of the good. If you earn $15 an hour but spend 30 minutes in a queue, the gasoline is an extra $7.50
  5. Bureaucracy and interference. With price controls, there is wasteful spending on government bureaucracy. The WWII price administration office gained 15,000 employees and firms complained that the agency was not just setting prices but increasingly being descriptive of which goods they could sell.
  6. Black market – another problem of price controls is that it is likely to cause growth in the underground economy. When demand is artificially reduced, there will be a temptation for people to buy at an artificially low price and sell at a higher price on the black market to those who cannot queue.
  7. Lower output. With price controls, firms will have less incentive to produce goods, leading to lower employment. A study by Paul Evans found that WWII price controls were successful in keeping prices 30% lower than otherwise, but with a 12% reduction in employment and 7% lower output. See Journal of Political Economy (1982)
 
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