I sold all my stocks and bonds today.

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Everyone's different.

Some people choose investments based on when they will need the money, not about whether they're retired or not. Also, if you have your expenses covered with something like a pension, you can take more risk with some accounts.
The key word is "all," imho. Also that there is a plan to buy back lower. Fundamentally, if it works out, it was luck, not strategy.

Me, rethinking what I said, I don't believe in luck. Really. But, I do believe in fate. So if it does work out, fate was on OP's side.
 
Lately, this has been helping me in many facets of life, high accuracy, very sophisticated algorithm

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Personally, I tried OPs method in the 90's, and found I was minimizing my returns.

A friend's friend did that in March 2020--he likely cost his family a lot (He made a similar claim so I recorded the S&P 500 that day).

The way to look at it imho is a very wealthy person, or a mutual fund manager can't possibly move all out and all in, and they don't. So why should the rest of us do that. We may not get the information that they do, but why should we make matters worse by not using fundamentals? Very hard thing for me to explain to my mom (I took her advice and sold amazon in 2001 because it had tripled).
I have a friend that cashed out everything during the COVID drop. He never went back in until 2023. When I asked him why he simply said “I was waiting for the drop that just never happened.”
 
I have a friend that cashed out everything during the COVID drop. He never went back in until 2023. When I asked him why he simply said “I was waiting for the drop that just never happened.”
One problem as I see it, is they don't see the fallacy in what they did. I do--I did this in the 90's and thankfully the fire I was playing with was less impactful. I sold amazon in 2001--that is a very expensive woulda coulda shoulda. But, I'm glad to have Broadcom. Again, we have to be comfortable in our own skin.

My cousin told me many investors end up practicing sell high, buyback higher. And they repeat, i.e. minimize their returns.

Edit correction to what my cousin said
 
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I have to disagree with the self directed position, at least for some. Do you do your own surgery? I don't.

Sure you pay a fee, but at least in my case I have been shown a wealth of products I would never have known about. The size of your portfolio comes into play, of course.
OMG. Do you hire a professional driver to take you places because they’re more capable? Do you employ a full time chef or housekeeper because they’re better at what they do?

Most financial advisors started out as something else, found themselves in a dead end job, and made a career switch to investment sales. They spout the same conventional herd wisdom that is always wrong.
 
Disagree.

There is an appropriate allocation, including when you’re retired, and it should include stocks.

No retiree should be completely, 100% in bonds and cash. Neither of them are “safe”.

Bonds go down when interest rates rose, as they have over the past few years. Cash and bonds lose out to inflation.

If you retired say, 5 years ago, you would have missed out on huge gains and your portfolio of bonds would have been crushed by rising interest rates while your cash was hammered by inflation.
This is 100% correct. Trying to time the market is a fools errand. If allocated correctly you let it ride. If you want to gamble on feelings and time the market, certain money should be set aside to do so and not be depended upon for retirement.
 
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No, an IRA account is not taxable on gains or losses. Income taxes are assessed when you withdraw money from the IRA to spend.
Correct, buying/selling within an IRA, SEP, 401k, 403b, etc is not a taxable event. Withdrawing the money from the retirement account is absolutely a taxable event (not ROTH).

If the OP sold equities and bonds and bought money market within the IRA, there is zero tax due.
 
Look, investing on emotion is always, and I mean, always, a terrible idea. Look at all the people who sold because “XXX was elected”. In the past 8 years, those people have missed out on huge gains. Their predictions of financial ruin were inflated by their emotion about the candidate in question. They made emotional decisions that severely, negatively, impacted their net worth.

However, look at the OP and his situation. Well into retirement. Expenses paid.

This is a good time to revisit your asset allocation - and one of the fundamental determinants of a proper asset allocation is risk tolerance. AKA “What allows you to sleep at night”?

In his position, I view this as a revisiting of his asset allocation.

He chose much differently than I would, than Mrs. Astro and I would. She is an agressive investor, and she is the one that suggested we buy Amazon in 2010, NVDIA last year, etc. We also have two USN officer pensions, and her GS pension. Those need to be included in our risk tolerance and asset allocation.

While Bonds have been a terrible investment over the past 10-15 years, because of interest rates, and cash has gotten hammered because inflation devalued it, revisiting your asset allocation as you cross over into your 70s is a sensible move.

I would reach a different balance and allocation in my portfolio than the OP, but I’m not convinced this is a bad move for him.
 
Yep. If you follow this thread, the world was ending a couple of years ago...
The OP is not the first to go “all cash because…” and post it on BITOG. Far from it. Happens every couple of months, usually after a presidential election, but happens often.

We started this thread two years ago. Makes for interesting reading:


This thread got unwieldy, and is closed for further posts, but goes back quite a way. Lots of folks posted about going all cash because…. Also, very interesting reading…

 
The OP is not the first to go “all cash because…” and post it on BITOG. Far from it. Happens every couple of months, usually after a presidential election, but happens often.
I have to believe tons of time and $$ have gone into computer systems and whatever to predict the future.
If it worked, everyone would do it. So far so bad.

My personal thoughts? "Balance, Grasshopper... Don't get too high; don't get too low. And I wish you luck."
 
Last I checked, Vanguards retirement funds contain 20% or 30% in equities. That said John Bogle, founder of Vanguard said "sell to the sleeping point. " So is a cash portfolio appropriate? Maybe for some people.
 
I am with you . Who wants to spend their retirement years trying to recoup after a major down turn. The market is too manipulated by idiots.


The OP said he was getting out now and getting back in later. But your point is well taken.
 
It all comes down to the level of risk no matter what your age is.

I’m at almost all time highs, I also plan on selling and exiting market.

I still believe the house of cards come crashing down on new administration.
 
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It all comes down to the level of risk no matter what your age is.

I’m at almost all time highs, I also plan on selling and exiting market.

I still believe the house of cards come crashing down on new administration.
tax cuts ballooning federal deficits, more inflation, interest rates not declining, tariffs suppressing demand. More things looking negative than positive.
 
tax cuts ballooning federal deficits, more inflation, interest rates not declining, tariffs suppressing demand. More things looking negative than positive.
You can certainly make that case. And it might be bad... But the corollary is, the stock market is not the economy; it is part of the economy.
What part? Who owns the Market?
  • Top 10%: Own 93% of all stocks, the highest level ever recorded
  • Top 1%: Own over $16 trillion in stocks
  • Bottom 50%: Own just 1% of all stocks and mutual fund shares
I suggest the items you mention will probably benefit the rich while it harms the rest.
Just a thought; who the heck knows where this thing will go?

Good luck in your investing endeavours.
 
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To my various above posts I would add: I am a dividend investor. As such, my only real risk is a dividend reduction. Share price does not affect me until I sell.

Still, I am at a point where my comfort level has changed, and I would like to reduce my exposure. In this regard, I agree with the OP.
 
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