I would believe, just from common sense, that cold starts would contribute the significant amount of wear. Precise numbers, I could only guess at. But consider that when an engines starts it has to produce oil pressure to the main bearing, rod bearings, valve train and so on. It is the pressure that creates the "float" that keeps engine bearing surfaces from eroding. Ever put your finger and thumb underneath a small stream of fast flowing water? You can rub them back and forth and they feel so slick. That is because they are not touching each other (thumb and finger) You are feeling water. Same with oil and bearing parts. Once the engine is started and oil pressure is built, the rod bearings no longer make contact with the rods, but just float on oil. Part of the fact that synthetic oil contributes to lower heat is the uniformity of oil molecules and their ability for the "float" condition to be enhanced. When you first start an engine, there is pressure on the main and rod bearings. After that there is next to nil. So i have to agree with previous posts about cold starts contributing to wear.
2nd: Filtration reduces the size of particles that "polish" the mating parts. You can polish parts only for so long and even if the wear is in millionth, it's still wear. Better filtration and I believe those that use bypass filters, AND change the bypass filter elements religiously, will have some of the lowest wearing engines around. Case in point?
http://www.gulfcoastfilters.com/1,000,000 MILES.htm
This Peterbuilt truck had over 1,000,000 miles on it and still has most of the original engine parts and running toward 1.5 million miles. 2 things are noted. It is a truck. They run long hauls, and so the engine is more often than not constantly running. Even when they park for a few hours truckers have the tendency to just leave the truck run ESPECIALLY in cold weather, like winters in Cheyenne WY. They did this with Shell Rotella 15-40 oil. But, again as mentioned earlier, cold starts are eliminated a lot in truck engines, and since they were removing the contaminants most related to wear, they have documented proof of longer wear due to less containments. There was another Peterbuilt with similar engine, but did not have the same bypass filters setup and it did last a long time but it's wear pattern was more "normal" for trucks of that mileage and age.
Good food for thought in all these discussions!