Good point. I assumed, however, that if the synthetic and conventional exhibit similar oxidation characteristics in the sump, they would do the same in a sealed bottle. Perhaps not.
I can guarantee you not. Let me explain. ( technically this could be infinite almost so just the high points)
Remember, its usually the additives that start reacting- not so much the base oils.
New Sealed Oil- this oil just got poured from a high speed machine from tanks. Many of these tanks have heaters, agitators and dosing pumps. Some never go dry and only get cleaned during maintenance cycles ( maybe change overs). These are not sterile conditions nor are they laboratory accurate.
So, its very possible "dirty oil" has percentages in the high range, gets some air then it starts degrading albeit very slowly.
Same scenario but in a machine sump- here you have literally a 1-2 punch.
The oil is first subject to "no telling what" from the air, process chemicals, leeching, chelation, reactions, heat, moisture and even Arby's Sauce. That goes where it goes.
Then the oil is mechanically worked ( scattered, smothered, covered, sheared and served over hash browns)- this mechanically breaks down everything.
Some of these breakdowns stop when settling, others don't.
The best anyone can ever get is an estimate of oxidation that's trended over time and machine specific.
That's a lot of variables right there for a brand new oil.
Too many "what if's" and " what percentages of ingredient x is in this bottle" to drill down very deep.
Whether the base is dino or synthetic is a consideration but a minor one overall.