Tesla 3 depreciation ...

In any case we are going to see the economics of the EV life cycle play out one way or the other, until a lower carbon transport solution is found. Recognising the cumulative external costs of using fossil fuels and pricing them appropriately will certainly have an influence and that price is certainly in the hundreds if not thousands of dollars per tonne of CO2. But that money belongs to the future generations whose lives all of us are affecting, it's not ours to spend.
Fuel cost (not price) is very location specific.

You will never see the same cost per gallon of gas in Texas vs Hawaii, you will also never see the same cost per kwh in Iceland vs Singapore. We in the US gets to enjoy petroleum energy source in a secure way, nobody in the world can blockade our fleet but we can do that to the rest of the world.

When you look at it from that angle you will understand why the rest of the world do not like to spend a lot of their money importing gasoline, they would rather pay their local miner to dig up coal or build a nuke plant / hydro dam / install solar panel to subsidize underpaid farmers vs letting them over produce then dump the food. They also don't buy V8 or Turbo V6 of full size quad cab pickup that tow only twice a year.
 
In any case we are going to see the economics of the EV life cycle play out one way or the other, until a lower carbon transport solution is found. Recognising the cumulative external costs of using fossil fuels and pricing them appropriately will certainly have an influence and that price is certainly in the hundreds if not thousands of dollars per tonne of CO2. But that money belongs to the future generations whose lives all of us are affecting, it's not ours to spend.

All energy harvesting has a cost. The worst energy-related disasters in the world, far exceeding those of the Deep Water Horizon or Exxon or other tanker crashes, have been the nuclear reactor disasters in Japan x3, Russia x2 (that we know of) and in the US. These have been environmental catastrophes that caused deaths and will NEVER go away, irradiating huge amounts of area, including animals and sealife and water.

Burning coal has costs. Solar panels have a huge cost, in strip mining to manufacture and then in the application because they kill avian life. So do wind mills, killing all manner of birds that strike them.

This is what I don't understand - so called environmentalists, generally elite 1%'ers, crave these TOXIC EVs and pretend they are helping save the planet. First, that's a religion. Secondly, they are not accomplishing their stated or implied goals of being environmentally friendly. Trust me, nuclear power plants are not environmentally friendly. Their "footprint" is permanent measured in hundreds of thousands of years of radioactive waste they produce, in the best case scenario. Worst case, a meltdown and thermo-nuclear explosion irradiating tens a hemisphere.
 
That's puzzling, considering I'm paying the same for the same types of batteries today, or perhaps more, than 10 years ago.

So do you just make stuff up, or what? EVs either basically stayed the same in price, factoring inflation, whilst basically doubling their performance. So in 12 years, Teslas have come down, overall, a little in price but certainly not noticing a 10fold decrease in EV car prices.

In 2008, the first Telsa cars were $100k and could go 250 miles. But that was a Roadster, so not apples to apples to a Tesla 3, really.

Now, the Tesla 3 is $50k and can go nearly double that range. Certainly there are more expensive Teslas as well. So it's hard to say with precision if they got "cheaper," particularly factoring inflation vs. performance. I don't know nor can I say whether they are really "cheaper" today, if one does apples-to-apples. But they're definitively not 10x less expensive nor will they ever be...

But to your point, the cost of batteries has not "dropped by a factor of 10." Nor has their performance improved by a factor of 10. At best, they've gotten notably better and perhaps more efficient (smaller).

For the 10th time, the reasons all car makers are moving this direction is for economics, subsidies, offsets, and a government push on this carbon footprint nonsense using fabricated data and fake misleading info, which stimulates a demand for these EVs. And car companies are absolutely making proprietary ecosystems. In 20 years I'm pretty confident we'll be looking at these cars as a big miscalculation because they're going to be as disposable as current home appliances - and we'll be missing the good old days of the robust ICE cars that lasted 50 years and could be relatively easily maintained...

This is just the way electronics have become - totally disposable. Think about how many computers, phones, printers, etc. you have gone thru in 20 years that are now probably in landfills. OH, and all those batteries that became obsolete and went into the "recycler" (e.g. a landfill).

This is what ICE cars will be facing in the near future.....free charging. Yes nothing is for free, the consumer is paying for this up front. But the point is, a lot of people are going to jump on this type of deal. And given the effiecieny of EV's, the electricity cost is really not that much. As I stated before, by about 2030, it's going to cost LESS to own a new EV vs a new ICE car. Mark my words.
 
All energy harvesting has a cost. The worst energy-related disasters in the world, far exceeding those of the Deep Water Horizon or Exxon or other tanker crashes, have been the nuclear reactor disasters in Japan x3, Russia x2 (that we know of) and in the US. These have been environmental catastrophes that caused deaths and will NEVER go away, irradiating huge amounts of area, including animals and sealife and water.
Umm, no.

1. Fukushima didn't kill anybody (there's ONE death ascribed to the disaster, but the man was a heavy smoker and got lung cancer, Tepco settled with the family so that they were properly compensated for their loss, there was no proof it was as a result of the incident)
2. Fukushima didn't irradiate anything beyond itself
3. The water that was used to cool the units that was subsequently contaminated has been processed and what is slated for release only has tritium in it, which is naturally occurring and not dangerous in any way.
4. By Russia, I assume you actually mean the Ukraine and Chernobyl. That was a single unit meltdown, not two, and by far the biggest reactor disaster due to the lack of containment, which resulted in contamination of a significant area around the plant, particularly in the area around Prypiat due to the prevailing winds at the time.
5. Despite the contamination around Chernobyl, wildlife is thriving, which has prompted further investigation into how and why, as it was assumed that the effects would be dire, yet that has not borne out.
6. The worst energy-related disaster (ignoring those killed by pollution from fossil fuels, which is an ongoing series of events, not a single one) in the world is the failure of the Banqiao dam in China, which is estimated to have killed up to 240,000 people, took out 30 cities and destroyed 6.8 million houses: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1975_Banqiao_Dam_failure

In comparison, Chernobyl killed 30 people when it went up, 60 from radiation poisoning after the fact and the official UN consortium figure for people who may have experienced long-term health effects is ~4,000.
Burning coal has costs. Solar panels have a huge cost, in strip mining to manufacture and then in the application because they kill avian life. So do wind mills, killing all manner of birds that strike them.

This is what I don't understand - so called environmentalists, generally elite 1%'ers, crave these TOXIC EVs and pretend they are helping save the planet. First, that's a religion. Secondly, they are not accomplishing their stated or implied goals of being environmentally friendly. Trust me, nuclear power plants are not environmentally friendly. Their "footprint" is permanent measured in hundreds of thousands of years of radioactive waste they produce, in the best case scenario. Worst case, a meltdown and thermo-nuclear explosion irradiating tens a hemisphere.

Considering you just conflated a nuclear power plant with nuclear weapons, I'm inclined to not trust you on anything you state at this point. You are spouting GreenPeace and Sierra Club talking points with authority, perhaps under the misconception that nobody is going to call you on your nonsense? That's not going to fly. Coal ash is far more radioactive than what's allowed to be released from a nuclear facility (primarily tritium) but coal plants can dump pollution into the atmosphere with impunity because this is not captured under regulations that govern radioactive release.

High level nuclear "waste", which in the context of power generation is primarily used fuel, is an easily managed solid product, which is why it currently sits in concrete casks at the sites of most operating facilities. Contained, it is not harmful, and the lack of a reprocessing program, unlike in Europe, is one of the reasons there's as much as there is in the US. But that's still a very small amount. In comparison, the amount of contamination produced by the US nuclear weapons programme (and I assume the same for the Soviet one) is a far bigger issue, as the same accountability for the byproducts and regulation regarding them was not in place.

All manufacturing processes produce toxic byproducts. The nuclear fuel cycle (for power generation) is the only one that's required to be completely accountable for it. While permanently toxic heavy metals and chemicals leech into the ground and groundwater from the production of materials for devices like electronics, including those used in current ICE vehicles, these operations are not beholden to the same level of oversight as nuclear plants and their uranium mining, processing, enrichment and fabrication facilities. The presence of a double standard here is a huge unspoken issue, regardless of which way you lean on the EV front.

Here is one of my friends interviewing the CEO of Bruce Power on used fuel management:


And a video by one of the Bruce employees on how used fuel is currently handled and moved into interim storage:
 
Overkill, I remember reading in Reader's Digest as a kid in the 80's that the total nuclear waste (in the world? in the US? the total generated over the decades) would fill a football stadium, and that was it. Compared to the x number of stadiums filled per year with ash or some such. My memories of the article is a bit cloudy--but just what kind of amount of nuclear waste are we talking about? Everyone fears it, but just how much of it is there?
 
Overkill, I remember reading in Reader's Digest as a kid in the 80's that the total nuclear waste (in the world? in the US? the total generated over the decades) would fill a football stadium, and that was it. Compared to the x number of stadiums filled per year with ash or some such. My memories of the article is a bit cloudy--but just what kind of amount of nuclear waste are we talking about? Everyone fears it, but just how much of it is there?
That's correct, and that's still the case. That's touched-on in the first video there. Used nuclear fuel, being 20,000x more energy dense than fossil fuels, is the reason for this. It's also entirely accounted for, as noted, quite unlike the waste products from other industries.

Cask storage in Ontario (interim storage) looks like this:
1620397128531.jpg


Eventually, those bundles will either get recycled/reprocessed, in reactor designs like those mentioned in the first video, or put in a DGR, which is designed to be a permanent storage solution for the used fuel bundles 500m below the surface:
CANDU DGR.jpg
 
1. Fukushima didn't kill anybody (there's ONE death ascribed to the disaster, but the man was a heavy smoker and got lung cancer, Tepco settled with the family so that they were properly compensated for their loss, there was no proof it was as a result of the incident)
2. Fukushima didn't irradiate anything beyond itself


Plus, Japanese fishermen are fishing right off the coast of Fukushima and the radiation levels of the fish tested are well below limits. This also includes some shellfish.
 
Umm, no.

1. Fukushima didn't kill anybody (there's ONE death ascribed to the disaster, but the man was a heavy smoker and got lung cancer, Tepco settled with the family so that they were properly compensated for their loss, there was no proof it was as a result of the incident)
2. Fukushima didn't irradiate anything beyond itself
3. The water that was used to cool the units that was subsequently contaminated has been processed and what is slated for release only has tritium in it, which is naturally occurring and not dangerous in any way.
4. By Russia, I assume you actually mean the Ukraine and Chernobyl. That was a single unit meltdown, not two, and by far the biggest reactor disaster due to the lack of containment, which resulted in contamination of a significant area around the plant, particularly in the area around Prypiat due to the prevailing winds at the time.
5. Despite the contamination around Chernobyl, wildlife is thriving, which has prompted further investigation into how and why, as it was assumed that the effects would be dire, yet that has not borne out.
6. The worst energy-related disaster (ignoring those killed by pollution from fossil fuels, which is an ongoing series of events, not a single one) in the world is the failure of the Banqiao dam in China, which is estimated to have killed up to 240,000 people, took out 30 cities and destroyed 6.8 million houses: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1975_Banqiao_Dam_failure

In comparison, Chernobyl killed 30 people when it went up, 60 from radiation poisoning after the fact and the official UN consortium figure for people who may have experienced long-term health effects is ~4,000.


Considering you just conflated a nuclear power plant with nuclear weapons, I'm inclined to not trust you on anything you state at this point. You are spouting GreenPeace and Sierra Club talking points with authority, perhaps under the misconception that nobody is going to call you on your nonsense? That's not going to fly. Coal ash is far more radioactive than what's allowed to be released from a nuclear facility (primarily tritium) but coal plants can dump pollution into the atmosphere with impunity because this is not captured under regulations that govern radioactive release.

High level nuclear "waste", which in the context of power generation is primarily used fuel, is an easily managed solid product, which is why it currently sits in concrete casks at the sites of most operating facilities. Contained, it is not harmful, and the lack of a reprocessing program, unlike in Europe, is one of the reasons there's as much as there is in the US. But that's still a very small amount. In comparison, the amount of contamination produced by the US nuclear weapons programme (and I assume the same for the Soviet one) is a far bigger issue, as the same accountability for the byproducts and regulation regarding them was not in place.

All manufacturing processes produce toxic byproducts. The nuclear fuel cycle (for power generation) is the only one that's required to be completely accountable for it. While permanently toxic heavy metals and chemicals leech into the ground and groundwater from the production of materials for devices like electronics, including those used in current ICE vehicles, these operations are not beholden to the same level of oversight as nuclear plants and their uranium mining, processing, enrichment and fabrication facilities. The presence of a double standard here is a huge unspoken issue, regardless of which way you lean on the EV front.

Here is one of my friends interviewing the CEO of Bruce Power on used fuel management:


And a video by one of the Bruce employees on how used fuel is currently handled and moved into interim storage:

You might brush up on the very poor history of nuclear reactors. You've downplayed the fallout significantly, the toll on human lives, wildlife, and the direct and indirect economic impacts, and the bigger implications of how unsafe nuclear power is.

Chernobyl was hours or perhaps minutes from melting thru the underground core, hitting ground water, and detonating. Had it done so, it would have impacted millions of square miles in a nuclear blast. Russia's coverup has concealed the true numbers of dead, low estimate being 5000 and high estimate being 90,000. The entire region was evacuated and remains so today, 35 years later. The economic cost is measured to be $700,000,000,000. "Thriving" is a interesting term. I guess if you didn't die immediately or die from exposure in the following weeks, or die from cancer in the coming months/years, or if you were wildlife or pets that didn't die immediately or get abandoned, and immediately shot and killed. I recently watched the Chernobyl HBO series and it's well done and allegedly quite close to reality.

Russia had a previous one in 1957 in Kyshtym, concealed from the world for decades. The Wikipedia entry states, "Environmental concerns were secondary during the early development stage. Initially Mayak was dumping high-level radioactive waste into a nearby river, which flowed to the river Ob, flowing farther downstream to the Arctic Ocean. All six reactors were on Lake Kyzyltash and used an open-cycle cooling system, discharging contaminated water directly back into the lake.[4] When Lake Kyzyltash quickly became contaminated, Lake Karachay was used for open-air storage, keeping the contamination a slight distance from the reactors but soon making Lake Karachay the "most-polluted spot on Earth"...

The disaster was the second worst nuclear incident (by radioactivity released) after the Chernobyl disaster. It measured as a Level 6 disaster on the International Nuclear Event Scale (INES),[1] making it the third highest on the INES (which ranks by population impact), behind Chernobyl (evacuated 335,000 people) and the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster (evacuated 154,000 people) which are both Level 7 on the INES. At least twenty-two villages were exposed to radiation from the Kyshtym disaster, with a total population of around 10,000 people evacuated. Some were evacuated after a week, but it took almost two years for evacuations to occur at other sites.[2] The disaster spread hot particles over more than 52,000 square kilometres (20,000 sq mi), where at least 270,000 people lived.[3] Since Chelyabinsk-40 (later renamed Chelyabinsk-65 until 1994) was not marked on maps, the disaster was named after Kyshtym, the nearest known town....

...The true number of fatalities remains uncertain because radiation-induced cancer is clinically indistinguishable from any other cancer, and its incidence rate can be measured only through epidemiological studies. One book claims that "in 1992, a study conducted by the Institute of Biophysics at the former Soviet Health Ministry in Chelyabinsk found that 8,015 people had died within the preceding 32 years as a result of the accident"...."

A modern reactor in a 1st world nation, Fukishima was an epic disaster on many levels. While not directly killing anyone, it's linked to higher rates of cancer, poisoned aquatic life including the seafood, and the economic costs are staggering numbers. Current news articles state the plants are still leaking 300 tons of contaminated water into the ocean, PER DAY. Economic cost has been hundreds of billions of dollars.

The USA narrowly averted a total meltdown (which could cause a nuclear explosion) in 1979 at Three Mile Island, and has had a couple of other disasters.

There have been some 30 total disasters, and you can read all about them.

By contrast, while oil accidents do occur the worst one on record is probably the BP Deepwater Horizon which killed few people in the explosion, and devastated the marine wildlife and economy. The cleanup for that has been $30 billion plus about $65 billion in lawsuit claim settlements. That's a lot less than Japan and Russia's cleanup costs...
 
All energy harvesting has a cost. The worst energy-related disasters in the world, far exceeding those of the Deep Water Horizon or Exxon or other tanker crashes, have been the nuclear reactor disasters in Japan x3, Russia x2 (that we know of) and in the US. These have been environmental catastrophes that caused deaths and will NEVER go away, irradiating huge amounts of area, including animals and sealife and water.

Burning coal has costs. Solar panels have a huge cost, in strip mining to manufacture and then in the application because they kill avian life. So do wind mills, killing all manner of birds that strike them.

This is what I don't understand - so called environmentalists, generally elite 1%'ers, crave these TOXIC EVs and pretend they are helping save the planet. First, that's a religion. Secondly, they are not accomplishing their stated or implied goals of being environmentally friendly. Trust me, nuclear power plants are not environmentally friendly. Their "footprint" is permanent measured in hundreds of thousands of years of radioactive waste they produce, in the best case scenario. Worst case, a meltdown and thermo-nuclear explosion irradiating tens a hemisphere.
The worst energy related disasters is the black lung of coal miners back in the old days. Deep Water Horizon was bad for the local fishing industry, along with the Exxon Valdez disaster.

Then you also must factor in all the wars we fought to keep oil supply stable. Let's not forget someone has to die to get the oil supply stable.
 
You might brush up on the very poor history of nuclear reactors. You've downplayed the fallout significantly, the toll on human lives, wildlife, and the direct and indirect economic impacts, and the bigger implications of how unsafe nuclear power is.
My nuclear history is clearly less sensationalized than yours.
Chernobyl was hours or perhaps minutes from melting thru the underground core, hitting ground water, and detonating.
Again, a nuclear reactor isn't a nuclear bomb. I'm not sure what anti-nuclear group got this into your head, but that's not how it works. The core at Chernobyl was full of water and graphite. It was the graphite that caught fire after the water boiled off. The molten core, like the molten core at Fukushima, would have been cooled by the ground water if it managed to get that far, it would not trigger a thermonuclear blast, that's not how bombs work and that's not how this works. You are betraying your lack of knowledge on this subject here. The worst case scenario is that the temperature differential would have been enough to trigger a steam explosion (which is not a thermonuclear blast) which would have further damaged the plant, making the event more difficult to contain and likely would have prevented the remainder of the plant from operating after the fact.

An interesting thing from early on after the disaster was that water from rain would make its way down to the molten core material deposits and trigger brief little fission events, which would in turn release some radiation, which they were measuring for (which is how they determined this was happening). This was one of the drivers for the rapid construction of the containment tomb around the unit (which has since been upgraded). The corium was so hard that when they tried to get a sample, they actually had to shoot it with a rifle to break a chunk off. Now, decades later, as the latent water that was in those corium deposits has been evaporated, the consistency is more like sand, they easily come apart. There's still one room that's highly radioactive that they can't access and are currently working on getting a robot that will be used to extract this material as part of the decommissioning process.
Had it done so, it would have impacted millions of square miles in a nuclear blast.
No, it wouldn't have. That's sensationalist nonsense.
Russia's coverup has concealed the true numbers of dead, low estimate being 5000 and high estimate being 90,000.
The Soviet Union hampered early investigative efforts, however, It was eventually investigated extensively by the UN and their report released in 2005. The 90,000 death figure is from Greenpeace, which explains a lot here. That said, even if we use the Greenpeace figure, that's still much lower than the Chinese Banqiao dam failure.
The entire region was evacuated and remains so today, 35 years later.
Yes, a rather extensive area around Prypiat and the surrounding communities was contaminated and evacuated, and the exclusion zone remains. That in no way supports the rest of the above nonsense however. This is the result of the plant lacking secondary containment, which is highlighted by the difference between this event and Fukushima, where the contamination there was mostly contained to the plant.

Despite that, the remaining three units at Chernobyl continued to operate until the early 2000's and it forced Russia to upgrade the remaining RBMK's, many of which are still in operation, to have secondary containment.
The economic cost is measured to be $700,000,000,000.
The oft-cited $700 billion figure includes $235 billion for the loss of the Belarus nuclear power program as well as the lost output from Unit 4 over several decades. Do you think it fair to include those here? As an anti-nuke you should be celebrating both those things and heralding them as achievements, no?
"Thriving" is a interesting term. I guess if you didn't die immediately or die from exposure in the following weeks, or die from cancer in the coming months/years, or if you were wildlife or pets that didn't die immediately or get abandoned, and immediately shot and killed. I recently watched the Chernobyl HBO series and it's well done and allegedly quite close to reality.
Yes, animals are presently thriving in the exclusion zone. I'll remind you that this TV show is not a documentary, despite them getting most details of the event itself right.
Russia had a previous one in 1957 in Kyshtym, concealed from the world for decades. The Wikipedia entry states, "Environmental concerns were secondary during the early development stage. Initially Mayak was dumping high-level radioactive waste into a nearby river, which flowed to the river Ob, flowing farther downstream to the Arctic Ocean. All six reactors were on Lake Kyzyltash and used an open-cycle cooling system, discharging contaminated water directly back into the lake.[4] When Lake Kyzyltash quickly became contaminated, Lake Karachay was used for open-air storage, keeping the contamination a slight distance from the reactors but soon making Lake Karachay the "most-polluted spot on Earth"...

The disaster was the second worst nuclear incident (by radioactivity released) after the Chernobyl disaster. It measured as a Level 6 disaster on the International Nuclear Event Scale (INES),[1] making it the third highest on the INES (which ranks by population impact), behind Chernobyl (evacuated 335,000 people) and the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster (evacuated 154,000 people) which are both Level 7 on the INES. At least twenty-two villages were exposed to radiation from the Kyshtym disaster, with a total population of around 10,000 people evacuated. Some were evacuated after a week, but it took almost two years for evacuations to occur at other sites.[2] The disaster spread hot particles over more than 52,000 square kilometres (20,000 sq mi), where at least 270,000 people lived.[3] Since Chelyabinsk-40 (later renamed Chelyabinsk-65 until 1994) was not marked on maps, the disaster was named after Kyshtym, the nearest known town....

...The true number of fatalities remains uncertain because radiation-induced cancer is clinically indistinguishable from any other cancer, and its incidence rate can be measured only through epidemiological studies. One book claims that "in 1992, a study conducted by the Institute of Biophysics at the former Soviet Health Ministry in Chelyabinsk found that 8,015 people had died within the preceding 32 years as a result of the accident"...."
While that whole saga is incredibly tragic, that's not a "disaster" in the same sense as what transpired at Fukushima, Chernobyl, Three Mile Island or Banqiao where engineering or design issues or just plain old human error resulted in an unexpected failure and, in some cases, like Chernobyl and in particular Banqiao, extensive loss of life. This was deliberate mishandling/careless science, just like much of the contamination from early nuclear arms development in the United States and the continued pollution of huge areas in China right now:

That has absolutely nothing to do with modern nuclear power.
A modern reactor in a 1st world nation, Fukishima was an epic disaster on many levels. While not directly killing anyone, it's linked to higher rates of cancer, poisoned aquatic life including the seafood, and the economic costs are staggering numbers. Current news articles state the plants are still leaking 300 tons of contaminated water into the ocean, PER DAY. Economic cost has been hundreds of billions of dollars.
A few things:
- The GE reactors at Fukushima are not "modern", they are actually older than the units at Chernobyl (1967 vs 1972) as is the design (BWR-3: 1965, RBMK-1000: 1968), the difference is that they had secondary containment, which the Soviets skimped on because the RBMK was supposed to be a fast and cheap way to generate electricity and produce weapons-grade plutonium.
- Correct, it didn't directly kill anyone, so I'm glad you are acknowledging that point.
- It's not linked to higher rates of cancer: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32963211/
- It's not linked to poisoned aquatic life or seafood and Japan actually decreased the allowed concentration of caesium in food by 5x (from 500 to 100Bq/kg) after the incident: https://oceana.org/blog/worried-abo...d-turns-out-bananas-are-more-radioactive-fish
- Yes, the economic costs are staggering, which is somewhat ironic, as it was the economic cost of increasing the seawall height and relocating the emergency generators that Tepco was trying to avoid, and ultimately is what allowed the meltdowns to occur.
- No, the plants aren't leaking 300 tons of contaminated water into the ocean. Immediately after the incident, yes, there was some struggling with trying to contain the leaking water, but that's been long since stopped. They've been capturing and processing all the water, which is why they have massive stores of it onsite that only presently have tritium in them, which they will be releasing. If you scroll down to "Managing contaminated water" in this extensive document: https://world-nuclear.org/informati...ety-of-plants/fukushima-daiichi-accident.aspx

You'll see:
By the end of June 2011, Tepco had installed 109 concrete panels to seal the water intakes of units 1-4, preventing contaminated water leaking to the harbour. From mid-June some treatment with zeolite of seawater at 30 m3/hr was being undertaken near the water intakes for units 2&3, inside submerged barriers installed in April. From October, a steel water shield wall was built on the sea frontage of units 1-4. It extends about one kilometre, and down to an impermeable layer beneath two permeable strata which potentially leak contaminated groundwater to the sea. The inner harbour area which has some contamination is about 30 ha in area. The government in September 2013 said: “At present, statistically-significant increase of radioactive concentration in the sea outside the port of the Tepco’s Fukushima Daiichi NPS has not been detected.” And also: “The results of monitoring of seawater in Japan are constantly below the standard of 10 Bq/L” (the WHO standard for Cs-137 in drinking water). In 2012 the Japanese standard for caesium in food supply was dropped from 500 to 100 Bq/kg. In July-August 2014 only 0.6% of fish caught offshore from the plant exceeded this lower level, compared with 53% in the months immediately following the accident.

Tepco built a new wastewater treatment facility to treat contaminated water. The company used both US proprietary adsorption and French conventional technologies in the new 1200 m3/day treatment plant. A supplementary and simpler SARRY (simplified active water retrieve and recovery system) plant to remove caesium using Japanese technology and made by Toshiba and The Shaw Group was installed and commissioned in August 2011. These plants reduce caesium from about 55 MBq/L to 5.5 kBq/L – about ten times better than designed. Desalination is necessary on account of the seawater earlier used for cooling, and the 1200 m3/day desalination plant produces 480 m3 of clean water while 720 m3 goes to storage. A steady increase in volume of the stored water (about 400 m3/d net) is due to groundwater finding its way into parts of the plant and needing removal and treatment.
The USA narrowly averted a total meltdown (which could cause a nuclear explosion) in 1979 at Three Mile Island, and has had a couple of other disasters.
TMI would have been somewhat similar to Fukushima, but smaller had it become a full meltdown as it was only one unit. Again, you don't get a "nuclear explosion", power plants aren't bombs and don't in any way operate on the same principle. There would be the potential for a steam or hydrogen explosion, but these are relatively small (Fukushima experienced a hydrogen explosion) and result in only minimal releases if not fully contained (depending on reactor design).
There have been some 30 total disasters, and you can read all about them.

By contrast, while oil accidents do occur the worst one on record is probably the BP Deepwater Horizon which killed few people in the explosion, and devastated the marine wildlife and economy. The cleanup for that has been $30 billion plus about $65 billion in lawsuit claim settlements. That's a lot less than Japan and Russia's cleanup costs...

There have been two major disasters (Chernobyl, Fukushima). TMI was a minor event and the mishandling of nuclear materials be it for weapons purposes or power gen in its infancy in the Soviet Union don't fall into the same category. The amount of nuclear weapons testing the US has performed is staggering, as is the amount of contamination that has produced, but that's not powergen, that's not the same industry and we don't get to conveniently conflate the two just because we don't like the word "nuclear".

The loss of life from fossil fuels is far more spread out and measured, as @PandaBear noted, as a perpetual and cumulative series of events such as coal miners dying from black lung, people getting cancer from air pollution...etc. There's not one or two "gotcha" events that are on the scale of something like Chernobyl, but that doesn't make it any less severe. There's no sweet solace from dying from lung cancer due to black lung rather than the same thing working clean-up at Chernobyl.

As I said earlier, the nuclear industry is the ONLY industry completely responsible for its entire waste stream.
 
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Only if you look recently and on the civilian side. We have done a lot of open air nuke test and destroyed a lot of places on earth.

Yes, which I addressed in the paragraph preceding that statement. Don't conflate the civilian nuclear power program with the government-run nuclear weapons programs, those are two VERY different things. Now, there's some overlap with the Soviets producing plutonium in power reactors, but one doesn't need a power program to have a weapons program or vice versa, they exist alone.

Canada has never had a nuclear weapons program, but we've had a nuclear power program for almost as long as the US has (early 1950's). We've done no nuclear testing and we've always had secondary containment as far back as our first demonstration power reactor, NPD. We have ALL the waste stored from all of our units in concrete casks, and there are no enrichment tailings to manage because our fuel is unenriched.

Contrarily, North Korea has no civil nuclear power program but they of course have a nuclear weapons program and have performed extensive detonation tests. Gas centrifuges are the easiest path to nuclear arms at this point.
 
A good read on why a nuclear reactor can't act like a nuclear bomb can be found here:

There are many more articles, such as:

And this one by James Conca (PhD scientist)


As I noted in my earlier lengthy reply, the highest probability explosion to happen at a nuclear plant is a steam explosion, which releases very little energy; well within the limits of containment but of course if it happens outside of containment, it will cause damage (such as lifting the roof of the reactor building at Chernobyl). Less probable is a hydrogen explosion, like a Fukushima, but again, this is within the limits of containment. A nuclear reactor does not have the fissile material necessary, or in the necessary concentration, to produce a nuclear explosion.
 
Thanks @OVERKILL for your knowledgeable comments on this subject.

Something I had read before, the nuclear plants at Fukushima were designed and placed based on statistics gathered from a earthquake that happened in Chile a long time ago. That 9.0 earthquake resulted in a tsunami too. The Fukushima plants were located even higher above sea level than that wave. The Great Tohoku Earthquake was 9.0-9.1 and the tsunami was even higher.

This was a generational earthquake and tsunami. In Japan they are accustomed to magnitude 6 and 7 earthquakes. A magnitude 8 is a very rare event so a 9 is extremely rare plus that tsunami wave was directional and aimed right at the Japan coast. Add to this the location of the earthquake the time frame of the tsunami was very short from earthquake to wave arrival.

Yes, they could have placed the emergency generators higher up but that is hindsight now. We like to place blame on things but in the end certain events cannot be imagined.
 
Thanks @OVERKILL for your knowledgeable comments on this subject.

Something I had read before, the nuclear plants at Fukushima were designed and placed based on statistics gathered from a earthquake that happened in Chile a long time ago. That 9.0 earthquake resulted in a tsunami too. The Fukushima plants were located even higher above sea level than that wave. The Great Tohoku Earthquake was 9.0-9.1 and the tsunami was even higher.

This was a generational earthquake and tsunami. In Japan they are accustomed to magnitude 6 and 7 earthquakes. A magnitude 8 is a very rare event so a 9 is extremely rare plus that tsunami wave was directional and aimed right at the Japan coast. Add to this the location of the earthquake the time frame of the tsunami was very short from earthquake to wave arrival.

Yes, they could have placed the emergency generators higher up but that is hindsight now. We like to place blame on things but in the end certain events cannot be imagined.
The problem is that Tepco was advised on upgrading the seawall to be in-line with the sister plant, which was closer to the epicentre, as well as relocate the emergency generators, as GE had done in the updated site design. They were aware that these were recommended actions based on potential Tsunami scenarios that had been updated/revised to account for more severe events and had Tepco followed through with them, the incident would never have occurred.

The problem was that Fukushima was an old plant, so its site features were "grandfathered" despite not being compliant with more modern regulations, like those imposed on its sister plant which was newer.

Had these discoveries been made after the fact, that's one thing, but it was more than a decade prior to the incident where these recommendations were first made to increase the height of the sea wall and relocate the generators. Since they weren't required to follow through on these, they didn't, as there would have been a not-insignificant cost to this.

It's a black-eye on the industry, as the event was avoidable.
 
This is what I don't understand - so called environmentalists, generally elite 1%'ers, crave these TOXIC EVs and pretend they are helping save the planet. First, that's a religion. Secondly, they are not accomplishing their stated or implied goals of being environmentally friendly.
Some EV owners I know including myself actually understand that they are not a perfect solution but are still better than ICE in the long term for CO2 and CH4, and that's what counts, especially as renewable electricity content improves. I'm not a fan of the EV evangelism either but calling them 'toxic' is simply a ridiculous overstatement.
Returning to a simpler lifestyle is really the answer but that's unlikely to be palatable to anyone. But in my opinion the dreaded CC situation will not be solved anyway because we are moving far too slowly and have started 40 years too late. The system response time of decades, positive feedbacks and irreversibility are making today's efforts all for naught. The more obvious effects will continue to occur either side of the Northern Atlantic and that'll be the case for several decades. That won't be intolerable to those populations but it didn't have to end up like this.
 
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Some EV owners I know including myself actually understand that they are not a perfect solution but are still better than ICE in the long term for CO2 and CH4, and that's what counts, especially as renewable electricity content improves. I'm not a fan of the EV evangelism either but calling them 'toxic' is simply a ridiculous overstatement.
Returning to a simpler lifestyle is really the answer but that's unlikely to be palatable to anyone. But in my opinion the dreaded CC situation will not be solved anyway because we are moving far too slowly and have started 40 years too late. The system response time of decades, positive feedbacks and irreversibility are making today's efforts all for naught. The more obvious effects will continue to occur either side of the Northern Atlantic and that'll be the case for several decades. That won't be intolerable to those populations but it didn't have to end up like this.
Typically when people accuse others with name calling you can just ignore them. I wouldn't let that get to me as they are just biased.

Regarding to "returning to a simpler lifestyle", it is not enough, because over the last 40 years the rest of the world has caught up to better standard of living and "simpler lifestyle" won't work. The only way forward IMO is population reduction (birth control). It is a good thing as we no longer have the incentive for slave labor. In the future reducing population and spending effort to reduce waste, improve automation, will give us equal or better quality of living anyways.

EV may be the future, it may not, but we know for sure single source of energy means gouging and monopoly. Remember the $5 gas back in the GWB era? You can thank all the CAFE improvement, fracking, EV, solar panel, hybrid, etc that they are not here anymore. Monopoly is bad, you don't want to let the big oil have too much power.
 
TSLA share price is deteriorating too. Not sure why what with record sales numbers. Down over 6% yesterday and over 5% again this morning to start the session.
 
TSLA share price is deteriorating too. Not sure why what with record sales numbers. Down over 6% yesterday and over 5% again this morning to start the session.
Tech is in the toilet right now... Don't ask me how I know.
Of course, over the past 2 or more years tech is a pretty good place to be.
 
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